Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves
The new year is almost here and tonight we get the chance to build a bankroll for 2017 as we look at the NBA basketball game between the Milwaukee Bucks (15-15) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (10-22) which finds two sub par teams facing off. This pick looks appealing from the start as the smart money is already dropping this 210 OVER/UNDER down to a 208.5 over / under giving us a solid opening reason to evaluate this UNDER pick. Breaking down game conditions further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games so once we again we get a home team playing slowed down basketball that should be able to control the tempo at home. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee so we get a nice historical trend working in our favor as well. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 208.75 and 208.24 so its take an unlikely ner perfect offensive game to beat this UNDER. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 34-27-1 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon and we will gladly pick up some of that value tonight. When it comes to pace of play Milwaukee is 19 and Minnesota is 22 and we are really getting the bottom of the ladder from both teams when it comes to ability to score so this UNDER looks very nice. Equally favorable the Bucks are 18 in posessions per game (dropping) and the Timberwolves are the number 23 team in the league (dropping drastically) so there should be absolutely no absence of a slowed down game by the home squad who will get the game at the speed they choose. The public consensus for this game is 75% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 207 so a 208.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like the winner we need to take us into a positive mind set and bankroll in the New Year. Game Time: Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves - Friday, December 30, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 709 Milwaukee Bucks +1½ -110 +105 710 Minnesota Timberwolves -1½ -110 -125 Total: 709 Milwaukee Bucks Over 208½ -110 710 Minnesota Timberwolves Under 208½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 208.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Brooklyn Nets 76ers at Chicago Bulls
Wednesday has found us again and that means another terrific night of NBA basketball as we get set our sights on the Brooklyn Nets (8-22) versus the Chicago Bulls (15-16) which will be a battle of two less then steller squads. This pick looks appealing out the gate as the sharp money is already shedding pushing this 213 OVER/UNDER down to a 212.5 over / under giving us nice value on the UNDER in this spot. Breaking down the facts and stats further we see that the The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home so we should get a Bulls team playing their game at home which simply bodes very very well for the UNDERcoming through. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 207.25 and 215.61 highlighting the fact that the offense is just not there lately which in turn should keep this one easily UNDER. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 29-31-1 and it will be interesting to see if the UNDER trend being slightly favored continues. When it comes to pace of play Brooklyn is 1 and Chicago is 25 and we can fully expect the pace will be controlled by home team setting the tone for an almost sure UNDER. Equally favorable the Nets are 2 in posessions per game and the Bulls are the number 26 team in the league (dropping drastically) so there should be absolutely no absence of a slowed down game by the home squad who will get the game they want tonight. The public consensus for this game is 57% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 207 so a 212.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like a very tantalizing bet. Game Time: Brooklyn Nets at Chicago Bulls - Wednesday, December 28, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 709 Brooklyn Nets +9½ -110 +380 710 Chicago Bulls -9½ -110 -475 Total: 709 Brooklyn Nets Over 212½ -110 710 Chicago Bulls Under 212½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 212.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Cleveland Cavaliers 76ers at Detroit Pistons
Hope everyone had a very merry Christmas and the fresh start of a new year is almost upon us as we head into another wonderful Monday night of NBA basketball as we get excited to bet on the Cleveland Cavaliers (23-6) versus the Detroit Pistons (14-18) and we get a tired championship team coming off a rigorous holiday back to back. We feel great about this pick at first glace as the smart money is already shedding light on the value here moving this opening 204.5 OVER/UNDER to a to 202 over / under giving us every reason to believe the play is the UNDER in this spot. Breaking down the facts and stats further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home so we get a home team playing extremely slow basketball which should really set the tone for this game and that means all defense and a tough rod ahead for the offense. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 209.27 and 200.98 making it clear that the defenses have every capability to keep this UNDER. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 27-33-1 and it will be interesting to see if this trend continues. When it comes to pace of play Cleveland is 15 and Detroit is 27 so we get a bottom 5 team in terms of offensive pace at home against another slower team which should spell success for the UNDER. Equally favorable the Cavaliers are 17 in posessions per game and the Pistons are the number 28 team in the league so there should be absolutely no shortage of defense in this one. The public consensus for this game is 65% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 206 so a 202 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should check off the winner box for tonight. Game Time: Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons - Monday, December 26, 2016 7:35 PM Spread: 705 Cleveland Cavaliers +4½ -110 +165 706 Detroit Pistons -4½ -110 -190 Total: 705 Cleveland Cavaliers Over 202 -110 706 Detroit Pistons Under 202 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 202 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Philadelphia 76ers at Phoenix Suns
Its two days before Christmas and what that means is we get a Friday full of NBA basketball and its Philadelphia 76ers (7-21) versus the Phoenix Suns (8-21) as a battle of two bad teams that like to chuck it up against each other which bodes well from the OVER. On the surface we love what we are seeing here as the sharp money is showing its colors moving this opening 210 OVER to a to 212.5 over / under line and this type of shift is exactly what we want when finding value in a pick. Breaking down the facts and stats further we see that the total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix's last 12 games and the total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games at home so if there is any team that just encourages scoring its the Suns. On top of this the total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Phoenix further proving these two teams really get offesnively when playing each other. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 204.59 and 219.31 highlighting that the defense is way too pourous given the situation. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 33-23-1 and it will be interesting to see if this trend continues. When it comes to pace of play Philadelphia is 14 and Phoenix is 2 so we get a top 5 team in terms of speed getting a run at home against another uptempo team which should spell success for the OVER. Equally favorable the 76ers are 13 in posessions per game and the Suns are the number 1 team in the league so there should be absolutely no shortage of offensice opportunities in this one for everyone. The public does not really even have this game on their radar so this is a nice and sneaky play that most are missing. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 214 so a 212.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should check off the winner box for tonight. Game Time: Philadelphia 76ers at Phoenix Suns - Friday, December 23, 2016 9:05 PM Spread: 719 Philadelphia 76ers +5 -110 +175 720 Phoenix Suns -5 -110 -210 Total: 719 Philadelphia 76ers Over 212.5 -110 720 Phoenix Suns Under 212.5 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 212.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks
Time to get into another wild wednesday in the NBA as we find ourselves eyeing a bet on the Minnesota Timberwolves (8-19) versus the Atlanta Hawks (14-14) and its the tale of two teams very much going in opposite directions. We see from the jump that the smart money is pouncing on the OVER as this NBA 212 opening over / under line has nudged up to a 213 total and this type of movement is exactly what we want to lead us in the right direction. Breaking down the facts and stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games so we are getting a paced up team at home which alwys spells for lots of offense. On top of this the total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Minnesota so its clear historicaly that these two teams have no problem scoring against each other. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 206.97 and 211.29 so its the lack of defense we will need to rely on here to grab the win. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 26-29 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the OVER occuring and we will gladly pick up some of that value tonight. When it comes to pace of play Minnesota is 20 and Atlanta is 5 so we get a top 5 team in terms of speed getting a run at home against another uptempo team which should spell success for the OVER. Equally favorable the Timberwolves are 19 (soaring much higher of late) in posessions per game and the Hawks are 11 so once again these teams two teams should be playing at a rapid rate tonight given the matchup and recent trends. The public consensus for this game is 72% in favor of the under so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to see working for us as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 220 so a 213 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get the job done pretty easily tonight. Game Time: Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks - Wednesday, December 21, 2016 7:35 PM Spread: 705 Minnesota Timberwolves +5 -110 +170 706 Atlanta Hawks -5 -110 -200 Total: 705 Minnesota Timberwolves Over 213 -110 706 Atlanta Hawks Under 213 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 213 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers
Its the Monday of Christmas week and hopefully the gifts start to come early this year as we find ourselves in a prime spot to bet on the Washington Wizards (12-14) versus the Indiana Pacers (14-14) tonight which gives us two mediocre teams on offensive slides pitted against each other. We get a strong opening insight on this game as we have watched this NBA 212 opening over / under line dip all the way down to a 210 total and this swing is a positive sign right from the start. Breaking down the facts and stats we see that total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 10 games at home so its clear the Pacers are playing paced down basketball which plays heavily in our favor. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 15 games when playing on the road against Indiana so we get a nice historical trend siding with us as well. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 209.48 and 212.28 and we see that the offense is just not there to justify this high of a total. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 32-22 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER occuring and we will gladly pick up some of that value tonight. When it comes to pace of play Washington is 15 and Indiana is 11 so we get two teams out of the top 10 and on a downslide offensively which bodes extremely well for the UNDER. Equally favorable the Wizards are 14 (massively falling off) in posessions per game and the Pacers are 9 (undergoing a huge drop as well) so once again these teams two teams should be slowed down and shuttered tonight. The public consensus for this game is 61% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to see working for us as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 209 so a 210 UNDER play given all the above looks like a premium play from many angles. Game Time: Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers - Monday, December 19, 2016 7:05 PM Spread: 701 Washington Wizards +6 -110 +200 702 Indiana Pacers -6 -110 -240 Total: 701 Washington Wizards Over 210 -110 702 Indiana Pacers Under 210 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 210 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Los Angeles Lakers at Philadelphia 76ers
Another fantastic holiday season Friday and we find ourslves giddy over the opportunity to bet on the Los Angeles Lakers (10-18) versus the Philadelphia 76ers (6-19) tonight which hopefuly will bring back huge rewards as two not that hot teams take the court. We get a strong opening read on this game as we have tracked this NBA 212.5 opening over / under line and seen it sneak all the way down to a 211 total and this swing is a very telling sign on where this bet ends up. Pouring further into the facts and stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games on the road so the Lakers are clearly playing a different game when traveling. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games so the 76ers in general are struggling to find there offensive footing and tonight should be no different. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 202.67 and 216.88 and the defensive side of the numbers is simply too low in this spot to not find tremendous value on the UNDER that is 9 points of our total tonight. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 33-13 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening sooner then later and we will gladly pick up some of that steam tonight. When it comes to pace of play Los Angeles is 4 and Philadelphia is 17 so its going to be a Philly paced game at home which hilghly favors our UNDER side. Equally favorable the Lakers are 9 (dropping quickly) in posessions per game and the 76ers are 13 (undergoing the biggest drop in touches we have seen all year) so once again these teams should not be scoring a large percentage of the time in this exact spot. The public consensus for this game is 80% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 210 so a 211 UNDER play given all the above looks promising in the wake of all that we have going for us. Game Time: Los Angeles Lakers at Philadelphia 76ers - Friday, December 16, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 515 Los Angeles Lakers -1½ -110 -123 516 Philadelphia 76ers +1½ -110 +103 Total: 515 Los Angeles Lakers Over 211 -110 516 Philadelphia 76ers Under 211 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 211 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Los Angeles Clippers at Orlando Magic
Its the middle of the week and that means its primetime to enjoy some NBA and for tonights pick we focus on the Los Angeles Clippers (18-7) versus the Orlando Magic (11-15) which should be very fast played game as a hot home team tries to keep up with one of the best in the NBA. Right out of the gate we notice that this NBA 206 opening over / under line has been creeping up all day to a final resting spot of a 208.5 total and this is exactly the type of movement we like see to start pointing us the right direction. Delving even further into the facts and stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games and that the total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games so it pretty clear LA has no problem putting plenty of offense up to get the job done and will have to tonight being favored by so much. On top of this the total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games at home and due to some injuries this game will most likely have to be played on the smaller more uptempo side. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 205.95 and 201.69 so this is a spot were really relying on a few other key insights to get the job done. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 26-24-1 so we get a glimpse into what the yearly mean might look like and we are happy to see it might slightly favor the over when it comes to these two squads. When it comes to pace of play Los Angeles is 17 and Orlando is 24 but these numbers are a bit dceiving given current conditions. Also the Clippers are 16 (trending way up) in posessions per game and the Magic are 25 (flying up) so once again this is a very case specific play that should see two teams really putting the ball in the hoop in quick fashion. The public consensus for this game is 65% in favor of the OVER so we the nice general consensus fade that we always like to have on our side. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 218 so a 208.5 OVER is looking like it has a bunch of value attached to it which we will take. Game Time: Los Angeles Clippers at Orlando Magic - Wednesday, December 14, 2016 7:05 PM Spread: 505 Los Angeles Clippers -8 -110 -380 506 Orlando Magic +8 -110 +315 Total: 505 Los Angeles Clippers Over 208½ -110 506 Orlando Magic Under 208½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 208.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors
Another fine holidy season Monday we find ourslves in a great chance to get a fresh start at the books as we start eyeing the Milwaukee Bucks (11-11) versus the Toronto Raptors (16-7) which should be interesting paced down game. We get a tantalizing opening read on this game as we have tracked this NBA 215.5 opening over / under line adjust all the down to a 212.5 total and this three point swing is exactly what we like to see. Diving deeper into the facts and stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road really highlighting the fact that Milwaukee loves to slow thing down while away. On top of this total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee so its very clear these two teams like to keep it defensive minded when matched up in recent history. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 215.18 and 205.43 and the defensive side of the numbers is simply too low in this spot to not find a whole bunch of value on the UNDER. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 30-15 so we should start to regress back to the mean more often then not once again making the UNDER here very appealing. When it comes to pace of play Milwaukee is 12 and Toronto is 23 so were getting two of the slower teams in the league in a duel here whicch bodes well for us. Equally favorable the Raptors are 24 (dropping quickly which relly works well for us here) in posessions per game and the Bucks are 15 so once again these teams do not push the ball offensively at rates that encourage high scoring affairs. The public consensus for this game is 70% in favor of the OVER so we the nice general consensus fade that we always like to have on our side. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 214 so a 212.5 UNDER play is not outline at all as we have every positive signal we like to see pointing that the UNDER play comes up the winner here tonight. Game Time: Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors - Monday, December 12, 2016 7:35 PM Spread: 503 Milwaukee Bucks +7½ -110 +280 Over 212½ -110 504 Toronto Raptors -7½ -110 -340 Under 212½ -110- Total: 503 Milwaukee Bucks Over 212½ -110 504 Toronto Raptors Under 212½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 212.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt- Pick #1 – Toronto Raptors at Boston Celtics
TGIF and its time to get ready for the weekend by taking in some NBA and tonight we get a nice divionsal showdown as the Toronto Raptors (15-7) take on the Boston Celtics (13-9) as we get two teams really starting to hit their stride. We get a great opening read on this game as we have watched this NBA 205.5 opening over / under starting line move all the way up to a 207.5 total showing a clear pattern on where the sharp bettors feel this game will end up. Diving deeper into the facts and stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games and that the total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games on the road and anyone watching the Raptors knows they are playing at a lights out pace right now. On top of this the total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games and even without Isaiah Thomas they have every weapon healthy and the scoring has been trending up lately. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 216.77 and 206.32 and we find ourselves in one of those rare spots where the total offenese launches way over where we need to be creating a huge value position that simplycan not go over looked. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 24-20 so the season long odds favor us nicely here also. When it comes to pace of play Boston is 19 and Toronto is 27 but these numbers are very decieving given recent output and actually work for us here as it is keeping the total abnormally low in a place where it should not be. Equally sneaky the Raptors are 24 in posessions per game and the Celtics 21 but each team is making every possesion count which we will see goes along way towards creating a ton of points. The public consensus for this game is 82% in favor of the OVER so every marker is on our side in this one. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 215 so banking on the 207.5 OVER coming through seems like a solid lock as we head into the weekend. Game Time: Toronto Raptors at Boston Celtics - Friday, December 09, 2016 7:35 PM Spread: 705 Toronto Raptors +1½ -110 +105 706 Boston Celtics -1½ -110 -125 Total: 705 Toronto Raptors Over 207½ -110 706 Boston Celtics 207½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 207.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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