Pick #1 – Chicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks
The Friday night lights will be out tonight on NBA Baseball and that means we get turn on and tune into the Chicago Bulls (21-22) on the Atlanta Hawks (24-18) in what should be a backand forth offensive focuse and paced up game. This pick gets us excited out the gate as the smart line shoppers have already shifted this 202.5 opening OVER/UNDER line by moving it up to a 204.5 over / under and this is the type of information we like to see when dechiphering an OVER play. The recent offensive and deffensive performance data for these two teams give us averages of 204.19 and 204.32 and we get one of our absolute favorite spots to be in and that is where the averages get us to the OVER mark we need to be at. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 34–50-1 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the OVER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Chicago is 24 and Atlanta is 12 and we should fully expect one of the fatest teams in the league to dictate the game tempo on their home court. We also note that the Bulls are 26 in posessions per game and the Hawks are the number 13 team in the league and so once again we get one of the fastest teams in the league at home with a total that is just too low. The public consensus for this game is 65% in favor of the OVER so not very decided either way and it will be interesting to see where the final hits before tip off. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 201 so a 204.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slighty off from the AI predictor brain.
Chicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks - Friday, January 20, 2017 8:05 PM
859 Chicago Bulls +5 -110 +175
860 Atlanta Hawks -5 -110 -210
859 Chicago Bulls Over 204½ -110
860 Atlanta Hawks Under 204½ -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 204.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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