Pick #1 – Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
The amount of game line movements today was insane and just because its not the MLB playoffs yet it does not mean we are not getting some playoff like atmosphere going in tonight's pick as we get Toronto Blue Jays (87-72) against the Boston Red Sox (92-67) in an absolute must win for the Jays. This bet has win written all over it as we get the ultra rare 1 point line move from a 9.5 over/under MLB line all the way to a 8.5 price point giving us strong reasons to believe where this UNDER selection may end up. Further dissecting the more critical stats for this highly important matchup we see that the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road giving us a desperate Toronto team not hitting that well. In addition to this we see that the total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto so we really get two teams both relying on defense to win games while not producing much offense which should again be the case tonight. In a game that has tons of meaning you can best believe Toronto will be throwing everything they got in the way of pitching at Boston which should hold the score low and the public consensus seems to barely agree with this logic in this case as 53% is on the UNDER play at this time of writing. The Toronto Blue Jays produce 4.72 runs this year and the Boston Red Sox output 5.47 runs on the year so its game conditions and situational specifics that get us the win here. The park factor for this game is a tantalizing +101 with a 22 MPH wind blowing in from dead center making it just brutal conditions for the hitters. The weather at Fenway Park is looking like 63°F, Blustery Wind, Humidity is 69% and the Wind is blowing East-northeast 16 mph so nice environment for pitching to put their best foot forward while the hitters should struggle. In other good news the Red Sox has an elite closing staff that simply does not give up much so just another great angle that should sway this on in our favor. A final promising aspect of this pick is that Marco Estrada (R) pitches some of his best ball against the Red Sox with a 3.47 ERA on the year. In other good news starting pitcher Rick Porcello (R) has been just tearing up September with a 2.41 ERA for the month. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.3 so the UNDER 8.5 so we have to be feeling really good based on all of the above about the number were getting here. Game Time: Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox - Friday, September 30, 2016 7:10 PM Spread: 917 Toronto Blue Jays +1½ -145 +145 918 Boston Red Sox -1½ +125 -155 Total: 917 Toronto Blue Jays Over 8½ -115 918 Boston Red Sox Under 8½ -105 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 8.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Milwaukee Brewers at Texas Rangers
The game we have on the radar for tonight is the Milwaukee Brewers (82-73) against the Texas Rangers (82-74) and its a tale of two teams on opposite sides of the playoff fence. This pick peaks our interest from the get go as we see this game opened at a 9.5 over/under MLB line and has now moved to 9 giving us a great indication of where this UNDER selection is headed. Further picking apart the more vital stats for this matchup we see that the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 9 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games at home so were getting a nicely set up situation that should encourage a low scoring game. In a game that does not have a lot of meaning each team will probably put up little effort and not have much motivation to perform and the public consensus could not agree more with this type of reasoning as 89% is on the UNDER play here as. The Milwaukee Brewers produce 4.15 runs this year and the Texas Rangers output 4.74 runs on the year so we get one of our favorite set ups here where the yearly averages fall short making our UNDER play even stronger. The park factor for this game is a bit high for our liking at +114 but the home scoring output of the Rangers just does not justify the worry. The weather at Globe Life Park is looking like 61°F, Cloudy, Humidity is 83% and the Wind is Northeast 14 mph so nice environment for pitching to shine and for the bats to be kept under wraps. The Rangers and Brewers both have solid relief staffs as well so late inning scoring antics should be kept to a minimal. A very optimal part of this pick is that we get an on fire Chase Anderson (R) who has a 1.08 ERA for the month of September. In other good news starting pitcher Cole Hamels (L) has a 3.03 ERA for the entire year so we know not to expect too many runs given up by him either in this spot. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.4 so the UNDER 9 should have tons of wiggle room and value to come through in our favor. Game Time: Milwaukee Brewers at Texas Rangers - Wednesday, September 28, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 929 Milwaukee Brewers +1½ -105 +195 930 Texas Rangers -1½ -115 -215 Total: 929 Milwaukee Brewers Over 9 -110 930 Texas Rangers Under 9 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 9 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs
Things are getting exciting as we head into the MLB playoffs and boy do we have a gem of a game tonight with the near tied Seattle Mariners (82-73) against the Houston Astros (82-74) and its a win or go home heads up match of the first of three games where all the pitching stops are being pulled out. This bet intrigues us from the start as we get one the very rare times the sharp money moves the line down an entire point as we see this opening 8.5 over/under MLB betting line now dropped to a 7.5 giving us a very positive lead on how this UNDER pick just may go. Further digging through some of the more essential facts for this matchup and we see that the total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 13 games at home and the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 11 games so huge general current trends we get in our favor here. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle so its one of those rare instances and the general and matchup specific circumstances are moving in our direction. Both teams look to continue their focused pitching and fielding and low scoring outputs and the public consensus is back and forth with this one at 52% liking our UNDER play. The Seattle Mariners produce 4.71 runs this year and the Houston Astros output 4.51 runs on the year so its really the pitching and other points of data we are relying on here. The park factor for this game is a reasonable +105 but we get a nice strong wind blowing in so that should help a lot in terms of pushing the points to a minimal. The weather at Minute Maid Park (Minute Maid Park Roof Closes In Rainy Weather) is looking like 94°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 67% and a Wind of NNE 7 mph so nice environment for pitching to takeover and keep the bats off their game. The most amazing aspect of this pick is we get Collin McHugh (R) pitching against a Seattle Mariners team he has absolutely destroyed this year giving up a 1.08 ERA over an incredible 4 wins over 25 innings. In other good news starting pitcher Hisashi Iwakuma (R) pitches a respectable 4.01 ERA on the year against the Astros. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.6 so the UNDER 7.5 should have plenty of value based on all of the above. Game Time: Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros - Monday, September 26, 2016 8:10 PM Spread: 915 Seattle Mariners +1½ -200 +113 916 Houston Astros -1½ +170 -123 Total: 915 Seattle Mariners Over 7½ -115 916 Houston Astros Under 7½ -105 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 7.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
The event of focus tonight is the Philadelphia Phillies (69-84) against the New York Mets (81-72) and is must win for the Mets who are currently fighting for there playoff lives against the Cardinals and Giants. This pick has positive signs from the outset as the professional betting sharps have moved the line from a 7.5 over/under MLB betting line up a half point to a 8 giving us every reason to believe the OVER is where the value is at. Further supporting our initial reads we note that the total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia so we get a nice trend in our favor leading into this absolute must win for New York who is sure to produce at home with so much on the line. As one team looks to play spoiler and another hopes to extend there season and the public consensus seems to overwhelming agree as 92% on the OVER in this one as well. The Philadelphia Phillies produce 3.76 runs this year and the New York Mets output 3.95 runs on the year so just based on averages we get right where we need to be. The park factor for this game is a not that helpful -90 but we get a pleasant breeze blowing out to left center so the ball should be acting plenty lively tonight. The weather at Citi Field is looking like 84°F, Partially cloudy, Humidity is 48% and a wind blowing Southwest 4-7 mph so ideal conditions for the bats to light up. Another part of this bet that should get us where we need to be is the fact that the Phillies closing staff is not on the top of their game right now which can allow the Mets to pick up some much needed late runs all of which points to this being an OVER play. The most incredible part of this pick is we get Jeremy Hellickson (R) pitching against a Mets team that has destroyed him this year to the tune of a 6.75 ERA over games (worst out of any opponent). In other good news starting pitcher Gabriel Ynoa (R) has a 7.71 September ERA and gives up over .300 averages to both sides of the plate. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 9.5 so the OVER 8 is really looking solid given all that we have factored in above. Game Time: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets - Friday, September 23, 2016 7:10 PM Spread: 957 Philadelphia Phillies +1½ -170 +133 958 New York Mets -1½ +150 -143 Total: 957 Philadelphia Phillies Over 8 -110 958 New York Mets Under 8 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 8 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers
The game we are attacking on tonight's ballot is the San Francisco Giants (80-71) against the Los Angeles Dodgers (85-76) and its a meeting between two arch rivals with the Giants desperately needing a win and some runs to get there confidence after a tragic fall from the top. This pick peaks and perks our interest from the start as its clear that the professional betting money has been pounded on one side of the line moving it from a 7 over/under MLB total play up a half point to a 7.5 giving us a very strong estimation and prediction on how this OVER should shake out tonight. This is a must win game for both teams and the Giants are an absolute need of a huge game so their motivation should be at an all time high to get some runs on the scoreboard and bust through the OVER line here. Both teams look to take positive momentum into the playoffs but the public consensus seems to think otherwise as they 75% going towards the under. The San Francisco Giants produce 4.36 runs this year and the Los Angeles Dodgers output 4.42 runs on the year so its yet another one of those rare cases where the averages easily break us into an OVER win if we even closely hit the mark. The park factor for this game is a reasonable -97 but the good news is we get a nice breeze to dead center so a great chance for the bats to come alive. The weather at Dodger Stadium is looking like 74°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 82%, Wind is WSW 0 mph so just ideal conditions for the hitters to feel comfortable and put the ball into play a lot. Another really favorable part of this OVER bet is the fact that the Giants bullpen is absolutely terrible right now giving huge prospect to the fact that the Dodgers will most likely be scoring a lot late. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Matt Moore (L) pitching who is having his second worst month of the entire season by posting a 6.41 ERA. We also get starting pitcher Kenta Maeda (R) who actual performs worse at home with an average 3.31 ERA on the year and with this low of total on the OVER should be a huge help in pushing us there. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.3 so the OVER 7.5 appears alluring based on all of the above and we have to believe the adrenaline and magnitude of two of the sports biggest rivals should have lots runs crossing the plate in a much needed offensive display from both teams. Game Time: San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers - Wednesday, September 21, 2016 10:10 PM Spread: 963 San Francisco Giants +1½ -155 +160 964 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +135 -170 Total: 963 San Francisco Giants Over 7½ +105 964 Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7½ -125 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 7.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs
The scheduled game we are taking in this pick is the Cincinnati Reds (63-86) against the Chicago Cubs (94-55) and its a battle between one of the best in baseball right now versus a team with the winter holidays most likely on their mind. This bet gets us interested out the gate as we note that the professional betting money has been laid heavy on one side taking it from a 10 over/under MLB betting line down a half point to a 9.5 giving us a very strong lead on how this UNDER selection just may play out. Further investigating some of the more vital stats for this matchup we note that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road highlighting the fact that the bats have simply shaky lately on the road for the Reds. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games at home so it really is a perfect storm of two teams playing where they are most comfortable defensively which send in an easy UNDER on this one. Both teams look to continue their focused pitching and fielding and low scoring outputs and the public consensus is right on the fence with this one at 50%. The Cincinnati Reds produce 4.42 runs this year and the Chicago Cubs output 4.93 runs on the year so its another one of those rare cases where the averages do not even add up to the over total. The park factor for this game is a reasonable +105 but it is a hitters park so it will be up a lot to the pitchers for keeping this one low scoring. The weather at Wrigley Field is looking like 87°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 50%, Wind is S 10 mph so a perfect spot for pitching to takeover and keep the bats off their game. Another alluring aspect of this bet is the fact that the Cubs have an absolute Ace closing staff who is gearing up for a huge playoff run which will put late runs on an extra premium tonight. The most incredible part of this pick is we get Jason Hammel (R) pitching against a Cincinnati Reds team he has absolutely crushed this year giving up a 0.00 ERA over 2 wins and 12 innings. In other good news starting pitcher Tim Adleman (R) Pitches better on the road with a nice and tidy 3.91 ERA on the year. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.4 so the UNDER 9.5 is really looking solid given all that we have factored in above. Game Time: Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs - Monday, September 19, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 955 Cincinnati Reds +1½ +105 +210 956 Chicago Cubs -1½ -125 -230 Total: 955 Cincinnati Reds Over 9½ -110 956 Chicago Cubs Under 9½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 9.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels
The contest that is on the radar for tonight's bet is the Toronto Blue Jays (80-66) against the Los Angeles Angels (63-83) and is a battle of two teams clearly headed in opposite palyoff directions. This bet gets us intrigued from the start as the sharp money has already pushed the opening position enough to move it down from a 9.5 over/under MLB betting total down a half notch to a 9 giving us a valuable opening insight into this UNDER selection. Diving right into some of the more critical statistics for this game we note that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Angels's last 9 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Angels's last 13 games at home making it pretty clear that the Angeles are playing uninspired offensive baseball right now. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 15 of Toronto's last 23 games on the road so we get another nice trend here that should have no problem continuing given the game conditions and set up on tap for tonight's matchup. Both teams look to continue their lock down pitching and low run outputs but the public consensus does not have the same sentiment today as they rolling as a collective 70% towards the over. The Toronto Blue Jays produce 4.81 runs this year and the Los Angeles Angels output 4.38 runs on the year so were hovering right where we need to be even if all things were neutral. The park factor for this game is a ridiculous -84 in our favor so that should play a major role in keeping this one low scoring. The weather at The Big A is looking like 62°F, Mostly Cloudy , Humidity is 87% ,Wind is East 2 mph so a prime environment for pitching to shine and bats to remain sluggish. Another greats aspect of this bet is the fact that the Blue Jays have solid stable closing staff who is gearing up for the playoffs which should help put runs on an extra premium tonight. Also R.A. Dickey (R) has pitched lights out over the course of this MLB season and sports a 2.70 ERA and silencing Angeles bats. In even better news starting pitcher Jered Weaver (R) is a Blue Jays killer holding a 3.60 ERA for September. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.2 so the UNDER 9 is really looking appealing given all that we have factored above. Game Time: Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels - Friday, September 16, 2016 10:05 PM Spread: 925 Toronto Blue Jays -1½ +115 -137 926 Los Angeles Angels +1½ -135 +127 Total: 925 Toronto Blue Jays Over 9 -110 926 Los Angeles Angels Under 9 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 9 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers
The game were looking to get on tonight is the Minnesota Twins (54-91) versus the Detroit Tigers (77-67) which pits two teams very headed on different playoff planes. This bet gets us excited from the jump as the savvy money has already swayed the opening line enough to bring it down from a 9.5 over/under MLB total down a half point to a 9 giving us a great opening insight into this UNDER pick. Breaking down some of the more crucial betting stats for this game we note that the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games at home painting a clear picture of the Tigers recent stagnant bats and exceptional pitching. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit so not only do we get the low scoring trend but we get a nice situational set up as well between two rivals who been more defensive then offensive of late when pitted against one another. Both teams look to continue their lock down pitching and low run outputs and the public consensus seems to agree as general opinion is leaning towards 65% on the UNDER. The Minnesota Twins produce 4.61 runs this year and the Detroit Tigers output 4.53 runs on the year so no real concern here when it comes to potential lopsided scoring. The park factor for this game is a favorable -99 so that should go a long way towards keeping the score in this one down. The weather at Comerica Park is looking like 63°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 86% and Wind at N 7 mph so a very nice conditions for pitching to shine and bats to struggle. Another greats aspect of this bet is the fact that both teams have solid stable closing staffs right now which should do a good job of erasing late run threats here. Anibal Sanchez (R) has been absolutely crushing in September over two starts with a 2.70 ERA pretty much pitching the best he has all year. A final and important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher Tyler Duffey (R) has also been killing this month with his best stuff of the year holding a 3.60 ERA for September. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.7 so the UNDER 9 so get some nice value here and should be very pleased with how this bet shapes out. Game Time: Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers - Wednesday, September 14, 2016 7:10 PM Spread: 919 Minnesota Twins +1½ -145 +154 920 Detroit Tigers -1½ +125 -164 Total: 919 Minnesota Twins Over 9 -110 920 Detroit Tigers Under 9 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 9 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees
The game were focused on for tonight's pick is the Los Angeles Dodgers (80-62) versus the New York Yankees (76-77) and is a square off of one team playoff bound while the other fights for a wildcard spot which should set the stage for an ultra low scoring defensive battle. This bet starts off headed in the right direction as the smart money has already swayed the opening total enough to knock it down from a 9.5 over/under MLB line down a half run to a 9 giving us a nice start to this UNDER selection. Dissecting some of the more vital betting numbers for this game we note that the total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 10 games really highlighting the fact that the New York bats have simply not been productive lately while pitching is excelling. In addition this the total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games on the road so we really get a matchup of two teams playing lockdown baseball as of late. These two teams played to a 3-0 score when they faced off a little over a month ago and given the trends and situational set up for tonight we should get more of the same. Both teams look to continue their stellar piching and low run productions but the public consensus seems still up in the air on this one as it favors 60% to the over. The Los Angeles Dodgers produce 4.46 runs this year and the New York Yankees output 4.26 runs on the year so remaining UNDER 9 is highly probably just on referenced scoring averages alone which is a very nice side to be on . The park factor for this game is a questionable +117 but the good news is the wind is blowing in heavily which should go a long way towards keep the score in this one low. The weather at Yankee Stadium is looking like 73°F, Sunny, Humidity is 58% and with a Wind blowing North-northeast 7 mph so a very nice environment for pitching to thrive. While we get two relatively new starters pitching this pick is very appealing due to the elite closing staff both these teams showcase making it extremely hard to put up runs even when starting pitching gets in a bit of trouble. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher Bryan Mitchell (R) has a perfect 0.00 ERA over the few innings he has pitched. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.1 so the UNDER 9 is one of, if not the best spots we seen all year in terms AI generated outcomes so we should be very pleased with the value we are picking here. Game Time: Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees - Monday, September 12, 2016 7:05 PM Spread: 929 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +120 -130 930 New York Yankees +1½ -140 +120 Total: 929 Los Angeles Dodgers Over 9 +100 930 New York Yankees Under 9 -120 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 9 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
The game were tackling tonight is the San Francisco Giants (74-65) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (51-81) and pits a team desperate for wins against one that probably has golf or Hawaii on the mind. This pick starts off very promising as the sharp money has already influenced the total enough to take it from a 9 over/under MLB (now moving back and forth depending on time and book) total down a half run to an 8.5 giving us a favorable feeling heading into this UNDER. Consuming some of the more essential stats for this game we see that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road making it clear SF is in a low scoring game cycle. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 16 of Arizona's last 23 games when playing San Francisco and the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing at home against San Francisco so were hitting this right from every angle for this wager when it comes to what is trending as well as situational. These two teams played to a 4-2 score the last time they met up a little over a week ago and its simply been a lot of UNDERS between these two this year. Both teams look to continue their stellar pitching and defense but the public consensus can not be referenced here do to the constant movement of this line back and forth from 8.5 and 8. The San Francisco Giants produce 4.40 runs this year and the Arizona Diamondbacks show up with 4.57 so hitting over 8.5 will be a stretch given recent performance . The park factor for this game is a questionable +108 but given the circumstances this not a big concern. The weather at Chase Field is looking like 82°F, Sunny , Humidity is 64% and Wind from the Southeast at 4 mph so a very nice environment for pitching to thrive. Speaking of pitching a final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher Rubby De La Rosa (R) plays incredible against the Giants this year posting a flawless 1.17 ERA for the season. He also just smokes past left handed hitting giving up a miniscule 1.95 ERA (6/9 LH hitters on the Giants). Also Madison Bumgarner (L) has been pitching on another level this year against Arizona so far with a 1.13 ERA. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.4 so the UNDER is looking amazing here at 8.5 which given the above should put us on the right side of the value here. Game Time: San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks - Friday, September 09, 2016 9:40 PM Spread: 961 San Francisco Giants -1½ -115 -190 962 Arizona Diamondbacks +1½ -105 +180 Total: 961 San Francisco Giants Over 8½ -120 962 Arizona Diamondbacks Under 8½ +100 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 8.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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