Pick #1 – Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins
What is better then MLB Baseball on a Friay night, not much, and we get our fill this weekend as we set our sights on the Tampa Bay Rays (25-25) against the Minnesota Twins (25-18) and we get two of the better teams in the AL duking it out on the diamond. This bet is favorable from the outset as the opening line on the total of 8 has now swung a half point up to a 8.5 thanks to early smart money action of which we will tag along. Were getting all the right indicators for this game and that is highlighted by stats such as the total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 13 games at home and that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay giving us not only a situation specific play but also streaking trends that should easily propel us to the combined number we are trying to hit. The public consensus for this game is 58% in favor of the under so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The Tampa Bay Rays put up 4.54 runs this year per game and the Minnesota Twins put up 4.58 runs on the year as a per game average so the strong offensive showings of both teams should easily allow us to hit the OVER in this spot. The weather at Target Field is looking like 92°F and Mostly Sunny with a Humidity of 47% and a Wind is blowing E 14 mph giving us a great weather scenario where the hitting should really be able to thrive. Another really favorable part of this OVER bet is the fact that the Twins have an uncertain bullpen which allows room for plenty of late inning runs for the hot Rays bats. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Hector Santiago (L) pitching who has a 6.20 ERA in May and has not been picthing well as of late. We also get starting pitcher Chris Archer (R) pitching who has a 4.26 ERA in May giving us two pitchers that have been giving up more then enough runs as of late to reach lower totals like this one. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.2 so the OVER 8.5 play gets all the right leans despite being slightly of from the AI predictor and at a -115 juice we should be super happy to lock in this nice value in this spot for all of the reasons above.
Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins - Friday, May 26, 2017 8:10 PM
925 Tampa Bay Rays -1½ +120 -138
926 Minnesota Twins +1½ -140 +128
925 Tampa Bay Rays Over 8½ -115
926 Minnesota Twins Under 8½ -105
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 8.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
Help keep the FREE Picks coming. Sign up for an account at one of my recommended sports books.