Pick #1 – Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz
To say the 1st round of the NBA basketball playoffs have been electrifying so far would be an understatement and this Friday will be no different as the Los Angeles Clippers (53-34) take on the Utah Jazz (54-33) in what is a must win game for the falling Clippers. This pick jumps off the page right off the bat as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 191.5 and we are now watching as it shoots all the way up to a 194.5 over / under line giving us a great first hint as to where the sharp money is moving and the OVER is starting to reveal itself as the value play. Investigating deeper into the stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 9 games on the road and that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games at home making this the perfect spot for a large combined score. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 208.72 and 200.97 and we are in that rare spot that always gets us excited as even just average play easily gets us to the mark we need to hit. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 89–84-1 and even though the mean regression is siding towards the under we still like this value spot given the fact that is now the playoffs where everything is re-setting and the stakes are increasing. When it comes to pace of play Los Angeles is 17 and Utah is 30 and despite being on the slower side of the league this is a unique playoff situation that will call for more offensive production then usual. We also note that the Clippers are 19 in possessions per game and the Utah the number 30 team in the league but once again we are going to trust the data and breakdown which is all pointing to plenty of scoring in this crucial playoff game. The public consensus for this game is 69% in favor of the over so it will be interesting to see where this one lands. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 200.4 so a 194.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even get the AI predictor brain on our side for this one. Game Time: Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz - Western Conference Playoffs - First Round - Game 6 - Friday, April 28, 2017 10:35 PM Spread: 507 Los Angeles Clippers +5½ -110 +200 508 Utah Jazz -5½ -110 -240 Total: 507 Los Angeles Clippers Over 194½ -110 508 Utah Jazz Under 194½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 194.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Washington Wizards at Atlanta Hawks
The 1st round of the NBA basketball playoffs is still heating up strong and tonight we target the Washington Wizards (45-41) versus the Atlanta Hawks (51-35) and with an even series this is sure to be a blockbuster game with tons of offensive action and urgency. This pick peaks our interest out the gate as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 212 and we are now seeing it inch upwards all the way to a resting spot of 212.5 over / under line giving us that first initial impression as to where the smart money is moving and the OVER is starting to open up as the side to be on. Investigating deeper into the stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games at home reall highlighting the fact that the favored Wizards really like to push the pace at home which should be no different tonight as they control the temple of the game. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 212.43 and 211.52 and it should be the recent track record of this series that really suggests the OVER mark will be easy to break through in this specific contest. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 86–81-5 and even though the mean regression is siding towards the under we still like this value spot given the fact that is now the playoffs where everything is re-setting and the stakes are rising. When it comes to pace of play Atlanta is 10 and Washington is 11 giving us two essentially top 10 NBA teams in terms of offensive speed and production which bodes well for scorching this reasonably low total for such a circumstance. We also note that the Hawks are 10 in possessions per game (soaring to new heights) and the Wizards the number 11 team in the league (also skyrocketing upwards) and once again these are two teams both playing at elevated offensive paces with a lot on the line so there should be plenty of scoring fireworks in this one. The public consensus for this game is 55% in favor of the over so it will be interesting to see where this one lands. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 211.4 so a 212.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite the AI predictor brain being slightly off from our prediction. Game Time: Atlanta Hawks at Washington Wizards - Eastern Conference Playoffs First Round - Game 5 - Wednesday, April 26, 2017 6:00 PM Spread: 709 Atlanta Hawks +6 -110 +205 710 Washington Wizards -6 -110 -245 Total: 709 Atlanta Hawks Over 212½ -110 710 Washington Wizards Under 212½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 212.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Washington Wizards at Atlanta Hawks
The NBA basketball playoffs are really starting to heat up and tonight we target the Washington Wizards (51-34) versus the Atlanta Hawks (44-41) in what becomes almost a must win for the home squad. This pick peaks our interest right from the start as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 211.5 and we are now seeing it move down all day to finally settle on a 211 over / under line giving us that great first insight into where the sharp money is siding and the UNDER is looking like that option. Investigating deeper into the numbers we see that total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Atlanta really solidifying the fact that these two teams simply show up on the defensive end when it comes time to battle. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 212.44 and 211.52 and it should be the recent trends that really get us to where we need to go in this one. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 86–82-3 and we have to like our side when more often then not we even out to the mean giving us one more sign that the UNDER has a lot of value here. When it comes to pace of play Washington is 11 and Atlanta is 10 and we can fully expect the Hawks to slow this one down to a crawl on their home court in order to get the win. We also note that the Wizard are 10 in possessions per game and the Hawks the number 11 team in the league and once again given the history of these two teams this season the UNDER leaves in such a nice spot to be in. The public consensus for this game is 58% in favor of the over so we get that nice public fade we like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 214.9 so a 211 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite the AI predictor brain being slightly off from our prediction. Game Time: Washington Wizards at Atlanta Hawks - Eastern Conference Playoffs First Round - Game 4 - Monday, April 24, 2017 8:00 PM Spread: 519 Washington Wizards +2½ -110 +125 520 Atlanta Hawks -2½ -110 -145 Total: 519 Washington Wizards Over 211 -110 520 Atlanta Hawks Under 211 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 211 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Boston Celtics at Chicago Bulls
The 1st round of the NBA basketball playoffs are in full swing and tonight we target the Boston Celtics (53-31) versus the Chicago Bulls (43-41) and this has to be surprising story so far as the last seed is really giving the first seed a run for there money. This pick lights up the radar from the start as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 207.5 and we are now seeing it move in a downward direction all the way to a resting spot of 206 over / under line giving us that great opening read as to where the savvy money is moving and the UNDER is starting to open up as the value play. Investigating deeper into the stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 14 games on the road and that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Chicago really highlighting the notion that slow basketball follows when given the game conditions and matchup we are seeing for tonight. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 210.81 and 207.82 and it should be the recent trends that really get us to where we need to go in this one. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 76–88-4 and even though the mean is siding towards the under we still like this value spot given the fact that is now the playoffs where everything is re-setting. When it comes to pace of play Boston is 12 and Chicago is 20 and we can fully expect the Bulls to slow this one down to a crawl on their home court in order to get the win playing their style of ball. We also note that the Celtics are 14 in possessions per game (dropping quickly) and the Bulls the number 20 team in the league and once again the Bulls are one of the slowest teams in the league playing with a lot on the line at home which should easily drive the pace down enough in this one to stay below are mark. The public consensus for this game is 61% in favor of the over so we get that nice public fade we like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 210.6 so a 206 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite the AI predictor brain being slightly off from our prediction. Game Time: Boston Celtics at Chicago Bulls - Eastern Conference Playoffs First Round - Game 3 - Friday, April 21, 2017 7:00 PM Spread: 715 Boston Celtics -2½ -110 -145 716 Chicago Bulls +2½ -110 +125 Total: 715 Boston Celtics Over 206 -110 716 Chicago Bulls Under 206 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 206 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets
What a rush it is to get to watch the NBA basketball playoffs and tonight we target the Oklahoma City Thunder (47-36) versus the Houston Rockets (56-27) and after watching the first game its clear one team is on an entirely other level then the other. This bet draws our attention from the start as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 224 and we are now seeing it dipping a lot so far to where it is has finally ended up which is back to a 224 over / under (fallen as low as 222.5 so far) giving us that great first lead and glimpse as to where the sharp money is moving and the UNDER is starting to reveal itself as the stronger possible outcome. Digging deeper into the stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games on the road and OKC is simply not playing the kind of basketball that can hit the totals that Houston is currently drawing. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 221.63 and 215.29 and we get our absolute favorite spot to be and that is where even if both teams play optimally the outcomes still falls into our picks favor. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 76–83-7 and even though the mean is siding towards the under we still like this value spot given the fact that is now the playoffs where everything is re-setting. When it comes to pace of play Oklahoma City is 8 and Houston is 3 but this is a very playoff specific situation where its clear OKC just does not have the offensive power to keep up. We also note that the Thunder are 7 in possessions per game and the Rockets (slowing down as well) the number 3 team in the league and once we are seeing how the Thunder's slow recently is even starting to rub off on the high powered Rockets. The public consensus for this game is 51% in favor of the over so it will be interesting to see where this split decision finally winds up before tip. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 220.8 so a 224 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even get the AI predictor brain on our side for this one. Game Time: Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets - Western Conference Playoffs First Round - Game 2 - Wednesday, April 19, 2017 8:00 PM Spread: 703 Oklahoma City Thunder +8 -110 +300 704 Houston Rockets -8 -110 -360 Total: 703 Oklahoma City Thunder Over 224 -110 704 Houston Rockets 224 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 224 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers
Its one of the most exciting times for sports during the year as the NBA basketball playoffs are finally here and tonight we target the Indiana Pacers (42-41) versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (52-31) and after watching the first game this series might be a little more competitive then people were expecting. This bet draws our attention from the start as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 212 and we are now seeing it fluctuate in a falling direction all the way down to a 208.5 over / under giving us a nice hint as to where the smart money is shifting and the UNDER is starting to reveal itself as the stronger possible outcome. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 215.47 and 212.53 and a real key here is the playoff atmosphere and closeness of last game that will be depressing the score for this one. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 90–74-2 and the lines at this point almost have no choice this late in the season but to start drawing back to a middle average. When it comes to pace of play Indiana is 18 and Cleveland is 16 and giving us two in the bottom half of the league which always bodes well and especially on a total this high. We also note that the Pacers are 17 in possessions per game (dropping drastically) and the Cavaliers (slowing down as well) the number 16 team in the league and here again we get slow teams playing slower then usual in a high intensity game which has all the makings for a low scoring affair. The public consensus for this game is 67% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 211.8 so a 208.8 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite the AI predictor brain seeing it slightly off from us. Game Time: Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers - Eastern Conference Playoffs First Round - Game 2 - Monday, April 17, 2017 7:00 PM Spread: 517 Indiana Pacers +8½ -110 +325 518 Cleveland Cavaliers -8½ -110 -400 Total: 517 Indiana Pacers Over 208½ -110 518 Cleveland Cavaliers Under 208½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 208.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians
Baseball is finally uppon us again and tonight we get the Detroit Tigers (6-3) against the Cleveland Indians (4-5) in matchup that we will have kickoff our MLB 2017 betting season. This pick starts off with all the makings of a solid play as the opening number on the total of 9 has now dropped to 8.5 thanks to an early sharp money push which we will gladly trail. Were getting all the right signals for this one and that is reinforced by stats such as the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games at home so we get an absolute gem of a situation to ride these staggering trends to another win. The public consensus for this game is 67% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well.. The Detroit Tigers produce 4.11 runs this year and the Cleveland Indians output 3.89 runs on the year so with the scoring averages shaping up the way they are this one has UNDER written all over it. The weather at Progressive Field is looking like 47°F Very cloudy, Humidity is 68%%, Wind is NE 4 mph and with the wind blowing in like this the ball and score should have no problem staying low. Another really favorable part of this UNDER bet is the fact that both the Tigers and Indians have elite closing staffs making late inning runs almost obsolete in this series. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Trevor Bauer (R) pitching who has a .267 AVG against righties (7/9 Tigers are RH hitters). We also get starting pitcher Daniel Norris (L) pitching who has a .250 AVG against righties (9/9 Indians are RH hitters). The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.4 so the UNDER 8.5 play gets all the right leans and at a -110 we should be super happy to grab a bunch value in this spot for all of the reasons above. Game Time: Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians - Friday, April 14, 2017 7:10 PM Spread: 915 Detroit Tigers +1½ -150 +146 916 Cleveland Indians -1½ +130 -156 Total: 915 Detroit Tigers Over 8½ -110 916 Cleveland Indians Under 8½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 8.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics
Well sadly its the final day of the NBA season and oh what a season it has been but the good news is we get one last full slate of NBA basketball and tonight we target the Milwaukee Bucks (42-39) versus the Boston Celtics (52-29) giving us one team playing for everything (1st in playoff seeding) and a team playing for nothing (resting all stars for the playoff run). This bet is highly appealing upon first look as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 208.5 and we are now seeing it drop with conviction all the way down to a 206 over / under giving us a nice inclination as to where the sharp money is shifting and the UNDER is starting to reveal itself as the value play. Picking apart the key stats even more we note that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games really highlighting the fact that the Bucks are just slowing things down lately as they save and gear up for their playoff push. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 211..7 and 209.22 and a real key to remember here is that all the good Bucks are sitting so the offensive power will be completely depleted from one side. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 81–78-3 and this is the perfect time to see that final pullback to even that we always know is going to occur organically throughout the season. When it comes to pace of play Milwaukee is 26 and Boston is 12 and we are really looking for the Celtics to crush here as the game is dragged out by the much slower Bucs. We also note that the Bucks are 26 in possessions per game (dropping fast) and the Celtics the number 13 team in the league and here again the Bucks current team state is no where firing on enough cylinders to justify such a high total. The public consensus for this game is 100% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 209.7 so a 206 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite the AI predictor brain seeing it slightly off from us. Game Time: Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics - Wednesday, April 12, 2017 8:05 PM Spread: 711 Milwaukee Bucks +14 -110 +1050 712 Boston Celtics -14 -110 -1600 Total: 711 Milwaukee Bucks Over 206 -110 712 Boston Celtics Under 206 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 206 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons
Suffice it to say its nice to have the NBA playoffs almost here but tonight as the regular season winds down we will set our sights on an NBA basketball's playoff race and tonight we will target the Washington Wizards (48-32) versus the Detroit Pistons (37-43) giving us two teams that should have no interest in performing well as one will be resting and the other has given up on the season. This bet is highly appealing upon first look as some books OVER/UNDER line started at 210.5 and we are now seeing it fall continually as we now find it resting at a 208.5 over / under giving us strong hints as to where the savvy money is shifting and the UNDER is starting to reveal itself as the sharper bet. Diving deeper into the stats we note that the total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 13 games and this really highlights the fact that Pistons just have no interest in playing any type of uptempo or inspired offensive basketball. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 210.56 and 209.72 and this pick is a very situation specific bet that has a lot to do with the end of season. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 84–75-1 and this is the perfect time to see that final pullback to the mean that we always know is going to occur naturally. When it comes to pace of play Washington is 11 and Detroit is 25 and the at home play of Pistons will simply stifle the offense of this game so much that the total we are seeing here is just too high. We also note that the Wizards are 11 in possessions per game (dropping fast) and the Pistons the number 25 team in the league (also trending way down) and here again we get two teams that are showing a high propensity to score below expected value making this a great spot to be in. The public consensus for this game is 59% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 210.8 so a 208.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite the AI predictor brain seeing it slightly off from us. Game Time: Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons - Monday, April 10, 2017 8:05 PM Spread: 707 Washington Wizards +4 -110 +150 708 Detroit Pistons -4 -110 -170 Total: 707 Washington Wizards Over 208.5 -110 708 Detroit Pistons Under 208.5 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 208.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors
Not only is it Friday but I am watching baseball as I type this making it yet another great day but tonight we will again focus in on NBA basketball's playoff race and tonight we will target the Miami Heat (38-40) versus the Toronto Raptors (48-31) giving us two teams that are fighting for playoff positioning but on opposite spectrum of the race. This bet is highly appealing upon first glance as some books OVER/UNDER line started at 208.5 and we are now seeing it drop down to a 206 over / under giving us every reason to think the savvy money is siding on the UNDER as the sharper bet. Diving deeper into the stats we note that the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games on the road and were really looking to the Heat to continue this trend and continue by slowing down the game to get the methodical win. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 209.6 and 205.02 and its the strong defense and slow play that we should fully expect to reign supreme tonight in such a vital game for both squads. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 79–77-1 and this is the perfect game to hit the even mark that we have been working with all season. When it comes to pace of play Miami is 21 and Toronto is 22 and we get two of the slowest squaring up facing an unjustifiably high total. We also note that the Heat are 22 in possessions per game (dropping fast) and the Raptors the number 23 team in the league (also trending way down) and its these teams current playoff run needs that have us in a great position to make this a tight and slow paced affair. The public consensus for this game is 54% in favor of the under so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 212.1 so a 206 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite the AI predictor brain not seeing it the same way. Game Time: Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors - Friday, April 07, 2017 7:35 PM Spread: 501 Miami Heat +4½ -110 +165 502 Toronto Raptors -4½ -110 -190 Total: 501 Miami Heat Over 206 -110 502 Toronto Raptors Under 206 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 206 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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