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NBA Picks Friday 3/11/2016 – POR vs. GSW

3/11/2016

 
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Pick #1 – Portland Trailblazers at Golden State Warriors​

Tonight one team will have there sights on setting NBA records while the other just hopes to remain in playoff with a strong end of season push. As the 6-4 over there last 10 games Portland Trailblazers face off against a 9-1 over there last 10 matches Golden State Warriors we can be sure the sparks will be flying. If recent history is any indication of what will be taking place tonight we can be sure there will be no shortage of points scored. The Portland Trailblazers (34-31) and Golden State Warriors (57-6) should put on a serious offensive showing. Each team is without any roster concerns that are noteworthy making this a game that should be high flying and uptempo. The Trailblazers have zero injuries to report and the Warriors only show a non factoring Festus Ezeli missing in action. Currently both teams are bringing all they got every single night and when they meet each other the offense truly rise to another level. Just as a start there last 10 head to head matches have produced a whopping 7-3 over/under total record which is a very promising for this pick. Even though the spread seems quite high if we look deeper into the historical data I think we will find this to be a bet that holds a lot of value. The total has gone OVER in 10 of Portland's last 13 games so we are pretty much assured both teams will be showing up with buckets today. Offensive and defensive stats over the last 10 games for both teams are a combined 222.2 and 215.9 respectively making this more of a match up play then anything. The point spread for this NBA over/under had an opening of 228.5 so it started out nice and high and has moved a little bit down since. The specific situation is what we are really looking at here and when these two teams came together less then a mere month ago the result was a 137 – 105 upset by Portland giving this a nice revenge game feel where offensive emphasis and excellence will most likely be the exclamation point and out come. We have also been closely checking the public consensus on this pick as usual and it is topping the board at 68%. Both teams looking to make strong statements here so both offensives should be out in full force from two of the best in the business right now. Golden State also needs to cover the spread by a wide -12.5 so points and more points is really the only option. Lets trust history and motivation here and take the OVER 227.

Game Time:
Portland Trailblazers at Golden State Warriors - Friday, March 11, 2016 10:35 PM

Spread:
519 Portland Trailblazers +12½ 
520 Golden State Warriors -12½  

Total:
519 Portland Trailblazers Over 227
520 Golden State Warriors Under 227

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
Over 227 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt
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