Pick #1 – Memphis Grizzlies at Phoenix Suns
Hope the week is starting off amazing for everyone and it should get even better as we are gifted with the chance to watch some NBA basketball as the Memphis Grizzlies (28-21) take the Phoenix Suns (15-32) which is a current tale of really good versus really bad. This pick starts off in our favorite type of light as the savvy money is already moving this 210 OVER/UNDER opening line down to a 208 over / under giving us a lead reason to believe this has nothing but the UNDER written all over it. Breaking down the contest even further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 9 of Memphis's last 11 games when playing on the road against Phoenix so its nice to have a solid historical foundation of paced down basketball between these two. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 206.52 and 211.63 and its the lack of offense combined with an extremely tough defense that should easily take us home here. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 54–41-1 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon and we always love to wind up where numbers should be merging more appropriately. When it comes to pace of play Memphis is 28 and Toronto is 3 making this UNDER play an extremely nice look as we get an UNDER where the much better team should be able to control the game enough that it follows a Memphis slowed down style of basketball. We also note that the Grizzlies are 26 in possessions per game (also currently trending down at an unheard of rate) and the Suns are the number 3 team in the league (dropping as well as of late) so one again we get one of slowest teams in league playing even slower in a matchup they should completely control which highly favors our UNDER position. The public consensus for this game is 69% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 215 so a 208 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI predictor brain.. Game Time: Memphis Grizzlies at Phoenix Suns - Monday, January 30, 2017 10:35 PM Spread: 509 Memphis Grizzlies -3½ -110 -165 510 Phoenix Suns +3½ -110 +145 Total: 509 Memphis Grizzlies Over 208 -110 510 Phoenix Suns Under 208 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 208 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors
Last weekend of January 2017 and its the perfect night to take in some NBA basketball and we have our eyes on the Milwaukee Bucks (21-24) versus the Toronto Raptors (28-18) which serves up a nice game where Toronto will be missing one of their best offensive players. This pick starts off very appealing as the sharp money is already moving this 215 OVER/UNDER opening line down to a 213 over / under giving us a strong initial lead on where this bet is headed. Breaking down the matchup further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee so its nice to get a recent history of slowed down basketball between these two. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 214.76 and 209.36 and one again we get a high total match up against averages that are not justifiable. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 57–33-1 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon and we always love to wind up in this type of fade spot. When it comes to pace of play Milwaukee is 21 and Toronto is 20 making this UNDER play an extremely nice look as we get an UNDER lean on two teams at the bottom 3rd of the league in offensive prowess. We also note that the Bucks are 21 in possessions per game and the Raptors are the number 20 team in the league so there should be plenty of paced down basketball here. The public consensus for this game is 67% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 214 so a 213 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and AI brain could not agree more. Game Time: Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors - Friday, January 27, 2017 7:35 PM Spread: 855 Milwaukee Bucks +5 -110 +180 856 Toronto Raptors -5 -110 -220 Total: 855 Milwaukee Bucks Over 213 -110 856 Toronto Raptors Under 213 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 213 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Los Angeles Lakers at Portland Trail Blazers
Huge 10 game slate in NBA basketball tonight and our favorite game is looking like its the Los Angeles Lakers (16-32) versus the Portland Trail Blazers (19-27) setting the stage for two mediocre teams to do battle. This pick starts off strong as the smart money is already moving this 226 OVER/UNDER opening line down to a 220 over / under giving us a nice hint as to where this bet should be heading. Breaking down the matchup further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games highlighting the fact that the Lakers are simply not playing at there usual pace. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games at home and again we get a team showing signs that they are slowing it up as of late. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 211.58 and 220.92 and its the poor recent offensive showings of both teams that should get us where we need to go. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 53–41 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon and this makes it yet another bet that features lots of value. When it comes to pace of play Los Angeles is 6 and Portland is 10 making this UNDER play a bit deceiving as these two quicker teams have really slowed it down offensively as of late. We also note that the Lakers are 11 in possessions per game and the Trail Blazers are the number 7 team in the league but its the recent offensive outputs from each squad that will really give us our edges here. The public consensus for this game is 55% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 215 so a 220 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and AI brain could not agree more. Game Time: Los Angeles Lakers at Portland Trail Blazers - Wednesday, January 25, 2017 10:35 PM Spread: 519 Los Angeles Lakers +8½ -110 +335 520 Portland Trail Blazers -8½ -110 -420 Total: 519 Los Angeles Lakers Over 220 -110 520 Portland Trail Blazers Under 220 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 220 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks
Time to kick off the week in style as we get the incredible opportunity to take in the NBA basketball that will pit the Houston Rockets (34-13) versus the Milwaukee Bucks (20-23) giving us two teams whose play has left a lot to be desired as of late. This pick peaks our interests from the start as the smart money is already moving this 228 OVER/UNDER opening line down to a 224 over / under giving us every indication as to where this bet should be heading. Breaking down the matchup further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games so we get the faster team playing slower basketball as of late which will go along way towards helping keep this one low scoring. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 218.91 and 211.49 and we get the dream scenario where averages in no way justify where the total is being set and this is simply far to high considering how these two teams are trending in performance. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 52–38 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon and this makes it yet another amazing spot to bet into. When it comes to pace of play Houston is 4 and Milwaukee is 21 and we get one of our favorite set up spots where the home team should control pace and play giving us the slowed down offensive game that we need to bust these high totals. We also note that the Rockets are 4 in possessions per game (dropping) and the Bucks are the number 21 team in the league (dropping drastically) so there should be absolutely no absence of a defensive minded pace in this one. The public consensus for this game is 55% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 221 so a 224 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and AI brain could not agree more. Game Time: Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks - Monday, January 23, 2017 8:05 PM Spread: 511 Houston Rockets -5 -110 -220 512 Milwaukee Bucks +5 -110 +180 Total: 511 Houston Rockets Over 224 -110 512 Milwaukee Bucks Under 224 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 224 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Chicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks
The Friday night lights will be out tonight on NBA Baseball and that means we get turn on and tune into the Chicago Bulls (21-22) on the Atlanta Hawks (24-18) in what should be a backand forth offensive focuse and paced up game. This pick gets us excited out the gate as the smart line shoppers have already shifted this 202.5 opening OVER/UNDER line by moving it up to a 204.5 over / under and this is the type of information we like to see when dechiphering an OVER play. The recent offensive and deffensive performance data for these two teams give us averages of 204.19 and 204.32 and we get one of our absolute favorite spots to be in and that is where the averages get us to the OVER mark we need to be at. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 34–50-1 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the OVER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Chicago is 24 and Atlanta is 12 and we should fully expect one of the fatest teams in the league to dictate the game tempo on their home court. We also note that the Bulls are 26 in posessions per game and the Hawks are the number 13 team in the league and so once again we get one of the fastest teams in the league at home with a total that is just too low. The public consensus for this game is 65% in favor of the OVER so not very decided either way and it will be interesting to see where the final hits before tip off. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 201 so a 204.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slighty off from the AI predictor brain. Game Time: Chicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks - Friday, January 20, 2017 8:05 PM Spread: 859 Chicago Bulls +5 -110 +175 860 Atlanta Hawks -5 -110 -210 Total: 859 Chicago Bulls Over 204½ -110 860 Atlanta Hawks Under 204½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 204.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Indiana Pacers at Sacramento Kings
NBA basketball sure is in full swing for 2017 and this 9 game slate gives us a gem of a matchup between the Indiana Pacers (21-19) and the Sacramento Kings (16-24) in what should be a game controlled by the slower home team pace. This pick sends off the right indicators from the get go as the sharp bettors are already moving this 217 opening OVER/UNDER line by moving it down to a 214.5 over / under and this is the type of information we like to see when formulating an UNDER play. The recent offensive and defensive performance data for these two teams give us averages of 208.53 and 212.28 and we get one of our absolute favorite scenarios to be in and that is where the averages simply can not back up such a robust total. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 42–38 so we should fully expect a regression back to a .500 record making the UNDER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Indiana is 8 and Sacramento is 23 and we should fully expect one of the slowest teams in the league to dictate the game tempo on their home court. We also note that the Pacers are 9 in possessions per game and the Kings are the number 23 team in the league and so once again we get one of the slowest teams in the league at home with a total that is just too high. The public consensus for this game is 66% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus public fade that we always like to have on our side in this UNDER play as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 218 so a 214.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI predictor brain. Game Time: Indiana Pacers at Sacramento Kings - Wednesday, January 18, 2017 10:35 PM Spread: 515 Indiana Pacers +1½ -110 +105 516 Sacramento Kings -1½ -110 -125 Total: 515 Indiana Pacers Over 214½ -110 516 Sacramento Kings Under 214½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 214.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Charlotte Hornets at Boston Celtics
Hope everyone is enjoying celebrating Martin Luther King Jr. day and hopefully we will also be enjoying a win at the books tonight as we get and enticing NBA basketball between the Charlotte Hornets (24-15) and the Boston Celtics (22-16) in a game that pits two teams headed in opposite directions of the win column. This pick sends off signals from the start as the savvy bettors are already impacting this 217 opening OVER/UNDER line by moving it down to a 215.5 over / under and this is the type of hint we like to see when plotting an UNDER bet. Diving right into some of the key numbers we note that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Charlotte so these two teams have a serious recent history of playing paced down basketball against one another. The recent offensive and defensive performance data for these two teams give us averages of 212.08 and 208.58 and we get one of our absolute favorite positions to be in and that is where the averages simply do not justify the posted line due to over inflation. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 44–36 so we should fully expect a regression back to the middle making the UNDER yet another great spot to bet given the scenarios. When it comes to pace of play Charlotte is 16 and Boston is 18 and with two teams at the bottom half of the list we get a highly favorable situation in terms of UNDER betting. We also note that the Hornets are 15 in possessions per game (going down) and the Celtics are the number 18 team in the league (dropping drastically) and so once again we are talking about two of the slower teams in the league leading to lessened amount of offensive looks which makes for a perfect UNDER play on such a high total. The public consensus for this game is 55% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus public fade that we always like to have on our side in this UNDER play as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 220 so a 215.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI analysis. Game Time: Charlotte Hornets at Boston Celtics - Monday, January 16, 2017 7:35 PM Spread: 511 Charlotte Hornets +5 -110 +175 512 Boston Celtics -5 -110 -210 Total: 511 Charlotte Hornets Over 215½ -110 512 Boston Celtics Under 215½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 215.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks
TGIG and hopefully we can pick up right where we left off on Wednesday and pick up another strong pick as this Friday night of NBA basketball we focus in on the Boston Celtics (24-15) versus the Atlanta Hawks (22-16) game and we get a matchup of two squads really doing well right now. This pick gives us indicators to where it is headed as the sharp money is already impacting this 213 opening OVER/UNDER line all the way down to a 210.5 over / under and this gives us every reason to believe the UNDER has nice value here. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics for these two teams give us averages of 209.71 and 207.35 and we get one of our absolute favorite positions and that where the averages just do not justify the line in any way. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 35–41-1 and it will be interesting to see if this lean towards the UNDER continues for these two rivals. When it comes to pace of play Boston is 18 and Atlanta is 9 and as the Celtics are the better team they should have control of a slower game here. We also note that the Celtics are 18 in possessions per game and the Hawks are the number 12 team in the league (dropping drastically) and we get two teams out of top 10 and the faster team on a slower stride as of late which always means good things for the UNDER. The public consensus for this game is 61% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this UNDER play as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 213 so a 210.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI analysis. Game Time: Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks - Friday, January 13, 2017 8:05 PM Spread: 705 Boston Celtics +2½ -110 +125 706 Atlanta Hawks -2½ -110 -145 Total: 705 Boston Celtics Over 210½ -110 706 Atlanta Hawks Under 210½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 210.5 (2 Units) Pick #1 – Memphis Grizzlies at Minnesota Timberwolves
2017 has started off great and tonight we get another wild night of NBA basketball as we set our sights on the Memphis Grizzlies (24-16) versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (23-16) game and its a face off of two teams playing very solid basketball. This pick looks tempting right off the bat as the smart money is already impacting this 207 opening OVER/UNDER line all the way down to a 203 over / under and this big of a swing is a tell tale sign where the value is to be had on this bet. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics for these two teams give us averages of 206.20 and 203.6 and its the strong defensive play and slow pace of Memphis that should ultimately allow for this UNDER to come through tonight. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 36–41-2 and it will be interesting to see if this lean towards the UNDER continues for these two foes. When it comes to pace of play Memphis is 28 and Oklahoma is 7 and anytime we can get a bottom three team at an inflated total we will take almost everytime. We also note that the Grizzlies are 24 in posessions per game and the Thunder are the number 7 team in the league (dropping drastically) so its all a positive sign that the faster team is dropping significantly in touches. The public consensus for this game is 63% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this UNDER play as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 211 so a 203 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should play into our favore despite what the AI equation notes. Game Time: Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder - Wednesday, January 11, 2017 8:05 PM Spread: 705 Memphis Grizzlies +4½ -110 +165 706 Oklahoma City Thunder -4½ -110 -190 Total: 705 Memphis Grizzlies Over 203 -110 706 Oklahoma City Thunder Under 203 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 203 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves
Its a rare Monday where the slate has pretty slim pickings but we still find a nice gem for tonights NBA basketball as we get the Dallas Mavericks (11-26) versus the Minnesota Timberwolves (11-26) and its a battle of slowest and the worst from all sides. This pick looks juicy from the start as the sharp money is already moving this 199.5 opening OVER/UNDER down to a 195 over / under really hghlightng where the value is ending up tonight. Breaking down the matchup further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games really showcasing the fact that the Timberwolves are simply playing slow basketball right now with no change in sight. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road so we get two teams going at it that are both playing paced down games right now. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 198.3 and 205.51 and its really the poor and struggling offenses that should really send this UNDER home tonight. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 33–40-1 and it will be interesting to see if this trend continues. When it comes to pace of play Dallas is 29 and Minnesota is 25 so we litteraly almost two of the slowest teams going up against each other which will almost assure a low scoring affair.. We also note that the Mavericks are 29 in posessions per game and the Timberwolves are the number 25 team in the league (dropping drastically) so there should be absolutely no absence of poor and slow offensive play. The public consensus for this game is 67% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 199 so a 195 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should play into our favore despite what the AI brain says. Game Time: Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves - Monday, January 09, 2017 8:05 PM Spread: 703 Dallas Mavericks +4½ -110 +165 704 Minnesota Timberwolves -4½ -110 -190 Total: 703 Dallas Mavericks Over 195 -110 704 Minnesota Timberwolves Under 195 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 195 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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