Pick #1 – New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Tonight we get two teams both playing winning baseball but in a bit of a slide as of late and will look to this game as a chance to get back on track and build some momemtum. The Mets are 4-6 over their last 10 games while the Nationals are playing a more abysmal 3-7 over their last 10 trips to the diamond. The game were selecting tonight is the New York Mets (40-36) versus the Washington Nationals (46-32) who both have a tendancy to produce when Washington is at home. Right off the bat we see one of our favorite indicators moving as the total over/under spread for this MLB game opened at 7.5 and has now moved to 8 which means plenty of sharp money must be piling on the over. Looking inside some of the other key trends we see that the total has gone OVER in 15 of Washington's last 23 games and there is little doubt this year of what National's bats are capable of putting up on any given night. These next numbers show just how great of a matchup specific set we get tonight as the total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing NY Mets and the total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington. These are strong leans towards the OVER that we should really like when it comes to picking our side. Just two nights ago these two teams played an 4-11 so clearly the power for big games against each other is there but the public consensus sits undecided on this MLB total as it sits right in the middle at 50%. The Mets produce 3.61 runs this year and the Nationals show up with 4.59 runs on average for the year so we easily make the OVER here just on averages alone. While the park factor for this game is a middle of the road -98 we get the wind blowing out and great day to play baseball with the weather at Nationals Park looking like 96°F, Mostly Sunny, Wind is NNW 12 mph so perfect conditions for the batters to have great games. Another factor we have to really like that points to the OVER in this one is the fact that the Nationals have been having a questionable bullpen so if the Mets can get through M. Scherzer there could be some serious damage done late in the game. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitchers L. Verrett (R) pitchers horribly on the road with his ERA ballooning to 6.41 and also struggles with right handed hitting (6/9 RH hitters on Washington tonight) which should pose problems for him against the Nationals. Also M. Scherzer (R) has posted a 7.50 ERA in the last week, gives up an unorthodox amount of home runs to Mets hitters and struggles with leffties giving the Mets lineup a nice little boost (6/9 LH hitters on New York tonight). The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.4 so lets roll with the OVER at 8 and hopefully pull out yet another win. Game Time: New York Mets at Washington Nationals - Wednesday, June 29, 2016 7:05 PM Spread: 955 New York Mets +1½ -115 +189 956 Washington Nationals -1½ -105 -207 Total: 955 New York Mets Over 8 -115 956 Washington Nationals Under 8 -105 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 8 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – St. Louis Cardinals At Kansas City Royals
When it comes to finding two teams on a power surge we have to look no further then the St. Louis Cardinals and Kansas City Royals. Both are at the top of their hitting games lately and each needs wins to start getting back which is a recipe for runs. Even though the Cardinals only sport a 4-6 record over their last 10 stand offs while the Royals also showcase a mediocre 5-5 baseball win/loss stat sheet over their last 10 make no mistake about it these two are heating up in the scoreboard category. The game were focusing on tonight to try and make our winning pick is the St. Louis Cardinals (39-35) at the Kansas City Royals (39-35-27) both have identical records in conjunction with the bats trending upwards. There are a lot of positive indicators that point towards the over in this one so without further ado lets get into some of the more crucial betting tells. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games and the total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games at home. Not only is KC putting up runs lately but we get them at home tonight which favors our side even more. Even better the Cardinals seem to be able to put 5 runs+ consistently and there 42-30-2 over/under season total record is every indicator of that. These two teams have not played each other this year so the bats get looks at pitching that has less understanding of hitting strengths and weaknesses. These teams as mentioned are scoring runs in droves lately and the public attentions seems to agree as the MLB over/under choice for this interleague battle is a massive 71% on the OVER. The Cardinals post an incredible 5.30 runs on average this season while the Royals put up 4.07 runs for the year so we should have no problem reaching are OVER pick. The weather at Kauffman Stadium is 97°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 59% and Wind is N 0 mph so just perfect baseball conditions for the ball to jump off the bats. The total over/under spread for this MLB game opened at 8.5 and has fallen a half point so lets hope the smart money has pushed a better spread for us in this spot. A nice final point to this pick is the fact that starting pitchers D. Duffy (L) and A. Wainwright (R) combine for a 10.63 ERA this year so the numbers are really falling in our favor here. The computer predicted total score for this match up is 8.8 so lets trust our read here and run with OVER 8 and hope to pick up some nice value here. Game Time: St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals - Monday, June 27, 2016 8:15 PM Spread: 967 St. Louis Cardinals +1½ -185 +117 968 Kansas City Royals -1½ +160 -127 Total: 967 St. Louis Cardinals Over 8 +100 968 Kansas City Royals Under 8 -120 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 8 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Philadelphia Phillies At San Francisco Giants
Two teams that could not be going in more opposite directions the Philadelphia Phillies hope to at least pick up some motivation and inspiration as they head up to San Francisco to take on the Giants. While the Giants are currently playing next level baseball the Phillies are struggling just for a single win. Philadelphia is losing hope to say the least and a recent downswing has them sporting a 1-9 record over their last 10 games while the Giants on the other hand are crushing the Diamond and playing 9-1 baseball over their last 10 trips to the field. The game were selecting tonight to try and make our winning pick is the Philadelphia Phillies (31-43) at the San Francisco Giants (47-27) who have both been putting up a lot of runs lately on any given night. With this game our analysis gets to start off with a trifecta of betting conditions. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road and as mentioned Philly bats have been picking up lately. Then we see that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing San Francisco. Third we get the fact that total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia so as we can see we are off to an amazing start when it comes towards the odds leaning at the OVER. These two teams have not played each other this year so the bats should be fresh and ready to rip. These teams as noted are scoring runs at a high rate lately the public attentions seems to be peaking on this play as the MLB over/under choice for this contest is a whopping 80% on the OVER. The Phillies produce 3.28 runs this year and the Giants put up 4.61 runs for the year so just on bare averages alone we hit are mark almost every time. The weather at AT&T Park is 63°F, Mostly Sunny with Winds of WNW 11 mph so ideal conditions for the ball to flying off the lumber. The total over/under spread for this MLB game opened at 8 and has stayed steady all day so lets jump all over the OVER (pun intended) before it moves against us. A nice final point to this pick is the fact that starting pitchers J. Peavy (R) and A. Z. Eflin (R) combine for a 31.71 ERA this year (yes you read that right and its mostly Eflin) which shows plenty of potential for the OVER hitting without issue on this night of baseball in SF. The computer predicted total score for this match up is 9.2 so all meaningful signs are truly pointing to the OVER 8 here so lets take our chances and try to pick up some nice value here. Game Time: Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants - Friday, June 24, 2016 10:15 PM Spread: 913 Philadelphia Phillies +1½ -115 +188 914 San Francisco Giants -1½ -105 -205 Total: 913 Philadelphia Phillies Over 8 -105 914 San Francisco Giants Under 8 -115 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 8 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Philadelphia Phillies At Minnesota Twins
These are two teams that are probably not on your betting radar that have been really heating up as of late making this Philadelphia Phillies versus Minnesota Twins game an ideal matchup to focus on. Two teams not really known for their offense have bats that are coming alive lately. The Phillies are struggling to say the least as of late and are spiraling down hill with a 1-9 record over their last 10 games while the Twins are also looking for answers playing 4-6 ball over their last 10 outings. The game were selecting tonight to try our insight out on is the Philadelphia Phillies (30-42) at the Minnesota Twins (22-48) who are both playing catch up baseball right now. Starting to delve into some of the more attractive stats for this particular showdown we note that the total has gone OVER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 18 games. Adding on to the allure of this betting opportunity is the fact the total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road. Piling onto the good news the total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games and the total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home. These two teams have batted in one game this year so far and boy oh boy was the scorebaord lit up. The last game between these two teams which was played yesterday resulted in a 14-10 Twinss win so these teams bats appear ready to break out. These AL and NL cross league rivals love to got toe to toe and the consensus seems to agree with this sentiment as the MLB total choice for this side is 76% on the OVER. The Phillies produce 3.21 runs this year and the Twins put up 4.03 runs for the year so were looking at a matchup specific situation here. The weather at Target Field is 88°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 53% , Wind is ESE 7 mph so its a perfect day to put some points on the board. The total over/under spread for this MLB game opened at 8.5 and bumped up to 9 so we have to feel very confident in where the sharp money is taking us here. A nice final point to this pick is the fact that starting pitchers K. Gibson (R) and A. Morgan (L) combine for a 9.41 ERA this year which shows plenty of potential for the OVER htting very easily if these averages come through. The computer predicted total score for this matchup is 9.5 so lets put our belief in the fact that we get two teams trying to get back on track who find themsleves putting up runs against one another and lets take the OVER 9 on this one and feel great about the value and potential were getting. Game Time: Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins - Wednesday, June 22, 2016 8:10 PM Spread: 929 Philadelphia Phillies +1½ 930 Minnesota Twins -1½ Total: 929 Philadelphia Phillies Over 9 930 Minnesota Twins Under 9 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 9 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Baltimore Orioles At Texas Rangers
Two teams with big bats that are able to produce would be the perfect description of the Rangers and Orioles this year. Baltimore has been at the top of the team home run leader board all year while Texas has power and speed all over their lineup. The Rangers are soaring as of late sporting an 8-2 record over their last 10 games while the Orioles are struggling a bit playing .500 ball (5-5) ball over their last 10 so they are really looking to to start to get back on track. The game were selecting tonight to try our insight out on is the Baltimore Orioles (40-28) versus the Texas Rangers (45-25) who are both playing incredible baseball overall this year. Starting to preview some of the more alluring stats on this particular contest we notice that the total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 10 games on the road. Adding on to the appeal of this wager the total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games when playing at home against Baltimore which highlights how much these two teams love to score when playing each other. Baltimore's overall O/U recordfor the year is 34-31-3 while the Ranger's is 36-32-2 putting the odds clearly in our favor for the chance of the OVER hitting. These two teams have already layed 3 games against each other this year and Texas with all resulting in an OVER. The last game between these two teams which was played a couple months ago was an 8-4 Texas win so these teams will post lots runs when playing each other. These two foes have been playing an actively offensive style of baseball recently and the public consensus seems to agree with this sentiment as the MLB total lean is a generous 71% on the OVER. The Orioles produce 4.84 runs this year and the Rangers put up 4.8 runs for the year so even if we get the bar minmum averages here we hit the OVER. The weather at Globe Life Park in Arlington 95°F, Mostly Sunny, and Wind is SW 11 mph making it a perfect night to play some baseball and score some runs. The total over/under spread for this MLB game opened at 9.5 and has stayed steady at 9.5 so the smart money still seems a bit undecided on this one. A nice final point to this pick is the fact that starting pitchers D. Holland (L) and K. Gausman (R) combine for a 8.11 ERA this year which mean there should be plenty of runs to be had from either side tonight. The computer predicted total score for this matchup is 8.5 so lets put our faith in the fact that we get two Divisional leaders battling it out here who known for scoring against one another and lets take the OVER 9.5 and take this one home. Game Time: Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers - Monday, June 20, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 919 Baltimore Orioles -1½ 920 Texas Rangers +1½ Total: 919 Baltimore Orioles Over 9½ 920 Texas Rangers Under 9½ Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 9.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Milwaukee Brewers At Los Angeles Dodgers
Two teams struggling to hover around five hundred? That descirbes the Brewers and the Dodgers which will hopefully provide a little extra incentive to break out the bats tonight. Two teams with plenty of power and passionate baseball personalities behind them there has to be some excitement about each teams potential this season. Both teams are struggling as of late as the Dodgers are 4-6 over their last 10 games while the Brewers are a mere 5-5 ball which actually works in our favor as means there are plenty of runs up for grabs in any games these two are intertwined with. The game were picking to try our insight out on tonight is the Milwaukee Brewers (31-36) versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (35-33) who are each trying to get thet winning feeling back as they steadily fluctuate around playing .500 baseball. Starting to look at some of the specific key factors of this particular game we notice that the total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road. Even more appealing is the fact that he total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers. Add all of this on to an OVER in 5 of the LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee and we start to formulate a situation that is hard to pass up. The only game played between these two NL rivals went over easily so we should see no issue with this contest doing the same. The last game between these two teams which was played yesterday was a 8-6 run final so these teams clearly have no problem putting up nice numbers on the scorebaord when ballting each other. One angle of this game that really favors us is the fact that the Dodgers pitcher might be on some what of an unknown limited pitch count hopefully giving plenty of at bats to Brewers againt relievers. These two teams have been playing a highly offensive style of baseball lately and the public consensus seems to confirm this notion as the MLB total lean is a generous 62% on the OVER. The Brewers produce 4.1 runs this year and the Dodgers put up 4.16 runs on average on the year so we are easily flying OVER this total on any given night. The weather at odger Stadium is 75°F,Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 55% , and the Wind is WSW 1 mph so ideal playing conditions which should make for some solid hitting. The total over/under spread for this MLB game opened at 7.5 and has stuck at 7.5 so the money here is not really sending off any signals. A nice final point to this pick is the fact that starting pitchers J. Urias (L) and Z. Davies (R) combine for a 10.07 ERA this year giving us a nice lean towards the OVER. The computer predicted score for this matchup is also 8.3 so lets feel very confident about taking the OVER at 7.5 and feel really good about where the score of this game should end up at. Game Time: Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers - Friday, June 17, 2016 10:10 PM Spread: 959 Milwaukee Brewers +1½ 960 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ Total: 959 Milwaukee Brewers Over 7½ 960 Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7½ Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 7.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt MLB Picks Wednesday 6/15/2016 – SEA vs. TB
Pick #1 – Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays What happens when two of baseball's league leaders in home runs meets up? Well we are going to find out tonight and we have to think the long balls will be flying off the bats as usual in this potential Tampa Bay Rays versus Seattle Mariners slug fest. The Rays are lightening hot and are 8-2 over their last 10 games while the Mariners are struggling mightily despite their bats playing 3-7 ball over their last 10 contests and will be looking to get back on track on the road. The game were picking to wager on tonight is the Tampa Bay Rays (30-32) versus the Seattle Mariners (34-30) who are both trying to get in a winning groove an steadily rise above playing .500. Starting by examining some of the key factors we see that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road. In addition the total has gone OVER in 14 of Seattle's last 20 games so this really a match up specific game we are looking at tonight. These are strong leans towards the OVER that we simply can not overlook when starting to calculate our pick. There has already been 4 games played between these two teams this year so not only do we already have a nice history to start from but 3 out of the 4 games went over the total we get today and the other game only missed the mark by 1 run. The last game between these two teams which was played yesterday was a 7-8 run final so these teams clearly have no problem scoring runs against each other. One angle of this game that really favors us is the fact that the last time Drew Smyly pitched against the Mariners he dished up 6 runs. These two teams have been playing a highly offensive style of baseball lately and the public consensus seems to agree with this as the MLB total is a nice and convincing 66% on the OVER. The Mariners produce 5.03 runs this year and the Rays put up 4.24 runs on average for the year so we hitting over averages nicely on the year as a whole when it comes to these two teams and low total spreads. The weather at Tropicana Field is 88°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 68%, Wind is WSW 7 mph, Visibility is 10 mi so perfect conditions for the bats to heat up. The total over/under spread for this MLB game opened at 7.5 and moved to 8 so we get our favorite factor in our favor which is the money move in our bets direction. A nice final point to this pick is the fact that starting pitchers D. Smyly (L) and N. Karns (R) combine for a 9.53 ERA giving us a nice push towards the OVER. The computer predicted score for this match up is 8 so lets hope we tip to the right side on this one and take the OVER at 8 and feel really good about where the score of this game is going. Game Time: Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays - Wednesday, June 15, 2016 7:10 PM Spread: 965 Seattle Mariners +1½ 966 Tampa Bay Rays -1½ Total: 965 Seattle Mariners Over 8 966 Tampa Bay Rays Under 8 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 8 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors
Well the Eastern Conference champion Clevland Cavaliers are in trouble to say the least as they face elimination on the road for the NBA championship. Despite being on the brink of losing it all there is one shining light in the fact that they get to take on a Draymond Greenless Warriors team. The most important game of the entire year for either team the 5-5 over there last 10 games Cavaliers and the 7-3 over there recent 10 games Golden State Warriors will both be giving it all they got for two very different reasons. One to stay alive and the other to win it all. The Cleveland Cavaliers (70-30) and the Golden State Warriors (88-15) are both playing some seriously focused basketball and it is currently Golden State getting the best of the battle. Both teams have no injury concerns of note with the Warriors reporting only Kevon Looney hurt for this game. The Warrior are however still playing shorthanded after losing star player and team anchor Draymond Green to suspension. Without one of there best players on the court should make things challenging for Golden State to say least and leaves a huge hole in the chemistry of the offensive attack. Not having Draymond on the floor will most likely cause Golden State to slow down and think about each and every possession a little more closely which highly favor an UNDER as an outcome. Lets start to look deeper into why this will be the case and let the numbers guide us to a correct decision. First off we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road. Continuing to add to this trend the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games at home. Finally the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland. What is very clear is that these two teams are playing slow it down basketball now that the stakes are the highest. Every possession will be vital to the outcome and we can expect both teams to slow down the pace of the game to assure the best decisions possible are made during every possession. The offensive and defensive combined stats over the last 10 games are 207.8 and 197.2 which have steadily been dropping all series making it a great sign that we should once again hit the UNDER in this one. The over/under for this NBA spread total opened at 206.5 and dropped a full two points to 204.5 and then swung back up to 207.5 showing just how swingy the smart money is being on this game. This is pretty much a must win for the Cavs and they will be doing everything in there power to slow down the Warriors which they should be able to accomplish at home. The public consensus for this game is 41% towards the UNDER so its a close decision on then general agreement front when it comes to this bet. The last time these two faced off three days ago the final score was a 106 – 97 win for the Warriors on the road so we can expect Cleveland to do everything in there power to play lock down basketball. We have to feel very confident about taking the UNDER 207.5 here given the way the averages and results have played out in the first 4 games so far. Lets take the UNDER 207.5 and start to wind up the end of the NBA year in winning style. Game Time: Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors - NBA Finals - Game 5 - Monday, June 13, 2016 9:00 PM Spread: 509 Cleveland Cavaliers +6 510 Golden State Warriors -6 Total: 509 Cleveland Cavaliers Over 207½ 510 Golden State Warriors Under 207½ Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 207.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers
Well the Cleveland Cavaliers are back in a major way as they came out and played a serious statement game during the last contest. Yet another vital game for the 6-4 over there last 10 games Cavs they are starting to look much more competitive and even against there 6- over there recent 10 games Warriors counterparts. The Cleveland Cavaliers (70-29) and the Golden State Warriors (87-15) are both playing some intense high pace basketball where which team can put the most points on the board seems the only goal. Both teams have no reported injuries of substance with the Warriors reporting only Kevon Looney out for this game. One player still up in air is Kevin Love for the Cavaliers who can clear concussion protocol which will then give to caoch Lue on if he should play and how much. The good news the Cavs almost seemed to play better with out last game so no matter what happens it will most likely end being a net positive regarding his status. After watching the first three games like a hawk we can begin to see a new strategy that seems heavily reliant on points formulating between the two teams which highly favors another OVER game on the horizon. Lets start to uncover some of the characteristics that make this OVER such a solid play. Starting off we see that the total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland. Continuing to add to this pattern the total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road and adding this to Golden State's need for a statement win and we should see the scorebaord lighting up tonight. Even in the last we game witnessed multiply sub 20 point quarters and the over still easily hit. Every posession will require the pace to be pushed as was the case in the last game and the game should be much closer with more focus on making buckets. The offensive and defensive combined stats over the last 10 games are 206.8 and 201.1 so as long as we hit the high side this spread we should be golden which should not be a problem given last games events and the above stats. The over/under for this NBA spread total opened at 206 and has since been bumped up by a half point to 206.5 as the sharp money starts to reveal its true choice. This is pretty much another must win for the Cavs but the Warriors have something to prove after getting blown out so this one should be a real barn burner. The public consensus for this game is 58% towards the OVER so we even a strong general agreement for this one on our side as well. The last time these two faced off two days ago the final score was a 120 – 90 win for the Cavaliers at home so we can expect Golden State to be having none of that this go around. We have to feel very confident about taking the OVER 206.5 with the way this matchup is playing out on Cleveland's home court. Lets take the OVER 206.5 and and enjoy tongihts game with a win at the books as well. Game Time: Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers - NBA Finals - Game 4 - Friday, June 10, 2016 9:00 PM Spread: 507 Golden State Warriors +2½ 508 Cleveland Cavaliers -2½ Total: 507 Golden State Warriors Over 206½ 508 Cleveland Cavaliers Under 206½ Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 206.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers
Things are looking a bit desperate for the Eastern Conference champion Cleveland Cavaliers but tonight is there chance to grab a win at home and get the series close and back on track. This a critical game in the most important NBA series for the 6-4 over there last 10 games Cavs and the 7-3 over there recent 10 games Golden State Warriors are going to be no easy matchup. The Cleveland Cavaliers (69-29) and the Golden State Warriors (87-14) are both playing some intense basketball but the Cavs are faltering while the Warriors are thriving. Both teams have no reported injuries of note with the Warriors reporting only Kevon Looney out for this game. One big question mark is Kevin Love for the Cavaliers who suffered a concussion last game and now has his ability to play up in the air but he has been following NBA protocols. The good news is he was practicing at the shoot around today and does feel his chances to play are very good. After watching closely the first two games we can see a pattern forming that is highly favoring the UNDER in these big stages battles between these two specific rivals. Lets start to dig deeper into the overwhelming stats that are leading us towards this evaluation. Starting off we see that The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Golden State's last 12 games on the road. Continuing to add to this trend The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games overall indicating they have taken a much slower approach down this stretch of final games. Even more convincing the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games and gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing Golden State so this is truly a matchup specific spot that we just have to love. Every possession will matter in this one and we can expect both teams to slow down the tempo of the game and play as such especially with the point spread being so close as well. The offensive and defensive combined stats over the last 10 games are 210.4 and 200 so if we get the slower more defensive outcome that we expect then this one should side on the lower defensive side of the numbers in which we get there easily when it comes to hitting the UNDER. The over/under for this NBA spread total opened at 206 and has now dropped a full point to 205 so its pretty clear where the money is flowing in on this bet. This is pretty much a must win for the Cavs and they will be doing everything in there power to slow down the Warriors which they should be able to accomplish at home. The public consensus for this game is 51% towards the UNDER so its a split decision on general agreement front but we still have to really like are side. The last time these two faced off three days ago the final score was a 110 – 77 win for the Warriors at home so we can expect Cleveland to comeback fighting harder then ever. We have to feel very confident about taking the UNDER 205 with the way the averages and trends are calculating out. Lets take the UNDER 205 and start to wind up the end of the NBA year in winning style. Game Time: Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers - NBA Finals - Game 3 - Wednesday, June 08, 2016 9:00 PM Spread: 505 Golden State Warriors +1 506 Cleveland Cavaliers -1 Total: 505 Golden State Warriors Over 205 506 Cleveland Cavaliers Under 205 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 205 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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