Texas Bowl Prediction - Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Syracuse Orange ATS
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My first play of the day is in the 6pm game
Minnesota Golden Gophers -4
vs Syracuse Orange +4
Lines both at -110 from 5Dimes.
This game is going to feature a matchup between two strong run teams. Minnesota had a great season running the ball. In every win they ran up at least 175 yards on the ground. In their 4 losses they did not cross the 140 yard mark. Facing big teams Minnesota rose to the occasion and beat Northwestern and at the time 24th ranked Nebraska. They did struggle down the stretch losing to a Rose Bowl bound Michigan St team and also a very good Wisconsin team, BUT they kept the games close with strong physical play.
Syracuse was quite another story. They struggled mightily against their top opponents and even lost to some of the same teams Minnesota defeated in Penn St and Northwestern. Syracuse The closest matchup to Minnesota that Syracuse has faced would be Georgia Tech who also relies on a run attack. Georgia Tech torched Syracuse 56-0.
I like this game to be won in the trenches and feature both teams trying to establish the run and grind out field position.
My prediction is 24-16 Minnesota
4 units Minnesota -4
2 units Under 48
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Well we have officially wrapped up the 2013 College football regular season. I've spent some time this last week tallying up the seasons results and I'm pleased to report the following.
Overall picks ATS 94-31 for a win % of 75.2% Including several underdog Money Line Winners
Total return was +142 units (may vary a little depending on your books juice)
which equates to a 142% return on your bankroll from College Football.
Our 4 and 5 unit plays went 17-4
We had 3 perfect weeks in weeks 8, 10 and 11 where we did not have a single incorrect prediction in college football!!!
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New Mexico Bowl Prediction
The college bowl season gets started with the New Mexico Bowl today at 2pm EST featuring the 6-6 Washington St Cougars out of the Pac-12 Conference up against the 7-6 Colorado State Rams out of the Mountain West Conference.
Colorado State heads back to Albuquerque for the second time in just over a month following their romping over New Mexico in this same stadium (66-42) back on Nov 16th. Colorado State had their first winning season since 2005. With many seniors on the team this team will show up ready to play and expect a well prepared rams squad.
Washington St had an up and down season, which can be expected with what could easily be considered the hardest schedule in the PAC 12. Washington St's year included many strong showings including a close week 1 loss to National Championship participants Auburn losing 31-24. This close loss was followed up with hard earned 10-7 Victory over USC Trojans. The season also included victories over Arizona and Utah.
Washington St. Cougars -4.5 Vs.Colorado St. Rams +4.5
Over 65 /Under 65
I expect this game to be close early on as both teams work out the nerves of being under the national spotlight of opening the 2013-14 College Bowl season.
Washington St will run their spread offence with a 4th ranked passing attack. Expect a passing attack from the start as the Cougars look to exploit the Rams 101st ranked defense and 107th ranked secondary. Quarterback Connor Halliday proved to be one of the top passing threats in the country putting up numbers all season long, with a high point of 557 yards and 4TDs against the Oregon Ducks. Expect Halliday to spread the ball around often against the very weak Rams secondary. The Cougars run is weak averaging only 58.7 yards per game.
Colorado State's offence is lead by running back Kapri Bibbs who emerged as one of the top running backs in the country. Expect a well balanced attack out of the Rams as Quarterback Garrett Grayson can spread it around too, he completed 62.1% of his passes this season for a total of 3327 yards and 21tds.
Look for lots of points from both teams. But I expect that the Washington St passing attack will be too much for the Rams secondary and as they begin to pull away the Rams will be forced to abandon their balanced run attack minimizing Bibbs impact on the game.
Prediction Washington St wins a shootout 41-31
3 units on Washington St -4.5
1 units on Over 65
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Thursday Night Football Picks
19th Ranked Louisville Vs Cincinnati
This one should be a close game and in close games I always like to side with the best quarterback. Teddy Bridgewater is going to be one of the top NFL draft picks next year and this will be one of his last chances to show off his passing skills before the draft.
While Louisvilles chances at a BCS bowl game are all but gone I do believe they will show up for this one as it is a classic rivalry game and with Louisville moving to the ACC next year, it will be the last time the Victory Bell will be awarded for the foreseeable future.
Teddy Bridgewarter has been out of the Heisman race for a while but has still put up stellar numbers completing 71% of his passes en route to 25 touchdowns.
Cincinnati is no slouch on offence either, they actually lead the converence in total offence at 487 yards per game. Brendon Kay is a strong quarterback however interceptions have been an issue from time to time.
The major difference is going to be Bridgewaters accuracy and the Cardinals defense ranked 1st allowing only 242.5 yards per game and an average of only 11.4 points per game.
Look for a close game here with one or two key turnovers making the difference.
I am taking Louisville to cover the -3 points for 3 units.
Prediction Louisville 31 Cincinnati 24.
NFL Jags vs Texans.
With bowl season upon us this game should earn honors as the proverbial “Toilet Bowl”. These two teams are battling for last place in the NFL and the first pick in next years draft. With this being the key, all be it hidden, focus of tonights game, I expect this to be a primetime matchup to forget.
The Texans are clearly the better team, however, on the road, and with next years 1st round draft pick on the line, and a clear focus on a rebuilding year from now on out, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Texans go up early only to have a few untimely turnovers late in the game only to lose by a field goal…
My gut tells me this is going to be one of those strange games that will likely have some weird plays in it.
In that kind of matchup its always best to go with the home team who needs to impress the fans and keep season seat holders happy.
I am taking the points and the Jags +3 and also the under 43.
1 unit on each play.
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