Pick #1 – Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers
A tale of two very different teams as the Miami Heat battle it out with the likes of the Celtics, Hornets and Hawks for better playoff position the Los Angeles Lakers position themselves for life after Kobe and figuring out how to rebuild for next year. The Heat are playing exceptional basketball right now performing at a 9-1 win rate over there last 10 while we continue to wonder if LA is playing basketball at all which there 2-8 last 10 game record indicates. The Miami Heat (43-40) need to continue their dominance while the Los Angeles Lakers (15-59) just need to make it to next year with their pride intact and bodies intact. Rumor also has it that there is discontent in the Lakers locker room so they are currently playing uninspired basketball to say the least. Laker injury issues really only cover Anthony Brown and Nick Young so it is a bit concerning to be playing this bad with most everyone healthy. Chris Bosh, Goran Dragic and Tyler Johnson will all be out on the Miami side so star injuries are a bit alarming on that side of the ball taking away some of the serious scoring threats. We should be really starting to get off on the right foot with this pick as the over/under spread is a promising 2-8 in our favor. The Lakers home season long O/U total record is 13-24 and the Heat come in with a 15-20 away over/under season average so this should be a perfect combination of slow play from both sides is trends and conditions hold true which they should. On top of this the last three mettings between these two franchises have gone under and there is no reason that should not continue tonight give both teams current situations and playing paces. Offensive and defensive results for the last 10 games for these two teams add up to 207.3 and 211.6 which does not really give us a stroong lean towards the under but we are really playing off matchup specifics here and some noticeable NBA trends. The total over/under spread for this NBA contest opened at 208 and the smart money has dropped us all the way down to 207 so far so we have to really like where that line movement is trending. Miamia has to win by a sizeable -11.5 points here so you can best believe they will be doing everything they need to on the defensive to take this one home against a struggling and discontent Lakers team. The consensus for this game has the uunder at 52% but the board does not have anything of note really standing out. In conclusion when we look at the last time these two teams faced off there was a similar -11 spread and the final score was a 88-101 Miami win so we have to think history will have a strange way of repeating itself tonight. The UNDER is the new NBA betting golden child so lets go with the UNDER 207 here and celebrate another pick victory. Game Time: Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers - Wednesday, March 30, 2016 10:35 PM Spread: 517 Miami Heat 11½ 518 Los Angeles Lakers +11½ Total: 517 Miami Heat Over 207 518 Los Angeles Lakers Under 207 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Under 207 (2 Units) As Always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Dallas Mavericks at Nenver Nuggets
Two teams fighting for a chance at the last Western playoff conference spot one thing we can be sure of tonight and that is we will get two teams playing their heart out against one another. Both the Dallsa Mavericks and Denver Nuggets come into the game playing some sloppy basketball as each holds 2-8 and 5-5 records respectively over there last 10 games. Both hoping to pick up the pace with a win tonight we can expect The Dallas Mavericks (35-38) and the Denver Nuggets (31-43) to playing some playoff hopeful inspired basketball. Even though the game is extremely important tonight to both teams we get an added bonus that these two teams really like to play uptempo basketball when they play each other. While each team is dealing with some superstar injuries such as the Mavericks Deron Williams and Chandler Parsons (Jeremy Evans is out also) and the Nuggets Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari each team is stocked with depth new and old that are ready to step and have big games at anytime. Holding a 10 game stretch 6-4 over/under total record we are starting off on the right side of history. The total has gone OVER in 13 of Denver's last 19 games at home and The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games so we are getting a perfect storm of high powered offenses meeting in game were opponent specifics already lead to more out put. In addition Denver showcases an overall season 23-12-1 over/under home standing so we are getting some huge value this year anytime Denver takes the home court and this matchup specific contest makes it even better. Offensive and defensive stats for the last 10 games for these two teams add up to a blazing 213.4 and 222.2 which is highly favorable towards the number we are getting today of 212. The total over/under spread for this NBA contest opened at 212 and has been steady at that point all day so the money jury is still out on this one. This should be a close and gritty battle as the Nuggets are taking a -1.5 line at home and will try to squeak out a .highly crucial home win. The consensus for this game is at the highest rate out of all games and we are seeing a nice 63% lean here. Finally we have to love the recent history of these two teams who just met on March 6th producing a final score of 114-116 Denver home win. The trends and break down all point to an easy OVER at 212 so lets try to bank this. Game Time: Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets - Monday, March 28, 2016 9:05 PM Spread: 743 Dallas Mavericks +1½ 744 Denver Nuggets -1½ Total: 743 Dallas Mavericks Over 212 744 Denver Nuggets Under 212 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 212 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons
A must win game for both teams tonight so we can be sure the action is going to be heated and intense Each team also comes into this game red hot as of late and playing with a purpose as the Charlotte Hornets sport a recent 8-2 stretch over 1 games while the Detroit Pistons showcase and equal impressive 7-3 record over the same span. The Charlotte Hornets (41-30) and Detroit Pistons (38-34) are two teams trying to hold onto the final playoff spots in the east so we can expect the utmost focus and intensity from both teams tonight. While both east coast powerhouses need to take home the win tonight this game is more important to home team Detroit which should play into our picks favor as we dive into some of the finer details. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist of the Charlotte Hornets is the only reported injury from either side so we can best be assured the offenses will be firing on all cylinders tonight for these scoring minded teams. Holding a recent 6-3-1 over/under total outcome over the last 10 games there is no denying that when these two teams meet the buckets are put up with vengeance. This hot stretch alone has seen the total go OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home. Detroit also accounts for an overall 21-13-1 over/under standing at home so its pretty obvious that when the Pistons hit the home court this year there ready to simple put the rock in the hole for the home crowd. Offensive and defensive numbers over the past 10 games for these two teams add up to a blazing 216.2 and 210.3 so we are getting some monster starting statistics in are favor. The total over/under spread for this NBA contest opened at 206.5 and has stuck around that spot for the entire day so far so the money appears a bit undecided but the trends scream grab up the over in this one. This should be a tight hard fought battle with the Hornets taking a +2.5 line against a super talented Pistons team at home. As an added bonus to all of the above this bet has had the highest consensus on the board all day and currently holds an astonishing 95% favoritism towards the OVER. We just can not see this game going anywhere but the OVER at 206 so lets take this one home. Game Time: Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons - Friday, March 25, 2016 7:35 PM Spread: 853 Charlotte Hornets +2½ 854 Detroit Pistons -2½ Total: 853 Charlotte Hornets Over 206 854 Detroit Pistons Under 206 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 206 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons
Both teams are sure to give everything they have tonight as each battles for the last playoff spot in the east. With the Milwaukee Bucks and Detroit Pistons each sporting a 5-5 record over there last 10 games this is sure to be a fight until end. The Milwaukee Bucks (46-21) and Detroit Pistons (39-29) are two teams that have plenty offensive weapons giving them the ability to put up some serious points on any given night. Even though both squads are desperate for a W the Pistons come into the matchup and completely healthy why the Bucks come into the game a bit banged up. Milwaukee has listed on the injury list the likes of Michael Carter-Williams, O.J. Mayo, Steve Novak and Greivis Vasquez. These two teams are both pretty soft down low and with a lot of the Bucks guards out we should see a This head to head should featuring scoring from both inside the paint and beyond the arc setting the stage for a nice high scoring night for both teams. Boasting a 6-4 total over/under record in the last 10 game between the two rosters, the positive trends and current motivational factors have to really start perking our interest. This year Detroit sports a 20-12-1 over/under standing at home and this where we start to the value in this pick as the Pistons clearly like to take the offense up a notch or two when at home and we can only imagine with something so meaningful potentially on the line as a last playoff spot. The total has even gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home and that's a nice trend we would think would have no problem continuing tonight. Offensive and defensive stats over the past 10 games for these two teams equal up to a combined 204.5 and 207.6 so we are getting a favorably soft defensive side to this selection. The total over/under line for this NBA matchup started out at 20.5 and has stayed for the most part steady so it looks like we can be confident the money is not against us. Running this game through an NBA game predictor gave us a 207 combined expected point output so it seems the numbers are clearly on our side. The game itself should be close as well as the predicted point difference by the odds makers is -7 in favor of the Pistons so Detroit is really going to have to show up at home tonight which they normally due. In addition to all of the above this bet has had the highest consensus on the board all day and currently sits at a nice 65% lean towards the OVER. All signs point to an easy OVER as two high scoring teams meet in a highly important game so lets go with this game hitting the other side 205.5 . Game Time: Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons - Monday, March 21, 2016 7:35 PM Spread: 607 Milwaukee Bucks +7 608 Detroit Pistons -7 Total: 607 Milwaukee Bucks Over 205½ 608 Detroit Pistons Under 205½ Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 205.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Boston Celtics at Toronto
Both fighting to move up a playoff spot these two division counterparts are giving it everything they got each night as the season winds down into the playoffs. Sitting on a 7-3 current10 game streak the dominant Toronto Raptors are running on all cylinders as they face the talented but currently in a slump 6-4 10 game record Boston Celtics. The Toronto Raptors (46-21) and Boston Celtics (39-29) are two highly explosive teams that both have a lot on the line when it comes to playoff positioning. Even though both teams need a win there are injuries and potential rests to consider. On the Raptors side Jonas Valanciunas and DeMarre Carroll. There are rumors of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan resting on given night recently so there is that to consider as well but even one or the other or both sit out it still encourages a faster paced game where Boston's guards can really take advantage. Celtics have Jae Crowder and Jonas Jerebko taking the bench so no big concern there. Boston is finally getting its big men healthy again which should make for plenty of inside and outside scoring tonight. This matchup should scoring from both inside and out as each teams matches up well offensively against each other specifically as we will start to see in the following data. While these two teams only sport a 5-5 total over/under record in the last 10 game span its there recent meetings, the stats and current motivation that start to get us excited here. Toronto has a 20-14 over/under home record so this is just the beginning of where the data begins to reveal this pick. Offensive and defensive stats over the past 10 games for these two teams equal up to a combined 212.2 and 206.6 so we are getting a nice offensive up side to this pick. The total over/under line for this NBA matchup started out at 208 and has shot up to 211 so its really obvious where the money is falling on this one. These two offensive juggernauts just recently produced a 109 – 115 Toronto victory in Toronto so if we get more of the same tonight we should be in business. This is predicted to be a close one with the spread only being a -2 in favor of the Raptors so we can expect lots points down the stretch. Giving further confidence the consensus for this bet has been 60% or higher all day. All the data points to a nice over here as a tired Raptors team battles a Hungry Celtics team so lets hit the over here at 211 for the win. Game Time: Boston Celtics at Toronto Raptors - Friday, March 18, 2016 7:35 PM Spread: 807 Boston Celtics +2 808 Toronto Raptors -2 Total: 807 Boston Celtics Over 211 808 Toronto Raptors Under 211 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 211 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Orlando Magic at Charlotte Hornets
A must win for both teams and even more so for 11th placed Orlando Magic this is one Eastern Conference rivalry that get things heated up quick. Sitting on a 4-6 recent 10 game record the struggling Magic will need to get it together when they face the 8-2 hot 10 game stretch Charlotte Hornets. The Orlando Magic (29-37) and Charlotte Hornets (37-29) have both been creating some serious offensive output and when they face off against each other the result is usually no different then there recent scoring trends. While both teams deal with a few injuries in anything those on the sidelines will play into our favor and a faster pace tonight. The Hornets will be sitting Spencer Hawes and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist so no real concern there but it the Magic injury report that might sway this battle. Orlando shows a roster minus Nikola Vucevic, Elfrid Payton, and Brandon Jennings which points to emphasis on a younger smaller lineup. This one should be a guard and smaller forward focused game where the buckets are many and inside game is soft. These two teams also seem to to take it up a notch offensively when they meet up showing a solid 6-3-1 total over/under record over there last 10 games. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games so its clear where this crucial home game is most likely heading. Offensive and defensive stats over the last 10 games for these two teams equal a combined 213.1 and 210.2 so we are on the right side of where we need to be as far as scoring averages are concerned for this one. The total over/under line for this NBA matchup had an opening of 210.5 and has risen to 212 so we have to really like which way the money is sending the message on this one. These two high flying teams just recently produce a 120 – 116 against each other so we can be assured there should be some serous offense in this one. The Hornets are estimated to cover the spread by -10 defending the home court and as this number continues to soar we have to think there will be plenty of offense as the Magic attempt to stay playoff alive. Many of the signs we like to see in a bet are here so lets feel confident in our read and take the over 212 here. Game Time: Orlando Magic at Charlotte Hornets - Wednesday, March 16, 2016 7:05 PM Spread: 601 Orlando Magic +10 602 Charlotte Hornets -10 Total: 601 Orlando Magic Over 212 602 Charlotte Hornets Under 212 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 207 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors
As the Chicago Bulls try with all there might to claw there way into the last Eastern conference playoff spot (2 games out of 8th place) so too do the Toronto Raptors want to bring there A game as they position for the #1 spot in the East. As the 4-6 over there last 10 contests Bulls duel it out with an 8-2 over there last 10 matches Raptors there should be some serious shooting going on. If this season has any trends this might be one of the strongest when it comes to competition and offensive production. The Chicago Bulls (32-32) and Toronto Raptors (57-6) are known for high scoring games and intense battles this year. While Bulls deal with a plethora of injuries and face a fully healthy Raptors they do get offensive powerhouse Jimmy Butler back tonight and that will go along way towards running up the score on both sides. The Raptors have no injuries to report and the Bulls show Pau Gasol and Joakim Noah as sure outs. Derrick Rose and Mike Dunleavy are on the fence while Nikola Mirotic finds his return along side Butler. Currently both teams are turning up with there best every game as each desperately needs wins as they fight for much needed better positions. We begin to discuss how these teams react when theymeet and the last 10 one on one's between these two have lead a massive 7-3 over/under total record which shows a promising start to where we think this score is headed. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home and The total has gone OVER in 14 of Chicago's last 20 games on the road so no only on a joint level but also at the individual level these teams are playing some serious high scoring basketball. Offensive and defensive stats over the last 10 games when combined for these two add up to 210.7 and 210.5 so we are easily hitting over are total mark needed which is very rare and also a great sign. The total over/under spread for this NBA game had an opening of 205 and has been moving ever since and has risen as high as 207 so far giving us a great clue as to where all the money is pouring in on this one. The isolated matchup is what we are really looking at here and it seems as these two aggressive, fast paced competitors come together the score is always run up as less then a month ago the result was 106 – 116 in a similar meeting even Chicago taking the win and the upset. Both teams seem to take it up an extra notch on the offensive side when these two teams as a game a few months ago also saw a Bulls upset and a sky high 115-113 final scoreboard. The Raptors are predicted to cover the spread by -9 at home which seems ambitious given the recent outcomes so they will need to be putting up some serious numbers against there in conference rivals. A lot of are plus value markers and indicators are hitting on the over in this one tonight so lets ride with the over 207 and take this trending position home. Game Time: Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors - Monday, March 14, 2016 7:35 PM Spread: 507 Chicago Bulls +9 508 Toronto Raptors -9 Total: 507 Chicago Bulls Over 207 508 Toronto Raptors Under 207 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 207 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Portland Trailblazers at Golden State Warriors
Tonight one team will have there sights on setting NBA records while the other just hopes to remain in playoff with a strong end of season push. As the 6-4 over there last 10 games Portland Trailblazers face off against a 9-1 over there last 10 matches Golden State Warriors we can be sure the sparks will be flying. If recent history is any indication of what will be taking place tonight we can be sure there will be no shortage of points scored. The Portland Trailblazers (34-31) and Golden State Warriors (57-6) should put on a serious offensive showing. Each team is without any roster concerns that are noteworthy making this a game that should be high flying and uptempo. The Trailblazers have zero injuries to report and the Warriors only show a non factoring Festus Ezeli missing in action. Currently both teams are bringing all they got every single night and when they meet each other the offense truly rise to another level. Just as a start there last 10 head to head matches have produced a whopping 7-3 over/under total record which is a very promising for this pick. Even though the spread seems quite high if we look deeper into the historical data I think we will find this to be a bet that holds a lot of value. The total has gone OVER in 10 of Portland's last 13 games so we are pretty much assured both teams will be showing up with buckets today. Offensive and defensive stats over the last 10 games for both teams are a combined 222.2 and 215.9 respectively making this more of a match up play then anything. The point spread for this NBA over/under had an opening of 228.5 so it started out nice and high and has moved a little bit down since. The specific situation is what we are really looking at here and when these two teams came together less then a mere month ago the result was a 137 – 105 upset by Portland giving this a nice revenge game feel where offensive emphasis and excellence will most likely be the exclamation point and out come. We have also been closely checking the public consensus on this pick as usual and it is topping the board at 68%. Both teams looking to make strong statements here so both offensives should be out in full force from two of the best in the business right now. Golden State also needs to cover the spread by a wide -12.5 so points and more points is really the only option. Lets trust history and motivation here and take the OVER 227. Game Time: Portland Trailblazers at Golden State Warriors - Friday, March 11, 2016 10:35 PM Spread: 519 Portland Trailblazers +12½ 520 Golden State Warriors -12½ Total: 519 Portland Trailblazers Over 227 520 Golden State Warriors Under 227 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 227 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Houston Rockets at Philadelphia 76er's
While Houston is playing with everything they got to stay in the playoff hunt the faltering sixers are simply looking towards next year as they experiment with various players and lineups. The Rockets come into this game badly needing a win as they take a recent 4-6 struggling10 game run against the lowly 76'ers who rarely win as there last 10 game streak of 0-10 indicates. Despite Philadelphia never winning they are one of those NBA teams that puts up a fight every single night as young guys to compete for roster spots and contract positions. The Houston Rockets (31-32) and Philadelphia 76'ers (8-55) should give us a great show as Philly tries to put on the for the hometown crowd. Each team is without any major injuries of note making this a game where all offensive weapons will be on deck for both teams for the most part. The Rockets have no hurt players to report and Philadelphia shows Jahlil Okafor and Joel Embiid on the out of commission list. Currently Houston is bringing all they got every single night so there high powered offense should be in full force tonight. When the Rockets and 76er's get together they always play some speedy basketball as these two NBA teams over the last 10 heads up scenarios show a favorable 6-4 record towards the over side. Even though its a lot of points to cover here if we look deeper into the numbers I think we will find this to still be a very promising wager. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games so its clear they are having no trouble facilitating buckets as of late. Even better the The total has gone OVER in 16 of Houston's last 22 games and The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games on the road so we know the Houston is going to bring it every single night as they make this last push. Add to this offensive and defensive stats over the last 10 games for both teams and we see combined stats of 213 and 227.1 giving us a nice high side on where this game could go. The point spread for this NBA over/under total begin at 219 and has moved 1 point up and finally we get a bet where the smart money is really trying to move the spread where we are seeing it go. When these two teams met last the score was 114 – 116 so its clear that these two teams can put up some serious numbers when they meet. We have also been monitoring the public sentiment on this bet and it is only going higher as we speak moving all the way up to 95% so far. This is a must win for the Rockets so we can expect them to put up a much need win with emphasis here. Houston needs to cover a spread of -9.5 so best believe the shots will be flying tonight. Lets trust our reads here take the OVER 220. Game Time: Houston Rockets at Philadelphia 76ers - Wednesday, March 09, 2016 7:05 PM Spread: 505 Houston Rockets -9½ 506 Philadelphia 76ers +9½ Total: 505 Houston Rockets Over 220 506 Philadelphia 76ers Under 220 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 220 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks
Tonight we get twp playoff bound teams fighting for position advantage. While the dominant Los Clippers who take a 6-4 record over their last 10 game run look to move up from their 4th playoff position, the Dallas Mavericks who are 4-6 over there last 10 attempt to better their current 6th place playoff position. As both these teams gear up for their playoff push they are playing some focused uptempo basketball that has really put in an emphasis on scoring. The Los Angeles Clippers (40-21) and Dallas Mavericks (33-30) should give us a great inter conference rivalry game where scoring statements start to be made. Each team is without any new key making this a game where all the usual suspects will be out showcasing their skills. The Mavericks report zero injuries going into the contest and the Clippers have Blake Griffin and Luc Mbah a Moute are both out and have had significant sideline time this season. Currently Dallas is playing some of the best offense in the league and we have to think Los Angeles will be forced to match this pace and especially on the road. Here we find ourselves in another match up specific pick and looking at these two NBA teams over the last 10 heads up scenarios the over/under Total is 9-1 which is almost an unprecedented number in our favor. The stats really start to reveal themselves as we delve deeper into the one on one outcomes these two teams create. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games at home so we are already setting the stage for a high scoring affair. The total has also gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 11 games. Add to this offensive and defensive stats over the last 10 games for both teams and we see averages of 223.1 and 211.5 giving us a huge upside on the OVER at the point its at. The point spread for this NBA over/under begin at 211.5 and has moved 2.5 points down which given the matchup here does not set of any alarm bells. When these two teams met last the score was 108 – 118 for a Dallas home win given us great confidence going in to a near identical bet. Despite the over/under moving down a few points here we are still seeing an extremely healthy 68% consensus so the line movement may not be an indicator we can really lean on here. The Mavericks need to tune up there game against playoff caliber competition and at the level they are playing basketball right now this might be more a challenge for the Clippers then it will be for Dallas to pull away with a huge victory. Los Angeles needs to cover a spread of -5 so they will have to be moving at an even higher pace then the red hot Mavericks. Lets follow the matchup specific trends and put faith in the current playing flows and take the OVER 209. Game Time: Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks - Monday, March 07, 2016 8:35 PM Spread: 511 Los Angeles Clippers 5 512 Dallas Mavericks +5 Total: 511 Los Angeles Clippers Over 209 512 Dallas Mavericks Under 209 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 209 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
Help keep the FREE Picks coming. Sign up for an account at one of my recommended sports books.
Authors
|