Pick #1 – Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres
The game that is on the radar for tonight is the Cincinnati Reds (40-61) squaring off against the San Diego Padres (44-58) which are both teams headed in the wrong direction. One of the best indicators to predict outcome leads us right off for this pick as the over/under total spread for this MLB matchup went from 8 to 9 giving us every reason to believe the early savvy bets are all being placed on the OVER. Looking at some of the other vital facts to support this directional line move we notice that the total has gone OVER in 10 of San Diego's last 13 games at home so while not really putting W's in the win column they are putting runs up on the home turf. Delving into more situational specifics we see that the total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati so we are really catching a nice trending wave between two teams here. During a 4 game series last month two of the games went over by a wide margin with one even being 13-0 so there is little doubt these two teams can hit the OVER easily when facing off this year. The Reds are one of the best power hitting teams in the league and the public consensus seems to believe that power will be put to use tonight as they have this MLB total spread at an overwhelming 73% belief in the OVER. The Cincinnati Reds produce 4.33 runs on the season per game and the San Diego Padres output offensively at a rate of 4.44 runs on average per game so we get right where we need to be even if both teams just produce the norm. The weather at Petco Park is forecast at 70°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 84% and Wind NNW 4 mph so should be great game conditions for the big bats to come out. Another stat we have to feel very confident about that points to the OVER in this battle is both the Reds and Padres are dealing with shoty bullpens right now so once the starters are pulled in this one the fireworks on the scoreboard should really go off. A final and very important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher B. Finnegan (L) sports a July ERA of 7.80 so clearly not going well for the hurler and we should expect more of the same. He has also given up 21 home runs on the year to right handers so the Padres power should really be able to shine (6/9 RH hitters on Padres tonight). In addition to this starter E. Jackson (R) does not perform well on the road holding a bloated 5.87 ERA when he is away from his friendly confines and gets stung a bit by left handed hitters who post a .250 season batting average against (5/9 LH hitters on the Reds) so there should be plenty of opportunities for the bats to explode. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.8 so we have to think it missed some key variables as noted above and lets roll with the OVER 9 for this MLB total pick and hopefully start off the weekend with a win. Game Time: Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres - Friday, July 29, 2016 10:40 PM Spread: 963 Cincinnati Reds +1½ -220 -104 964 San Diego Padres -1½ +180 -106 Total: 963 Cincinnati Reds Over 9 -105 964 San Diego Padres Under 9 -115 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 9 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins
The game were breaking down tonight is the Atlanta Braves (34-66) versus the Minnesota Twins (37-66) should be a battle of two terrible two teams not producing much and not playing for much either. Are eyes are wide as we see that the sharp money has already moved this from a 9 over/under total for this MLB game down a half notch to an 8.5 giving us a sure signal this has a strong to go UNDER. Moving right into some of the key stats for this game we note that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home so all trends point to no run production in this one. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road and the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Minnesota and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta so every angle about this matchup specific setup has this one going only one way. When these two teams played yesterday the score was 2-0 Atalanta further solidifying are confidence about where this bet is headed. Both teams look to continue their abysmal ways and the public consensus seems to feel the same way as this MLB total spread is making waves on the leaderboard with a 79% push towards the UNDER. The Minnesota Twins produce 4.39 runs this year and the Atlanta Braves show up with 3.37 runs on average for the season so the averages alone have this UNDER looking very favorable. The park factor for this game is also has an appealing -96 rating so ideal conditions for the bats to be shutdown and the pitchers to excel. The weather at Target Field is looking like 83°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 79%, and Wind is S 4 mph so very nice setup for lockdown pitching. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher M. Foltynewicz (R) has been pitching very well in July with a solid 3.91 ERA on the month. He also just smokes past right handed hitting giving up a miniscule .248 batting average (6/9 RH hitters on Minnesota tonight) which should make his outing that much easier. Also T. Duffey (R) fares very well against left handed hitters at a rate of a .269 batting average which bodes well in tonights matchup (6/9 LH hitters on the Braves). The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.8 so no big prediction output in this spot and we have to good about getting the UNDER here at 8.5 which should take us home to victory. Game Time: Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins - Wednesday, July 27, 2016 8:10 PM Spread: 979 Atlanta Braves +1½ -135 +158 980 Minnesota Twins -1½ +115 -168 Total: 979 Atlanta Braves Over 8½ -115 980 Minnesota Twins Under 8½ -105 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 8.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants
The game that is perking our interest on today's card is the Cincinnati Reds (39-60) versus the San Francisco Giants (58-41) which is that tale of team headed to the top and another headed to the bottom. One of our strongest picking parameters starts are lean off as we notice the over/under total spread for this MLB game went from 8 to 8.5 letting us know that plenty of early expert bets have been laid down on the over. Looking at some of the other essential facts to support this directional line change we notice that the total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games on the road. Getting into more situational specifics we see that the total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco and the total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing Cincinnati giving us reason to believe these trends will continue based on tonight's head to head. These two teams met up for the first time in awhile last night and were back to the usual OVER antics with game ending up in a 7-5 Reds win so we can expect the superior Giants to make a point with the bats and not let it get away from them like yesterday. The Giants really need to keep their amazing season going and the public consensus seems to think this may revolve around hitting as they have this MLB total spread at a whopping 73% rate towards the OVER. The Cincinnati Reds produce 4.32 runs on the season per game and the San Francisco Giants output offensively at a rate of 4.57 runs on average for the year so this is a rare case where the averages easily tip over the magic mark of 8.5. The weather at AT&T Park is looking like 64°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 87% and a Wind of W 4 – 6 mph blowing out to center so the big bats should keep on producing in this one. Another stat we have to feel happy about that points to the OVER in this battle is the point that the Reds are dealing with a spotty and uncertain bullpen recently so if the Giants can shake up C. Reed (L) early it should get real ugly in terms of runs posted on the scoreboard. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher C. Reed (L) sports a 4 game season total ERA of 6.75. He also gets lit up by right handed hitting giving up an atrocious .327 batting average (5/9 RH hitters on Giants tonight) which should cause some serious trouble for him. Also M. Cain (R) has a 19.25 ERA in July and gets hurt by left handed hitters to a tune of a .352 season batting average (5/9 LH hitters on Brewers) so this should be a wild one. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 9.1 leaving little doubt where this OVER 8.5 MLB total should be headed. Game Time: Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants - Tuesday, July 26, 2016 10:15 PM Spread: 907 Cincinnati Reds +1½ -200 +115 908 San Francisco Giants -1½ +170 Total: 907 Cincinnati Reds Over 8½ -105 908 San Francisco Giants Under 8½ -115 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 8.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers
The focus of our selection tonight will be the Arizona Diamondbacks (41-57) versus the Milwaukee Brewers (41-55) and its a contest against two teams just trying to find themselves at this point. In a very case we have already seen the opening over/under line move up a full point from 8.5 to 9.5 really emphasizing the fact that the smart money must be just pouring in on the over. The value and validity of the bet becomes even more evident once we start to evaluate some of the key trends such as the fact that the total has gone OVER in 12 of Arizona's last 18 games showing that Arizona might not be winning but they sure are hitting and giving up runs at an alarming rate. Both these teams really need to get back on track with a big win and the public consensus seems to think each is up for the challenge as they have this MLB total line as the highest on the board at an absolutely scorching 86% banked on the OVER as the outcome. The Milwaukee Brewers produce 3.98 runs on the season per game and the Arizona Diamondbacks output offensively at a rate of 4.43 runs on average for the year so we get within less then a run just based on averages alone. The park factor estimate for this matchup is an amazing +118 with an 11 MPH wind blowing out to right which should keep plenty of baseballs in the air and in the gaps that will ultimately lead to runs. The weather at Miller Park is reported as 91°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 54% with a Wind at WNW 6 MPH currently as of this writing so just a dream set up for batters to find their sweet spots. Another stat we have to feel happy about that points to the OVER in this battle is the point that the Diamondbacks have one of the most up in the air bullpens right now so if Milwaukee can move past B. Shipley (R) they should get a lot of favorable hitting opportunities in the later innings. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher C. Anderson (R) has been doing very poor lately puttering along with a 6.75 ERA over the last week. He also gets lit up by right handed hitting giving up a staggering .333 batting average (7/9 RH hitters on Arizona tonight) which should result in serious problems for the hurler. Also B. Shipley (R) has not even in participated in a MLB game yet as this will he his debut (unimpressive 3.70 ERA) he should get lit up as well. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.6 so lets think we get there with only 1 extra run need and all of the great stats above backing us up with this pick at 9.5 on the OVER. Game Time: Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers - Monday, July 25, 2016 7:20 PM Spread: 955 Arizona Diamondbacks +1½ -185 +113 956 Milwaukee Brewers -1½ +160 -123 Total: 955 Arizona Diamondbacks Over 9½ +100 956 Milwaukee Brewers Under 9½ -120 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 9.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
The target of our pick tonight will be the Chicago Cubs (57-37) versus the Milwaukee Brewers (40-53) and its a face off of one team that is surging towards th pstseason while the other just tries to pick up any wins they can. This bet is alluring from the start as the smart wagers are moving this opening over/under line from 8.5 to 9 making it clear what side the elite bettors are on. The strength of the bet becomes even more evident once we start to breakdown some of the key numbers such as the fact that total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games on the road so were really banking on the hot team staying hot. When these two teams played their last game a couple months ago the score was 3-5 against some of the better of the teams pitching so runs should be not hard to come by as they meet up two months later. The Cubs really need to keep their amazing season going and the public consensus seems to think this may revolve around pitching as they have this MLB total spread up in the air but still pointing at a 60% rate towards the UNDER. The Milwaukee Brewers produce 3.97 runs on the season per game and the Chicago Cubs output offensively at a rate of 5.13 runs on average for the year so this is a rare case where the averages easily propel us where we need to get. The park factor reading for this game is a very favorable +118 and finally we get a set up where all park conditions will be trending with us. The weather at Miller Park is looking like 87°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 69% and the Wind is WNW 9 mph so absolutely an ideal setting for the ball to fly off the bats and out of the park. Another stat we have to feel happy about that points to the OVER in this battle is the point that the Brewers have deployed a stable but at times shakey bullpen recently so if the Cubs can quickly bypass J. Nelson (R) they should get a lot of favorable hitting opportunities in the later innnings. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher J. Hammel (R) has been doing very poor lately sporting a poor 7.80 ERA over the month of July. He also gets lit up by left handed hitting giving up a questionable .267 batting average (4/9 RH hitters on Pirates tonight) which should cause some trouble for him. Also J. Nelson (R) gets hurt the most by right handed hitters for a .271 batting average (6/9 RH hitters on Brewers). The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7 but we have to think it has missed some of the essential variables above and we will take the OVER 9 and feel confident in our analysis.. Game Time: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers - Friday, July 22, 2016 8:10 PM Spread: 909 Chicago Cubs -1½ +100 -155 910 Milwaukee Brewers +1½ -120 +145 Total: 909 Chicago Cubs Over 9 -110 910 Milwaukee Brewers Under 9 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 9 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates
The contest we are going to go after tonight is the Milwaukee Brewers (40-52) versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (48-46) and its a matchup of one team heating up while the other just tries to at least hit .500 ball. This bet is appealing out the gate as the savvy cash has already ticked this opening over/under line from 8.5 to 9 giving us ever reason to believe this line move is a very positive sign to where the outcome of this wager will end up. The value of the bet becomes even more clear once we start to unravel key numbers such as the total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home. Even more alluring we also see that the total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh and the total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee so its clear when these teams meet up the sparks fly. When these two teams played their last game which was yesterday the score was 9-5 so not only will the Pirates be looking for revenge on the scoreboard but it is obvious both teams bats are scorching right now. The Pirates are going to really look to get back into there winning ways after dropping a sluggfest yesterday and the public consensus seems to agree as they have this MLB total spread at a blistering 75% of the vote coming in on the OVER. The Milwaukee Brewers produce 3.98 runs on the season per game and the Pittsburgh Pirates output offensively at a rate of 4.62 runs on average for the year so were right at where we need to be simply on averages alone. The park factor reading for this game is not that impressive at -86 but these two teams having been putting up a potent amount of runs in Steel City over the past few days and with sunny conditions and a nice 4 MPH blowing out to left center and we have to believe the bats will be finding the gaps. The weather at PNC Park is looking like 91°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 45% and with a generous Wind at SW 7 mph which provide plenty of reasons for the batters to be happy. Another stat we have to feel good about that points to the OVER in this contest is the fact that the Brewers have a stable but vulnerable bullpen as of late so if the Pirates can maneuver past M. Garza (R) they should get a lot of favorable batting duels in the later innings. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher M. Perez (L) has been doing very poor lately sporting an atrocious a 8.80 ERA over the month of July. He also gets absolutely crushed by right handed hitting to the tune of a .375 batting average given up to hitters (6/9 RH hitters on Pirates tonight) which should pose serious issues for him. Also F. Liriano (L) has not done well over the past week sporting a 4.50 ERA and gets tagged by right handed hitters for a .270 batting average (7/9 RH hitters on Brewers). The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.2 but we have to think it has missed some of the vital variables above and we get to the OVER 9 no problem on this one taking into account the afore mentioned factors. Game Time: Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates - Thursday, July 21, 2016 7:05 PM Spread: 955 Milwaukee Brewers +1½ -130 +168 956 Pittsburgh Pirates -1½ +110 -178 Total: 955 Milwaukee Brewers Over 9 -115 956 Pittsburgh Pirates Under 9 -105 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 9 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels
The contest we are going to attack tonight is the Texas Rangers (55-40) versus the Los Angeles Angels (42-52) and its a tale of one team surging while the other plays catch up to .500. This bet really jumps out at us straight from the start as the smart money has already pushed the opening over/under line from 8.5 to 9. The strength of the wager becomes even more clear once we start to review key stats such as the total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Angels's last 16 games at home. In addition to this the total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Texas so these two teams really love to score when they come together to battle. When these two teams played their last game which was yesterday the score was 6-8 leaving little doubt about how hot the bats of both teams are currently. The Rangers and Angels both look to stay hot with the bats and the public consensus seems to feel the same way as they have this MLB total spread at one of the highest you will ever see at 80% confidence on the OVER. The Texas Rangers produce 4.83 runs this year and the Los Angeles Angels show up with 4.64 runs on average for the season so we easily make the OVER just from getting standard games by both teams. The park factor reading for this game is not that great at -86 but these two teams having been putting up serious numbers in Southern Cali over the last few days and with nice conditions and 4 MPH blowing out o dead center and we have to think we are setting up for another explosive night from the offenses. The weather at The Big A is looking like 73°F, Sunny , Humidity is 91% and with a Wind to the South-southeast at 2 mph so the bats have every reason to come alive. Another stat we have to feel solid about that points to the OVER in this contest is the fact that the Angels have very questionable relief staff as of late so if the Rangers can drive past H. Santiago (L) they should get a lot of favorable batting matchups late in the game. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher M. Perez (L) has been doing very poor lately showcasing a 7.56 July ERA. He also struggles mightly with right handed hitting giving up a .290 batting average to hitters (8/9 RH hitters on Angels tonight) which should pose problems for him. Also H. Santiago (L) does not fare well against Teas this year hlding a 7.07 ERA and gets hits by left handed hitters to thet une of a mediocre .245 batting average against (4/9 LH hitters on Rangers). The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.7 and we have to think it has missed some variables as based on the above the OVER 9 is looking extremely promising in this scenario so lets grab it at that and take home a win. Game Time: Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels - Wednesday, July 20, 2016 10:10 PM Spread: 923 Texas Rangers +1½ -170 +120 924 Los Angeles Angels -1½ +150 -130 Total: 923 Texas Rangers Over 9 -110 924 Los Angeles Angels Under 9 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 9 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers
The game were booking our pick on this fine Monday is the Minnesota Twins (33-58) versus the Detroit Tigers (48-44) who are both looking to pick up steam as we start off the second half of the season. Alarm bells are already ringing out the gate for this one as the sharp money has already moved this from a 9.5 over/under total for this MLB all the way up to a 10.5. Moving right into some of the key facts for this game we note that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road. In addition to this the total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home making this a prime spot to for plenty of runs. When these two teams played their last series together in May in Detroit there was a 8-10 game so these two teams are clearly capable of lighting up the scoreboard when matched up together. The Detroit Tigers look to stay hot with the bats at home and the public consensus seems to feel the same way as this MLB total spread is a very reasonable 63% banking on the OVER as well. The Minnesota Twins produce 4.43 runs this year and the Detroit Tigers show up with 4.75 runs on average for the season so we are already almost hitting exactly where we need to in terms of the OVER. The park factor for this game is a very solid -99 rating and even better there is a 14 MPH wind going out to left center so ideal conditions for baseballs to be flying. The weather at Comerica Park is looking like 98°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 67% and Wind is W 13 mph so ideal conditions for live bats. Another stat we have to feel good about that points to the OVER in this contest is the fact that the Twins have very uncertain bullpen condition so if the Tigers can get through R. Nolasco (R) which should not be a problem then there should be plenty of runs to grab in later innings off the Minnesota relief. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher R. Nolasco (R) never fares well against Detorit and comes in with a dismal 5.91 ERA on the year. He also struggles mightly with right handed hitting giving up a staggering .320 batting average to hitters (9/9 RH hitters on Detroit tonight) which should pose problems for him against the Tigers. Also M. Boyd (L) does not fare well against right handed hitters either holding a mediocre .267 batting average against (6/9 RH hitters on Twins). The computer predicted score for this matchup is 9.5 so lets feel confident we fall on the other side of this OVER at 10.5 and take home the victory at the books. Game Time: Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers - Monday, July 18, 2016 7:10 PM Spread: 911 Minnesota Twins +1½ -145 +131 912 Detroit Tigers -1½ +125 -141 Total: 911 Minnesota Twins Over 10½ -120 912 Detroit Tigers Under 10½ +100 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 10.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
The game were keeping an eye on tonight when it comes to wagering is the San Francisco Giants (57-33) versus the San Diego Padres (38-51) in which we get a top tier contender versus a team that is starting to heat up. One of our best betting tells leads this prediction off as we see the over/under spread total for this MLB friday night game go from 7 to 7.5 sending us strong signals as to where this pick is headed. Looking at some of the other essential stats to support this line movement we notice that the total has gone OVER in 16 of San Diego's last 23 games. In addition to this the total has gone OVER in 9 of San Diego's last 10 games at home so were seeing a nice situational play being set up here and especially with an All Star week rested Padres team headed back to Pet Co. The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road so as noted were getting a very nice trend set up in our favor here. These are highly favorable terms that all point to the OVER when evaluating tonight's potential pick and with the Giants not having to travel far and the bats well rested we should see some serious offense tonight. The last time Andrew Cashner (R) pitched against the Giants they put up runs and we should see lots more of the same tonight. The San Diego Padres will most likely look to make a home comeback statement of their own today by putting up an equally impressive amount of runs. The public consensus still seems a bit up in the air on this one at a 45/55% split against the OVER but we still have to love our side given all the factors we have going for us tonight. The San Francisco Giants produce 4.71 runs this year and the Padres show up with 4.42 runs on average for the season so we are already crush the OVER easily just in terms of basics averages or production. While park factor for this game is a little on the low side at a -86 rating we still get a lovely 4 – 7 mph breeze out to right center which should do wonders for our scoring chances. The weather at Petco Park is looking like 67°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 84% , Wind is SW 6 mph so there should be no issues with getting runners on base in such great conditions to hit. Another factor we have to really like that points to the OVER in this contest is the fact that the Padres have an uncertain bullpen so if the Giants can get past A. Cashner (R) which should not be a problem at all then there should be plenty of runs to pick up in later innings off San Diego's shakey relief. A final and most important point to this lean is the fact that starting pitcher A. Cashner (R) is pitching very questionably as of late with a 7 day ERA of 27.00 and a July ERA of 9.35. Also M. Bumgarner (L) gets hit well by right handed hitters so there should be opportunities for runs being scored from both sides (8/9 RH hitters on Padres). The computer predicted score for this match up is 7.9 so lets stick with the OVER at 7.5 and feel good about this win coming out in our favor. Game Time: San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres - Friday, July 15, 2016 10:40 PM Spread: 963 San Francisco Giants -1½ -130 -193 964 San Diego Padres +1½ +110 +182 Total: 963 San Francisco Giants Over 7½ +100 964 San Diego Padres Under 7½ -120 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 7.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – San Diego Padres At Los Angeles Dodgers
The game were selecting as a strong play for tonight is the San Diego Padres (38-48) versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (48-40) who are certainly two teams that seem to be heating up as we head into the All Star break. Starting off we notice that the smart money seems to be pouring in on the OVER as the total line opened at 7.5 and has already quickly to 8. Looking at some of the more specific key factors of this particular game we note that the total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games. These two teams have been playing a highly offensive style of baseball lately and the public consensus seems to agree with this notion as the MLB total lean is a reasonable and rising 58% on the OVER. The Padres produce 4.45 runs this year and the Dodgers are getting 4.15 runs on average on the year so we are we should be able to hit the OVER on this over/under spread no problem simply on averages alone. While the park factor for this game is not amazing at a -97 rating its so close to the RED numbers we like and has such little breeze that we have to take it as good sign as these two teams are both very comfortable hitting in this park each team being so close to home. The weather at Dodger Stadium is looking like 64°F Mostly Sunny Humidity is 82% and Wind SSW 3 mph so absolute perfect conditions for the bats to find there feel and do some damage on the scoreboard. Another factor we have to really like that points to the OVER in this contest is the fact that the Padres have an uncertain bullpen after trading Fernando Rodney so if the Dodgers can get past A. Cashner (R)which should be fairly easy then there should be plenty of runs to pick up in later innings off the SD relief pitching. A final and most important point to this lean is the fact that starting pitcher A. Cashner (R) is horrible against the Dodgers posting an 11.25 ERA and by far hi worst against any team. He also struggles mightily with right handed hitting giving up a ballooned .305 batting average to hitters (5/9 RH hitters on Dodgers tonight) which should pose issues for him keeping run production down. Also S. Kazmir (L) has not been his usual self as of late posting a 5.40 ERA for the Month of June (has not pitched in July) while allowing more production from right handers also (7/9 RH hitters on Padres). The computer predicted score for this contest is 8.4 so lets stick with the OVER at 8 and feel good about this win coming to fruition. Game Time: San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers - Friday, July 08, 2016 10:10 PM Spread: 911 San Diego Padres +1½ -125 +185 912 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +105 -200 Total: 911 San Diego Padres Over 8 +100 912 Los Angeles Dodgers Under 8 -120 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 8 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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