MLB Picks Monday 9/12/2016 – LAD vs. NYY

Pick #1 – Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees​

The game were focused on for tonight's pick is the Los Angeles Dodgers (80-62) versus the New York Yankees (76-77) and is a square off of one team playoff bound while the other fights for a wildcard spot which should set the stage for an ultra low scoring defensive battle. This bet starts off headed in the right direction as the smart money has already swayed the opening total enough to knock it down from a 9.5 over/under MLB line down a half run to a 9 giving us a nice start to this UNDER selection. Dissecting some of the more vital betting numbers for this game we note that the total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 10 games really highlighting the fact that the New York bats have simply not been productive lately while pitching is excelling. In addition this the total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games on the road so we really get a matchup of two teams playing lockdown baseball as of late. These two teams played to a 3-0 score when they faced off a little over a month ago and given the trends and situational set up for tonight we should get more of the same. Both teams look to continue their stellar piching and low run productions but the public consensus seems still up in the air on this one as it favors 60% to the over. The Los Angeles Dodgers produce 4.46 runs this year and the New York Yankees output 4.26 runs on the year so remaining UNDER 9 is highly probably just on referenced scoring averages alone which is a very nice side to be on . The park factor for this game is a questionable +117 but the good news is the wind is blowing in heavily which should go a long way towards keep the score in this one low. The weather at Yankee Stadium is looking like 73°F, Sunny, Humidity is 58% and with a Wind blowing North-northeast 7 mph so a very nice environment for pitching to thrive. While we get two relatively new starters pitching this pick is very appealing due to the elite closing staff both these teams showcase making it extremely hard to put up runs even when starting pitching gets in a bit of trouble. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher Bryan Mitchell (R) has a perfect 0.00 ERA over the few innings he has pitched. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.1 so the UNDER 9 is one of, if not the best spots we seen all year in terms AI generated outcomes so we should be very pleased with the value we are picking here.

Game Time:
Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees - Monday, September 12, 2016 7:05 PM

Spread:
929 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +120 -130
930 New York Yankees +1½ -140 +120

Total:
929 Los Angeles Dodgers Over 9 +100
930 New York Yankees Under 9 -120

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 9 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt