Pick #1 – Phoenix Suns at Boston Celtics
Both teams are playing pretty mediocre basketball lately with Boston starting to heat up on a 1 game winning streak. The Suns have been losing a lot lately making them pretty atrocious on any given night.. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games so it seems like the odds are clearly leaning on the under here. This is the first time these two teams have met this year so the odds makers may be a bit in the dark on how this one plays out. The Celtics need to win by +9.5 points so they are really going to have to keep the Suns at bay defensively to hold that line. Even on there best averaged out days both teams combine to only score for 205.1 points and combine to give up 205.9 putting us at a very very nice pace and position to hit are under mark. Now here is where things get very juicy for the side we like. Monitoring the consensus bets so far shows the the over /under for this game has a massive position for a prolonged period of time on a single side showing 85% on the under which is by far the highest on the board today. Opening at 208.5 or 209.5 depending on where you lay your odds at it is becoming very clear that the smart money is pouring in on the under as we have now seen the line move down to 207.5. The smart money is leaning hard on this bet to hit the under and we have every reason to think this should happen. Phoenix is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road so expect them to play horribly offensively which has been the case a lot lately due to the many injuries and internal turmoils they are facing as a team. Both these teams are actually playing pretty bad lately, losing lots of games so we should not expect a lot of offensive showcasing tonight. With the Suns having a sick Brandon Knight, a hurt and Eric Bledsoe and a disgruntled Markieff Morris it is hard for them to stay in contention on any given night. We have to think its going to poor offensive showing by the visiting team while Bostons continues on its amazing under streak and lets follow the smart money and correlated line moves here and we will take the under 207.5.
Friday, January 15, 2016 7:35 PM
855 Phoenix Suns +9½
856 Boston Celtics -9½
855 Phoenix Suns Over 207½
856 Boston Celtics Under 207½
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
Under 207.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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