Pick #1 – Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers
Well the Cleveland Cavaliers are back in a major way as they came out and played a serious statement game during the last contest. Yet another vital game for the 6-4 over there last 10 games Cavs they are starting to look much more competitive and even against there 6- over there recent 10 games Warriors counterparts. The Cleveland Cavaliers (70-29) and the Golden State Warriors (87-15) are both playing some intense high pace basketball where which team can put the most points on the board seems the only goal. Both teams have no reported injuries of substance with the Warriors reporting only Kevon Looney out for this game. One player still up in air is Kevin Love for the Cavaliers who can clear concussion protocol which will then give to caoch Lue on if he should play and how much. The good news the Cavs almost seemed to play better with out last game so no matter what happens it will most likely end being a net positive regarding his status. After watching the first three games like a hawk we can begin to see a new strategy that seems heavily reliant on points formulating between the two teams which highly favors another OVER game on the horizon. Lets start to uncover some of the characteristics that make this OVER such a solid play. Starting off we see that the total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland. Continuing to add to this pattern the total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road and adding this to Golden State's need for a statement win and we should see the scorebaord lighting up tonight. Even in the last we game witnessed multiply sub 20 point quarters and the over still easily hit. Every posession will require the pace to be pushed as was the case in the last game and the game should be much closer with more focus on making buckets. The offensive and defensive combined stats over the last 10 games are 206.8 and 201.1 so as long as we hit the high side this spread we should be golden which should not be a problem given last games events and the above stats. The over/under for this NBA spread total opened at 206 and has since been bumped up by a half point to 206.5 as the sharp money starts to reveal its true choice. This is pretty much another must win for the Cavs but the Warriors have something to prove after getting blown out so this one should be a real barn burner. The public consensus for this game is 58% towards the OVER so we even a strong general agreement for this one on our side as well. The last time these two faced off two days ago the final score was a 120 – 90 win for the Cavaliers at home so we can expect Golden State to be having none of that this go around. We have to feel very confident about taking the OVER 206.5 with the way this matchup is playing out on Cleveland's home court. Lets take the OVER 206.5 and and enjoy tongihts game with a win at the books as well.
Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers - NBA Finals - Game 4 - Friday, June 10, 2016 9:00 PM
507 Golden State Warriors +2½
508 Cleveland Cavaliers -2½
507 Golden State Warriors Over 206½
508 Cleveland Cavaliers Under 206½
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 206.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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