Pick #1 – Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Angels
Want to know one of the best ways to liven up another boring old Wednesday? By watching some MLB baseball of course and tonight we break up the monotony by focusing on the Atlanta Braves (22-28) against the Los Angeles Angels (27-28) matching us with two teams barely making strides at .500. This pick starts off with all the signs of a plus EV pick as the opening line on the total of 8.5 has now swung a half point down to a 8 thanks to an early smart money lead which we will happily tail the steam on and grab some nice value on the UNDER play. The public consensus for this game is 82% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The Atlanta Braves put up 4.46 runs on average this year and the Los Angeles Angels put up 4.09 runs on average during the year so we will rely on these weak offenses to get us where we need to go with this pick. The weather at Angel Stadium is looking like 67°F and Cloudy with a Humidity of 87% and a Wind blowing South 2 at mph giving us a weather scenario where the hitting should really be slowed down given the conditions. Another really favorable part of this UNDER bet is the fact that the Braves have an elite closing staff which should go along ways towards the later inning runs being shut down. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Jaime Garcia (L) pitching who is heating up and pitching his best ball of the season sporting a 3.12 ERA in May. We also get starting pitcher Jesse Chavez (R) pitching who pitches his best baseball at home with a 4.75 ERA giving us two pitchers who should be able to keep the score low enough to the UNDER. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.2 so the UNDER 8 play gets all the right leans despite being a smidgen off from the AI predictor and at a price of -115 juice we should be super happy to grab a bunch value in this spot for all of the reasons above. Game Time: Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Angels - Wednesday, May 31, 2017 10:05 PM Spread: 977 Atlanta Braves +1½ -185 +119 978 Los Angeles Angels -1½ +160 -129 Total: 977 Atlanta Braves Over 8 -105 978 Los Angeles Angels Under 8 -115 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 8 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers
First and foremost happy Memorial Day to everyone and lets count our blessings and say thank you to the fallen service men and women this extended holiday weekend as we get to enjoy baseball all day long and that includes soaking in the Tampa Bay Rays (26-26) against the Texas Rangers (25-26) in face off that pits two teams both trying to surge past the .500 mark. This pick starts off with all the makings of a favorable bet as the opening line on the total of 10 has now swung a half point down to a 9.5 thanks to an early sharp money push which we will happily follow. Were getting all the right indicators for this game and that is highlighted by stats such as the total has gone UNDER in 14 of Texas's last 20 games at home and that the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 13 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay giving us a very situation specific play as well as nice overall trends that should bring our wager to fruition given recent and historical circumstances. The public consensus for this game is 62% in favor Tampa Bay Rays defend at a rate of 4.06 runs on average this year and the Texas Rangers hold opponents to 4.45 runs on average during the year so the strong defenses of both teams should easily allow us to hit our UNDER target. The weather at Globe Life Park in Arlington is looking like 53°F Cloudy with a Humidity of 88% and a Wind that is blowing East 11 mph giving us a weather scenario where the hitting should be stifled. Another really favorable part of this UNDER bet is the fact that the Rays and Rangers have an elite closing staff which should go along ways towards the later inning runs down. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Erasmo Ramirez (R) pitching who is heating up and pitching his best ball of the season sporting a 2.57 ERA over the last week. We also get starting pitcher Martin Perez (R) pitching who is pitching some of his best baseball in May with a stellar 3.16 ERA giving us two pitchers playing their best baseball of year facing lineups that are missing some big bats. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 9 so the UNDER 9.5 play gets all the right leans and even gets the AI predictor agree and at a -115 juice we should be super happy to grab a bunch value in this spot for all of the reasons above. Game Time: Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers - Monday, May 29, 2017 8:05 PM Spread: 969 Tampa Bay Rays +1½ -160 +135 970 Texas Rangers -1½ +140 -145 Total: 969 Tampa Bay Rays Over 9½ -105 970 Texas Rangers Under 9½ -115 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 9.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins
What is better then MLB Baseball on a Friay night, not much, and we get our fill this weekend as we set our sights on the Tampa Bay Rays (25-25) against the Minnesota Twins (25-18) and we get two of the better teams in the AL duking it out on the diamond. This bet is favorable from the outset as the opening line on the total of 8 has now swung a half point up to a 8.5 thanks to early smart money action of which we will tag along. Were getting all the right indicators for this game and that is highlighted by stats such as the total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 13 games at home and that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay giving us not only a situation specific play but also streaking trends that should easily propel us to the combined number we are trying to hit. The public consensus for this game is 58% in favor of the under so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The Tampa Bay Rays put up 4.54 runs this year per game and the Minnesota Twins put up 4.58 runs on the year as a per game average so the strong offensive showings of both teams should easily allow us to hit the OVER in this spot. The weather at Target Field is looking like 92°F and Mostly Sunny with a Humidity of 47% and a Wind is blowing E 14 mph giving us a great weather scenario where the hitting should really be able to thrive. Another really favorable part of this OVER bet is the fact that the Twins have an uncertain bullpen which allows room for plenty of late inning runs for the hot Rays bats. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Hector Santiago (L) pitching who has a 6.20 ERA in May and has not been picthing well as of late. We also get starting pitcher Chris Archer (R) pitching who has a 4.26 ERA in May giving us two pitchers that have been giving up more then enough runs as of late to reach lower totals like this one. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.2 so the OVER 8.5 play gets all the right leans despite being slightly of from the AI predictor and at a -115 juice we should be super happy to lock in this nice value in this spot for all of the reasons above. Game Time: Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins - Friday, May 26, 2017 8:10 PM Spread: 925 Tampa Bay Rays -1½ +120 -138 926 Minnesota Twins +1½ -140 +128 Total: 925 Tampa Bay Rays Over 8½ -115 926 Minnesota Twins Under 8½ -105 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 8.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – San Diego Padres at New York Mets
MLB Baseball has been a true pleasure to take in this season thus far and tonight we will be tuning in to the San Diego Padres (16-31) against the New York Mets (19-24) in a matchup that will see two teams who are fighting hard to turn their slow starts around. This bet starts off with all the marks of featuring some value as the opening line on the total of 8.5 has now swung a half point up to a 9 thanks to early smart money action of which we will happily trail. Were getting all the right indicators for this game and that is highlighted by stats such as the total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets's last 11 games and the total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 9 games and the total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego giving us not only a situation specific play but also streaking trends that should more often then get us where we want to be. The public consensus for this game is 69% in favor of the over so it will be interesting to see how this read plays out. San Diego Padres give up 5.36 runs this year per game and the New York Mets surrender 5.58 runs on the year as a per game average so the poor defensive showings of both teams should easily allow us to hit the OVER in this spot. The weather at Citi Field is looking like 66°F, Very cloudy with a Humidity of 73% and Wind that is blowing Northeast at 9 mph giving us a great weather scenario where the hitting should really be able to thrive. Another really favorable part of this OVER bet is the fact that the Padres have a very questionable closing staff which allows room for plenty of late inning runs for the hot Mets bats. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Jarred Cosart (R) pitching who gives up a .412 AVG versus lefties (6/9 Mets hitters are lefties). We also get starting pitcher Robert Gsellman (R) pitching who has a 7.41 ERA in May which leaves a lot of runs on table on any given night. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.4 so the OVER 9 play gets all the right leans despite being slightly of from the AI predictor and at a +100 juice we should be super happy to grab a bunch value in this spot for all of the reasons above. Game Time: San Diego Padres at New York Mets - Wednesday, May 24, 2017 7:10 PM Spread: 903 San Diego Padres +1½ -185 +127 904 New York Mets -1½ +160 -137 Total: 903 San Diego Padres Over 9 +100 904 New York Mets Under 9 -120 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 9 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs
The Western Conference Finals NBA basketball playoff series has been a bit disappointing so far due to injuries but we will still enjoy watching the State Warriors (78-15) take on the San Antonio Spurs (69-28) in what is a pivotal elimination game . This bet is intriguing from the start as most books OVER/UNDER line opening was at 216.5 and now its pushing up to a 217.5 over / under resting spot which is very revealing as the steam and smart money direct us to a particular side. Dissecting the key stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games on the road and the total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing San Antonio so we have every reasons to believe this is going to a fast paced Warriors controlled game with the Spurs playing catch up which has all the makings of an OVER. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 221.58 and 202.97 and with the Warriors style of basketball dominating this series we can expect the offensive numbers to bring us yet another OVER. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 97–93 and it will be interesting to see where this split finally lands. When it comes to pace of play Golden State is 4 and San Antonio is 27 and this should be an offensive shoot out just like the last 3 games have been. We also note that the Warriors are 4 in possessions per game (on the rise) and the Spurs the number 27 team in the league (skyrocketing right now) so once again we are going to trust the data and breakdown which is all pointing to plenty of scoring in this critical playoff game and the Spurs should have no choice once again to try an keep up with the high flying shooters on Golden State. The public consensus for this game is 65% in favor of the over so it will be very interesting to see where this one finally falls. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 219 so a 217.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go with a full boost of confidence from the AI predictor brain also. Game Time: Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs - Western Conference Finals - Game 4 - Monday, May 22, 2017 9:00 PM Spread: 725 Golden State Warriors -11 -110 -800 726 San Antonio Spurs +11 -110 +550 Total: 725 Golden State Warriors Over 217½ -110 726 San Antonio Spurs Under 217½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 217.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers
MLB Baseball has been amazing so far with plenty of twists and turns and tonight we set our sights on the Texas Rangers (22-20) against the Detroit Tigers (20-19) in face off that pits two teams dealing with injuries that are both fighting hard to streak past the .500 mark. This pick starts off with all the makings of a favorable bet as the opening line on the total of 10 has now swung a full point down to a 9 thanks to an early sharp money push which we will happily follow. Were getting all the right indicators for this game and that is highlighted by stats such as the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Texas giving us a very situation specific play that should come to fruition given recent and historical circumstances. The public consensus for this game is 68% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well.. The Texas Rangers produce 4.81 runs this year and the Detroit Tigers output 4.92 runs on the year so we will be leaning heavily on the missing big bats of Detroit (Martinez and Cabrera) and Texas (Gomez, Beltre) and the Tigers home trends to pull us through this one when it comes to playing the UNDER. The weather at Comerica Park is looking like 57°F Cloudy with a Humidity of 67% and the Wind is blowing North-northeast 11 mph giving us a great weather scenario where the hitting should be stifled. Another really favorable part of this UNDER bet is the fact that the Rangers have an elite closing staff which should go a long ways towards the later inning runs down. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Daniel Norris (L) pitching who is heating up and pitching his best ball of the season sporting a 3.18 ERA over the last week. We also get starting pitcher Nick Martinez (R) pitching who is also rounding into form as of late with a 4.5 ERA over last 7 days giving us two pitchers playing their best baseball of year facing lineups that are missing some big bats. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 10 so the UNDER 9 play gets all the right leans despite being slightly of from the AI predictor and at a -115 juice we should be super happy to grab a bunch value in this spot for all of the reasons above. Game Time: Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers - Friday, May 19, 2017 7:10 PM Spread: 969 Texas Rangers +1½ -160 +130 970 Detroit Tigers -1½ +140 -140 Total: 969 Texas Rangers Over 9 -105 970 Detroit Tigers Under 9 -115 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 9 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics
Were finally getting down to crunch time in the NBA basketball playoffs and this Eastern conference finals series that pits the Cleveland Cavaliers (59-31) versus the Boston Celtics (61-34) in what should be a feeling out game for both teams where defense and calculated possessions should be the focus. This bet is favorable from the outset as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 220 and we are now seeing it fall to a 219.5 over / under line giving us that great opening read as to where the smart money is leaning and the UNDER is looking like the side to bet on in this contest. Digging through the numbers even more we see that the total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 14 games when playing Boston and that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston making this a highly specific situational play that easily puts the probabilities on our side. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 218.59 and 212.07 and we get our favorite NBA betting scenario to be in where both averages easily get us to the mark we are trying to hit. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 98–81-6 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the UNDER play yet another prime value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Cleveland is 16 and Boston is 12 and we can fully expect the Celtics to slow this one down to a crawl at home in order to get that key first win. We also note that the Cavaliers are 16 (dropping) in possessions per game and the Celtics the number 15 team in the league (falling fast) and again we can fully expect a slower paced game as the all of the trends are suggesting. The public consensus for this game is 53% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 224.3 so a 219.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being off from the computer generated score. Game Time: Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics - Eastern Conference Finals - Game 1 - Wednesday, May 17, 2017 8:30 PM Spread: 721 Cleveland Cavaliers -4 -110 722 Boston Celtics +4 -110 Total: 721 Cleveland Cavaliers Over 219½ -110 722 Boston Celtics Under 219½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 219.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics
The Eastern Conference Semifinals NBA basketball playoff series is at a pinnacle game 7 and the Washington Wizards (56-38) facing off against the Boston Celtics (60-34) in what will be the biggest playoff game of the season to date so far. This bet is enticing from the get go as most books OVER/UNDER line opening was at 209.5 and now its gravitated to a 211 over / under resting spot which is very promising as the steam and smart money hint us in the right direction. Dissecting the key stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road and that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Boston so despite last games low score its hard to envision this one not going OVER. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 216.18 and 212.50 and we get our favorite NBA betting scenario to be in where both averages easily get us to the mark we are trying to hit. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 101–82-6 and this specific playoff series is really leaning on the overwhelming missteps of the team totals odds makers to get this bet through. When it comes to pace of play Washington is 11 and Boston is 12 and this should be an offensive shoot out just like 5 out f the 6 games have been so far. We also note that the Wizards are 12 in possessions per game and the Celtics the number 15 team in the league so once again we are going to trust the data and breakdown which is all pointing to plenty of scoring in this critical playoff game and Boston is going to hit the gas to avoid such a close loss as last time. The public consensus for this game is 63% in favor of the over so it will be very interesting to see where this one finally falls. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 225 so a 211 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go with a full boost of confidence from the AI predictor brain also. Game Time: Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics - Eastern Conference Semifinals - Game 7 - Monday, May 15, 2017 8:00 PM Spread: 715 Washington Wizards +5 -110 +180 716 Boston Celtics -5 -110 -220 Total: 715 Washington Wizards Over 211 -110 716 Boston Celtics Under 211 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 211 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – San Diego Padres at Chicago White Sox
MLB Baseball is in full and wow has it been awesome so far and tonight we set our sights on the San Diego Padres (13-23) against the Chicago White Sox (15-17) in matchup that see two of the weaker offenses square up. This pick starts off with all the makings of a solid play as the opening number on the total of 9 has now dropped to 8 thanks to an early smart money push which we will happily tail. Were getting all the right signals for this one and that is reinforced by stats such as the total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games on the road and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego giving us every indication that this one should remain low as well. The public consensus for this game is 55% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well.. The San Diego Padres produce 3.53 runs this year and the Chicago White Sox output 4.03 runs on the year so we get that perfect setting where the offensive scoring don't break the Total line which is a huge value spot to be in when it comes to playing this UNDER. The weather at Guaranteed Rate Field is looking like 64°F and Sunny with a Humidity of 67% and a Wind is North-northeast 7 mph and with the wind blowing too hard right field the score should have no problem staying low. Another really favorable part of this UNDER bet is the fact that both the Padres and White Sox have elite closing staffs which should eliminate any late run bullpen blowup worries. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Miguel Gonzalez (R) pitching who has a .228 AVG against righties (7/9 Padres are RH hitters). We also get starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin (R) pitching who has a 1.69 May ERA and has been pitching out of this world as of late. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.4 so the UNDER 8 play gets all the right leans despite being slightly of from the AI predictor and at a -110 we should be super happy to grab a bunch value in this spot for all of the reasons above. Game Time: San Diego Padres at Chicago White Sox - Friday, May 12, 2017 8:10 PM Spread: 929 San Diego Padres +1½ -175 +117 930 Chicago White Sox -1½ +155 -127 Total: 929 San Diego Padres Over 8 -110 930 Chicago White Sox Under 8 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 8 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics
The Eastern Conference Semifinals NBA basketball playoff series is firing on all cylinders and tonight we have the pleasure of viewing the Washington Wizards (55-37) facing off against the Boston Celtics (59-33) in what is probably the most critical game so far as these two teams are dead even with each other. This bet is favorable from the outset as most books OVER/UNDER line opening was at 215 and now its gravitated to a 216 over / under resting spot which is great news it comes to relying on the steam and smart money as an initial indicator. Breaking open the key stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road and the total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Boston and the total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston so needless to say this has OVER written all over it. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 217.18 and 212.69 and we are going to lean on the potent offenses on both sides of the ball to really carry this one home for us. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 99–81-6 and this specific playoff series is really leaning on the overwhelming missteps of the team totals odds makers. When it comes to pace of play Washington is 11 and Boston is 12 and this should be an offensive shoot out like no other with two of the best PG's in the game leading the way. We also note that the Wizards are 11 in possessions per game (on a huge upswing) and the Celtics the number 14 team in the league (rising nicely) so once again we are going to trust the data and breakdown which is all pointing to plenty of scoring in this crucial playoff game. The public consensus for this game is 66% in favor of the over so it will be very interesting to see where this one finally falls. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 225 so a 216 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go with a full boost of confidence from the AI predictor brain as well. Game Time: Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics - Eastern Conference Semifinals - Game 5 - Wednesday, May 10, 2017 8:00 PM Spread: 519 Washington Wizards +4½ -110 +160 520 Boston Celtics -4½ -110 -185 Total: 519 Washington Wizards Over 216 -110 520 Boston Celtics Under 216 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 216 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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