Pick #1 – Charlotte Hornets at Portland Trailblazers
Winners of 3 out of there last four games the Trailblazers are finally back to there old high flying, high scoring ways. The hornets have been no slouches either lately taking 4 out of there last 6 while playing a faster more guard based pace of basketball that has them putting up points as well. While Charlotte has constantly been dealing with a variety injuries they recently just got back Batum who is one of there best offensive weapons. For Charlotte the main injuries are to big men such as Jefferson and Zeller so this should create an uptick in shooting and speed on the court. The fact is these teams love to put up points against each other with a combined recent over/under NBA head to head total record of of 7-3 over there last 10 games so expect the buckets to be flowing as usual. The Trailblazers have been playing at a blistering pace of basketball lately and we have to think that will continue tonight as they only healthier and more accustomed to playing together. Portland also need to put up -6.5 more to cover the spread at home so expect them to be taking it to the rim quickly and frequently. Portland also has a 12-10 o/u home record as well as a 25-22 over and under stat line on the year making this yet another appealing bet to go over. As good as all that is here is where our side starts really looking juicy. Looking at the offensive and defensive averages of both teams over there last 10 games they each combine for collective offensive and defensive scores of 210 points while giving up 210.3 putting us easily over what we are seeing as the Over / Under line for today's run. Even better as we have tracked the consensus pick percentage so far for this over /under and we are showing a 70% position on the over and the only side in the 70%'s. Opening as low as 205.5 we are starting to see the smart money taking this bet into the 206 – 207 range already. With a 10:05 pm eastern start time there is still plenty of opportunity for movement so lets hope to lock our over bets on the lowest total possible. Portland needs a break game and win at home and this is going to be that statement game. The stats all lead to an OVER here so lets run with it and collect some cash. We will take the smart money and recent past historical trends and take the OVER 206.5 all the way to the bank. Game Time: Friday, January 29, 2016 10:05 PM Spread: 865 Charlotte Hornets +6½ 866 Portland Trail Blazers -6½ Total: 865 Charlotte Hornets Over 206½ 866 Portland Trail Blazers Under 206½ Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 206.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Charlotte Hornets at Utah Jazz
Tonight's NBA match up is a tale of two different teams. While the hornets are winners of 4 out of there last 5 games and playing some extremely efficient basketball the injury plagued Jazz are continuing to falter while featuring a meager 2 wins over there last 7 contests. While Charlotte has constantly been dealing with new injuries the Jazz are actually starting to get healthy again as Derrick Favors just got back to the court after a few weeks of being out. Charlotte injuries to mostly there big men is starting to result into a new style that much faster and more guard and scoring based which begins to play into our prediction here. Despite one team being on the winning upswing while another is on a losing downswing they both are putting a large amount of points as evidenced by the OVER hitting in 4 out of 6 of Utah's last games and 3 out the last 5 Charlotte runs. While the over is looking very appealing at the outset we have to start to feel really good about our side when we look back at the game these two teams played a mere 9 days ago January 18th 2016 in which the final score reached a whopping 124 – 119 for the Hornets. Even better in this game the Jazz must win by -6.5 at home so we can expect some high flying action as the Jazz try to keep up with the small ball playing Hornets. Charlotte also has a 12-8-1 o/u away record making it highly likely that they will be following with the trend of more scoring on the road as well. Now here is where things really start looking good for this pick. Looking at the offensive and defensive averages of both teams combined they score a collective 199.96 points while giving up 198.97 putting us easily above the set Over / Under line for this game and it gets better. Tracking the consensus pick percentage for this over /under bet we are seeing an extremely strong 71% position and is the clear leader on the board today so far. Opening as low as 191 on some betting sites and now moving to 191.5 we are beginning to see where the smart is pushing to one side and need to lock in the over before it goes higher. Holding at 191.5 we hope we can get our bets down well ahead of tip off before it really moves to much against us. We have to think the speedy guards will dominate this one on both sides and the Jazz should tons of inside looks as there newly healthy big men take on a depleted Hornets front court. The numbers are screaming OVER here and its hard to argue with them. Lets follow the smart money and recent numerical trends here and happily take the OVER of 191.5. Game Time: Wednesday, January 27, 2016 9:05 PM Spread: 513 Charlotte Hornets +6½ 514 Utah Jazz -6½ Total: 513 Charlotte Hornets Over 191½ 514 Utah Jazz Under 191½ Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 191.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMat Pick #1 – Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers
Both of the teams were looking at have been struggling lately. Losers of 11 out of there last 13 games the Timberwolves are one of the worst teams in basketball right now. While Cleveland is doing much better then that they are currently going through a dramatic coaching change and have gone a mediocre 3-3 over the last six games. is starting to see its young talent gel. Despite recent losing records both teams are still putting up nice point totals and have the offensive weapons and pace of play to run a score at anytime. Backing up this first insight is the fact that these two teams met very recently on January 8th putting up a score of 99-125 easily going way over the Total we are seeing today. On top of this the Cavaliers must win by -13 at home so they will have a huge incentive to put up lots of points. Minnesota also has a 12-7-2 o/u away record making it highly likely that they will be following with the trend of more scoring as well. Looking at the averages of both teams combined they score a collective 199.9 points while giving up 198.57 so it is the recent trends of scoring by both teams when they actually meet each other. Now here is where this NBA total over/under bet really starts to reveal itself. Watching the consensus picks on the day the over /under for this game is showing a very strong 68% position and is the clear favorite on the board today so far. Opening as low as 200 on some betting sites the savvy money has pushed this Total all the way up to 204 at the time of writing. Holding at 204 for a long time today so far lets hope we maybe can wait to gain back a point or two. We have to think the Cavs will really want to get a nice first win for their new head coach and will not take a lot of chances in this one by coming out in full offensive throttle from the gate. One interesting note is that the The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road which is the trend we are looking for to continue here. We will look for this to be a statement game for the Cleveland Cavs and their new coach and fully expect them to put on their full display of offensive weapons. Lets follow the smart money and recent historical results and trends and happily take this one at the OVER of 204 or better. Game Time: Monday, January 25, 2016 7:05 PM Spread: 501 Minnesota Timberwolves +13 502 Cleveland Cavaliers -13 Total: 501 Minnesota Timberwolves Over 204 502 Cleveland Cavaliers Under 204 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 204 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Houston Rockets
The bucks are starting to heat up while the Rockets are on a losing trajectory as of late. Winners of 5 out of there last 7 games Milwaukee is starting to see its young talent gel. On the other hand the Rockets are full of Veteran stars that still seem to have yet to find that chemistry which is indicative of there current 3 losses in the last four games. Regardless of recent records both teams are certainly putting up high point totals and although these two teams have not face off this year there should be plenty of shots going up and falling in this one. Backing up this initial inclination is the fact that the total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games. The Rockets really love to push the pace and the odds makers are simply not keeping up as of now. Houston also has to win by -3 in this game so we can really expect them to play at usual fast rate at home and the Bucks will have no choice but to follow sit and they actually have the high powered offense to do it. Another interesting note for this game is that both teams over/under records are 24-19-1(Bucks) and 24-20 (Rockets) again making the over look very appealing as we start to dive into the numbers. Looking at the averages of both teams combined they score a collective 202.6 points while giving up 208.4 and we really have to like the fact that both teams defenses are giving up combined on the year more then were giving up in or total. Now here is where the stats get exciting when considering this NBA total over/under pick. Tracking the consensus bets on the day so far the over /under for this game is showing an insane positional percentage of 98% and staying pretty strong at that point the whole day. Opening as low as 207 on some bookmaking sports sites the smart money has edged this bet up to 208 as we are seeing in most places which is the type of movement we like to see. Sticking at 208 for a long time today so far lets hope we can lock it in at that before the smart money starts to move it even further up. Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games so it will be interesting to see how close they really can keep this one in Houston. Its going to take a lot of scoring to do it. One interesting note is that the Houston Rockets field goal percentage has averaged 44.55% this year which is a tad less than the Milwaukee Bucks record of 46.06% shooting which is a bit miss leading. This matchup is fast a paced Rockets team playing against a more determined and equally high flying Bucks team. All signs point to both these teams running up the score so lets lock in the OVER 208. Game Time: Friday, January 22, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 859 Milwaukee Bucks +3 860 Houston Rockets -3 Total: 859 Milwaukee Bucks Over 208 860 Houston Rockets Under 208 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 208 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMat Pick #1 – Miami Heat at Washington Wizards
Losers of their last 6 out of 8 games the Heat are starting to look like the hobbled team they are. On the other side of the spectrum the Wizards are starting to get healthy again and are heating up showcasing a 4-2 record over the last 6 games despite being on a two game losing streak as they acclimate Beal back into the starting rotation. Our opening insight into comes in the form of recent history where just a mere 17 days ago on January 3rd these two teams squared off to a lowly scoring effort in a 95 -75 win by the Heat. One thing was obvious in that game. These two teams struggle to put up pints against each other. Even more startling is that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games showing a clear trend that the heat are having trouble scoring without there floor leader Goran Dragic. The Wizards need to win by +4.5 points so it should be a close game where both teams have to take there time when trying to execute on every possession. Looking at the averages of both teams combined they score a collective 198.1 points while giving up 199.6 on defense placing our NBA total over/under a smidge over the target but these stats do not reveal the real rates due to current injuries and trending pace of play. Now here is where the stats get very juicy when considering this NBA total over/under pick. Reviewing the consensus bets as of now the over /under for this game is showing by far the highest positional percentages on the board with 91% on the under. Opening as high as 198 on some betting sites the smart money has pounded this one down the 197 as we are seeing in most places at the time of this writing. Hanging on 207.5 for a long time the smart money really seems to be piling up on the under in this game. Washington is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home and Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games so its anybody's guess who covers this one. One interesting note is that the Washington Wizards field goal percentage has averaged 45.35% this year which is a tad less than the Miami Heats record of 45.85%% shooting which is a bit miss leading. This matchup is basically a slowed down Miami team versus a Wizards team just trying to get themselves back offensively. We look for the smart money and trending tempos to take precedent here and roll with the UNDER 197. Game Time: Wednesday, January 20th, 2016 7:00 PM Spread: 503 Miami Heat +4½ 504 Washington Wizards -4½ Total: 503 Miami Heat Over 197 504 Washington Wizards Under 197 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Under 197 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors
For the Raptors things are looking up. They are on a four game win streak and playing strong basketball. Its exactly the opposite for the Nets. Losers of their last 8 out of 10 games they are really struggling to stay competitive amid a flurry of injuries. One strong insight into this game is that these two teams played just a mere 12 days ago on January 6th resulting in a Toronto win 91 -74. One thing was clear in that game. These two teams do not put up a lot of points when they face each other. Even more interesting is that the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 10 games showing a clear pattern that Brooklyn is having trouble scoring while at the same time still playing reasonable defense. The Raptors need to win by +11.5 points so they are really going to have to keep the Nets against the ropes defensively to hold that line. Looking at the averages of both teams combined they score a collective 195.9 points while giving up 199.8 putting our Total almost square in the middle of that number. Now here is where things get very appealing for the pick we like. Reviewing the consensus bets so far the over /under for this game is showing one of the highest positional percentages on the board with 68% on the under which is one of the highest on the plate today. Opening as high as 203.5 on some sites the odds started high but sank quickly down the 197.5 we are seeing in most places a the time of this writing. Hanging on 108.5 for a long time the smart money really seems to be piling on the under in this game. Brooklyn is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road and Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home so this will probably wind up being a low scoring game with the Nets having a good chance to cover. One interesting note is that The Toronto Raptors field goal percentage has averaged 43.95% this year which is less than the Brooklyn Nets who have made 44.47% of there shots per game which lends even more credibility to a Nets cover and a Total under. Some the faster paced more offensive minded players are out in Jarret Jack and DeMarre Carroll so we have to think the pace should continue between these two teams and follow last games not so distant example. We have been watching the smart money and correlated line moves all morning so lets fire on the under here and we will take it at 197.5. Game Time: Monday, January 18, 2016 7:35 PM Spread: 513 Brooklyn Nets +11½ 514 Toronto Raptors -11½ Total: 513 Brooklyn Nets Over 197½ 514 Toronto Raptors Under 197½ Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Under 197.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMat Pick #1 – Phoenix Suns at Boston Celtics
Both teams are playing pretty mediocre basketball lately with Boston starting to heat up on a 1 game winning streak. The Suns have been losing a lot lately making them pretty atrocious on any given night.. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games so it seems like the odds are clearly leaning on the under here. This is the first time these two teams have met this year so the odds makers may be a bit in the dark on how this one plays out. The Celtics need to win by +9.5 points so they are really going to have to keep the Suns at bay defensively to hold that line. Even on there best averaged out days both teams combine to only score for 205.1 points and combine to give up 205.9 putting us at a very very nice pace and position to hit are under mark. Now here is where things get very juicy for the side we like. Monitoring the consensus bets so far shows the the over /under for this game has a massive position for a prolonged period of time on a single side showing 85% on the under which is by far the highest on the board today. Opening at 208.5 or 209.5 depending on where you lay your odds at it is becoming very clear that the smart money is pouring in on the under as we have now seen the line move down to 207.5. The smart money is leaning hard on this bet to hit the under and we have every reason to think this should happen. Phoenix is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road so expect them to play horribly offensively which has been the case a lot lately due to the many injuries and internal turmoils they are facing as a team. Both these teams are actually playing pretty bad lately, losing lots of games so we should not expect a lot of offensive showcasing tonight. With the Suns having a sick Brandon Knight, a hurt and Eric Bledsoe and a disgruntled Markieff Morris it is hard for them to stay in contention on any given night. We have to think its going to poor offensive showing by the visiting team while Bostons continues on its amazing under streak and lets follow the smart money and correlated line moves here and we will take the under 207.5. Game Time: Friday, January 15, 2016 7:35 PM Spread: 855 Phoenix Suns +9½ 856 Boston Celtics -9½ Total: 855 Phoenix Suns Over 207½ 856 Boston Celtics Under 207½ Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Under 207.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets
Flying high on a 7 game win streak its hard to imagine most any team besides the Spurs playing better basketball then the Warriors right now. Even the Nuggets have been no slouch lately getting a lot healthier and in the same process winning two out of there last three and showing a bit of that competitive spark again. Those streaks are mild compared to this NBA stat though. Ready. The total has gone over in 16 of Golden State's last 22 games. On top of this The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games at home. Yes you read that right. The first time these two teams met earlier in the year it resulted in a Warriors 119 - 104 home win performance by the Warriors giving even more confidence to the potential of this NBA total going over. In this game the home courts are reversed so the Nuggets are going to really have to fight and play the Warriors game in this one if they expect to keep up in front of the home crowd which is much more likely to lend itself to a fast paced, high scoring strategy on both sides of the ball. Both teams combine to score for 212.7 points and combine to give up 205.1 putting us at the edge of the actually total. Looking at the consensus on bets for today the over /under for this game has a large position on one side showing 95% on the over. Opening at 211 or 212 depending on where you shop your lines it is becoming very clear that the smart money is flowing in on the over as we have now seen the line move up to 213.5. The smart money is leaning this bet to the over great reason to think hitting this over should be no problem at all. Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road and Denver is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home so this should a battle of Nuggets fighting with everything they got to stay close at home. Both teams are great inside and rebounding teams ((Nuggets) No. 8 (Warriors) No. 4) but miss matched from outs side (Nuggets) No. 16 (Warriors) No. 1) so there should be a lot of scoring and easy points inside and out which should hopefully push the score up. One near confirmed rumor is that Draymond Green might sit oout and rest the next few games starting with tonight. As Denver has a lot of healthy big men Farried, Arthur, Nurkic, Jokic etc. this should really lead to a whole down low for the Warriors and open up the scoring and points even more pushing a lot the Warriors offense to the outside and giving the Nuggets a chance to dominate inside. Lets look to bank on the smart money here and we will take the over 213.5. Game Time: Wednesday, January 13, 2016 9:05 PM Spread: 513 Golden State Warriors -9½ 514 Denver Nuggets +9½ Total: 513 Golden State Warriors Over 213½ 514 Denver Nuggets Under 213½ Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 213.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMat Pick #1 – San Antonio Spurs at Brooklyn Nets
Hot on the heels of a 7 game win streak the odds makers are picking the talented and healthy San Antonio Spurs to dismantle the injury plagued four game losing streak Brooklyn Nets by 15 point or more. Not only are the spurs red hot but five out of their last six games have gone over the set spread total indicating they are playing faster and putting up more points against opponents then normally expected. The last six nets games have all gone under so this meeting will certainly be a clash of who wants to push the pace faster and who can keep up. The first meeting this season resulted in a spurs 75 - 102 drudging of the Nets at home. Here the home courts are reversed giving the Nets a much better likely hood of at least putting up a fight in this one. Both teams combine to score for 199.3 points and combine to give up 192 and we are seeing the total for today really fluctuating today between those two numbers. Looking at the consensus on bets for today the over /under for this game has a whopping 62% on the over. Opening at 191.5 or 192 depending on where you shop your lines it is becoming very clear that the smart money is pouring in on the over as we have now seen the line move up to as high as 194 so far today. The smart money has spoken giving us a real good indicator for how this total bet should play out. Brooklyn is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home and San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road so it should be a lot of the Spurs pounding on the Jarret Jack less Nets with the Nets doing everything in there power to stay close at home. Both teams are great inside and rebounding teams ((Nets) No. 10 (Spurs) No. 6) but not that great from outs side (Nets) No. 29 (Spurs)No. 24) so there should be a lot of scoring and easy points inside the point which should hopefully push the score up. Lets look for Thaddeus Young, Brook Lopez and company to look to really give it a go at home and hopefully we see a ton of points as a results. We know the Spurs and players like Aldridge, Duncan, Leonard, and Parker should have no problem holding up there end of the scoring. Lets look to roll with the smart money here and we will take the over 194. Game Time: Monday, January 11, 2016 7:35 PM Spread: 501 San Antonio Spurs -15 502 Brooklyn Nets +15 Total: 501 San Antonio Spurs Over 194 502 Brooklyn Nets Under 194 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 194 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMat Pick #1 – Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
We have to think this is NBA total over / under is low almost entirely for the fact that starting Grizzlies point guard Mike Conley will most likely sit out with a hurt heel. What I think is not being represented here is how good a backup point guard Mario Chalmers is. He could be a starter in the league, is as offensive minded as they came and does a great job of running the team so this betting line appears to be an over adjustment. Combine that with the fact that Matt Barnes is back from suspension and Zack Randolph and Marc Gasol are playing some of there best basketball of the year right now and you have to feel this has all the makings of a high scoring game. Sure Courtney Lee is also out but he is a non offensive factor on Memphis. On the other side Denver just announced Kenneth Farried will also be sitting out due to the birth of his. While this seems alarming he has been playing pretty atrocious lately and has not been a big factor. The Nuggets also have tons of talented big men to fill and pick up the scoring tonight. Guys like D Arthur, N Jokic and J Nurkic all are playing at levels and can fill in nicely. Danilo Gallinari is also finally back and back to his flying scoring ways to we should see plenty of uptempo points from the Nuggets side as usual. 7 out of the last 10 Nuggets games have gone over this total so we have to think this is a pretty promising pick. Both these teams give up a combined 202.3 points and score a combined 194.8 putting us well over this projected over / under. Since the open of this line we have lost a point and it feels exactly like the same set up as the last bet we lost but were going to stick to our reads and go with them. I have to think the Nuggets are going to push the pace of this game and Chalmers and company will oblige needing to win by 6 at home. Lets take the over here and get back to our winning ways. Game Time: Friday, January 08, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 861 Denver Nuggets +6 862 Memphis Grizzlies -6 Total: 861 Over 190.5 -107 862 Under 190.5 -103 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 190.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games but be responsible! Picks By TexasMatt |
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