NBA Picks Monday 12/12/2016 – MIL vs. TOR

Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors​

Another fine holidy season Monday we find ourslves in a great chance to get a fresh start at the books as we start eyeing the Milwaukee Bucks (11-11) versus the Toronto Raptors (16-7) which should be interesting paced down game. We get a tantalizing opening read on this game as we have tracked this NBA 215.5 opening over / under line adjust all the down to a 212.5 total and this three point swing is exactly what we like to see. Diving deeper into the facts and stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road really highlighting the fact that Milwaukee loves to slow thing down while away. On top of this total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee so its very clear these two teams like to keep it defensive minded when matched up in recent history. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 215.18 and 205.43 and the defensive side of the numbers is simply too low in this spot to not find a whole bunch of value on the UNDER. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 30-15 so we should start to regress back to the mean more often then not once again making the UNDER here very appealing. When it comes to pace of play Milwaukee is 12 and Toronto is 23 so were getting two of the slower teams in the league in a duel here whicch bodes well for us. Equally favorable the Raptors are 24 (dropping quickly which relly works well for us here) in posessions per game and the Bucks are 15 so once again these teams do not push the ball offensively at rates that encourage high scoring affairs. The public consensus for this game is 70% in favor of the OVER so we the nice general consensus fade that we always like to have on our side. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 214 so a 212.5 UNDER play is not outline at all as we have every positive signal we like to see pointing that the UNDER play comes up the winner here tonight.

Game Time:
Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors - Monday, December 12, 2016 7:35 PM

Spread:
503 Milwaukee Bucks +7½ -110 +280 Over 212½ -110
504 Toronto Raptors -7½ -110 -340 Under 212½ -110-

Total:
503 Milwaukee Bucks Over 212½ -110
504 Toronto Raptors Under 212½ -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 212.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt-