Pick #1 – Atlanta Hawks at Boston Celtics
Mondays may mean getting back to work but they also mean we get to pick up some great NBA basketball as well and tonight we will be feasting our eyes on the Atlanta Hawks (32-26) versus the Boston Celtics (38-21) which are two very solid teams trying to make their postseason pushes. This pick starts off highly intriguing as many shops opened it at a 215 OVER/UNDER opening line has compared to its now 212.5 over / under hinting as to what the sharp money is up to as well as where the value lies. Dissecting the match up even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Atlanta giving us both past and recent history of these two teams simply playing slower then normal and especially against one another and Boston being the better and slower team on paper has all the makings for this bet coming through. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 211.36 and 209.86 givings us one of those rare occasions we always get excited about where the averages on both sides of the ball in now way justify the total. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 54–61-2 and it will be interesting to see how tight this spread stays throughout the rest of the season. When it comes to pace of play Atlanta is 11 and Boston is 18 and we will gladly take this high UNDER as once again we get the better, slower team playing on their home court. We also note that the Hawks are 10 in possessions per game (dropping) and the Celtics are the number 18 team in the league (falling fast) so once again we get two teams that are not performing as optimally offensively as they once were setting us up for a nice play on an over estimated line. The public consensus for this game is 57% in favor of the OVER so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 209 so a 212.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we get the cherry on top with the AI predictor brain also agreeing. Game Time: Atlanta Hawks at Boston Celtics - Monday, February 27, 2017 7:35 PM Spread: 507 Atlanta Hawks +4½ -110 +160 508 Boston Celtics -4½ -110 -185 Total: 507 Atlanta Hawks Over 212½ -110 508 Boston Celtics Under 212½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 212.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers
The NBA is finally back from break and there could not be more excitement in the air as we start the second half of the betting season with our opening game that gives us the Memphis Grizzlies (34-24) versus the Indiana Pacers (29-28) which gives us two teams over .500 looking to keep the playoff push going. This pick begins with all terms we like to see in a favorable bet as a 207 OVER/UNDER opening line has now shrunk down to a 204.5 over / under revealing exactly where the sharp money is flowing and such a big move should be a clear indication on where this game is headed. Dissecting the match up even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 18 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indiana's last 16 games when playing at home against Memphis giving us both past and recent history of these two teams simply playing slower then normal and especially against one another. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 206.34 and 205.93 making this a very situation specific play that should easily shave off the two or three points we need from two teams that always slow the game when facing each other. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 59–55-1 and so we should fully expect a nice regression back to the middle .500 ground making the UNDER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Memphis is 28 and Indiana is 15 and we will gladly take this high UNDER as we get one of slowest and best teams in league in a spot where they should be able to easily control the game flow. We also note that the Grizzlies are 28 in possessions per game and the Indiana are the number 14 team in the league (falling down the leaderboard fast) so once again we get two teams that are not performing as optimally offensively as they once were setting us up for some real value. The public consensus for this game is 68% in favor of the OVER so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 210.3 so a 204.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite what the AI predictor brain is showing. Game Time: Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers - Friday, February 24, 2017 7:05 PM Spread: 841 Memphis Grizzlies -1 -110 -117 Over 203½ -110 842 Indiana Pacers +1 -110 -103 Under 203½ -110 Total: 841 Memphis Grizzlies Over 204½ -110 842 Indiana Pacers Under 204½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 204.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers
The good news is NBA basketball is almost back. The better news is that will still get to hunt down betting value and tonight takes us to the NHL ice where we find the Washington Capitals (39-12-7) facing off against the Philadelphia Flyers (28-24-7) in a battle of two very strong teams which should get the offenses going tonight without issue. We are intrigued by this bet from its out set as we have watched the OVER total price go from a -135 to a -140 vig indicating the sharp money really likes the side we are seeing as well. In addition to positive line move Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the last 10 games is 2-10-8 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record in the upcoming games making the OVER play yet another great value spot to be in. The Washington Capitals produce 3.36 goals this year and the Philadelphia Flyers output is 2.61 goals so far giving us that comfortable side to be on where even the bottom averages get us to the OVER win in this scenario. These two teams have already met two times this year with both game totals hitting the 5 mark really highlighting just how often this bet gets us to where we need it to go. The Capitals starting goalie Braden Holtby has allowed three goals or more goals in his last three starts as well as has been taking considerable time off so its clear he is rusty and not stopping the attempts he needs which should set up a nice OVER play in what should be a paced up game. This bet is coming in currently at -140 so while we have to lay some juice its well worth it given all the favorable traction we are getting from the above stats break downs. The computer predicted outcome for this one is 5.2 so we get all factors in this one pointing in our favor so lets pick up a win in this very appealing NHL OVER play. Game Time: Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers - Wednesday, February 22, 2017 8:05 PM Spread: 53 Washington Capitals -1½ +195 -150 Over 5 -140 54 Philadelphia Flyers +1½ -235 +130 Under 5 +120 Total: 53 Washington Capitals Over 5 -140 54 Philadelphia Flyers Under 5 +120 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Florida Panthers at St. Louis Blues
NBA All Star Weekend is in the books and what fun it was but even though basketball is on break does not mean we stop trying to find value and tonight there is some nice NHL action and its the Florida Panthers (27-20-10) squaring up against the St. Louis Blues (31-25-5) in a battle of some of the top teams and we can expect the action to reflect that. Were excited about this pick from the start as books have seen this total go from a 5 to a 5.5 so were really seeing the smart money giving us strong hints on which side this wager should land. In addition to positive line move we also note that the total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games at home highlighting just how well the Blues have been playing as of late at home and this high scoring trend we should expecte to continue in this strong matchup. The Florida Panthers produce 2.58 goals this year and the St. Louis Blues output is 2.86 goals so far giving us that perfect storm where even the bottom averages get us to the OVER win in this value spot. This is the first of only 2 games between these two powerhouses and there should be plenty of scoring in this one due to the unexpected factors that will go on as they feel each other out. The Blues starting goalie Jake Allen allowed three goals on 28 shots in the Blues’ loss in Buffalo Saturday so its clear he is not stopping the attempts he needs which should set up a nice OVER play in this spot. Another nice aspect of this bet is that we get it at +110 so the juice is on our side in this read and we pick up a little extra value because of it. The computer predicted outcome for this one is 5.5 so we get all factors in this one pointing in our favor so lets pick up a win in this tantalizing OVER play. Game Time: Florida Panthers at St. Louis Blues - Monday, February 20, 2017 8:05 PM Spread: 51 Florida Panthers +1½ -235 +120 Over 5½ +110 52 St. Louis Blues -1½ +195 -140 Under 5½ -130 Total: 51 Florida Panthers Over 5½ +110 52 St. Louis Blues Under 5½ -130 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 5.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets
Sure its NBA All Star Weekend but that does not mean the grav train stops rolling in and while everyone is spending money down in New Orleans we will try to grab a few bucks and some value as center in on the Pittsburgh Penguins (36-13-7) facing off against the Columbus Blue Jackets (36-15-5) in a battle of two the best in the league doing it right now. Were excited about this pick from the start as books have seen this total go from a 6 to a 6.5 (some even started at 5.5) so were really seeing the sharp money providing an initial path to success here. In addition to this key line move we also note that the total has gone OVER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 17 games on the road and that the total has gone OVER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 17 games when playing on the road against Columbus so not only do we get a lights out Penguin's team on the road currently we get a nice little historical trend leaning us in the right direction as well. The Pittsburgh Penguins produce 3.59 goals this year and the Columbus Blue Jackets output is 3.25 goals so far giving us that ideal scenario where even bare bones base averages lead us to the OVER win in this spot. The last time these two teams met only a few weeks ago the final result was a 4-3 score so these two teams have plenty of a ppropensity to score when they hit the ice together. Another nice aspect of this bet is that we get it at -110 so we do not have to lay any extra juice and pick up this favorable NHL OVER lean at a reasonable price. These two teams have a strong history of high scoring afairs and there is no reason this trend does not continue tonight Game Time: Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets - Friday, February 17, 2017 7:05 PM Spread: 1 Pittsburgh Penguins +1½ -270 +105 2 Columbus Blue Jackets -1½ +230 -125 Total: 1 Pittsburgh Penguins Over 6½ -110 2 Columbus Blue Jackets Under 6½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 6.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets
Its the middle of the week and if you are looking for something to help get you to the weekend then why not sit back and relax to some NBA basketball and tonight gives us a great card as we focus in on the Milwaukee Bucks (24-30) versus the Brooklyn Nets (9-46) which gives us too struggling teams that are having trouble finding their identity and offenses lately. This play starts off with the exact characteristics we want to see as a 220 OVER/UNDER opening line has now been trimmed down to a 219 over / under revealing exactly what side the sharp bettors are taking. Dissecting the match up even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games and the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games at home so while being the fastest team in the league it is quit clear a recent adjustment has changed this playing style. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 210.35 and 218.99 and we get that oh so valuable scenario where both averages take us to our UNDER goal even at the peak levels of performance. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 63–45-1 and so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the OVER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Milwaukee is 21 and Brooklyn is 1 and we will gladly take this high UNDER as Milwaukee being the much better will control pace and bring this into the lower third of the NBA realm of offensive production. We also note that the Bucks are 20 in possessions per game (dropping drastically as of late) and the Nets are the number 1 team in the league (sinking currently at a serious pace) so once again we get two teams that are not performing as optimally offensively as they once were (Bucks just recently lost one of their best player to injury). The public consensus for this game is 61% in favor of the UNDER so we will see how this general agreement plays out. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 214.5 so a 219 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and even coincides well with AI predictor brain. Game Time: Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets - Wednesday, February 15, 2017 7:35 PM Spread: 507 Milwaukee Bucks -6 -110 -225 508 Brooklyn Nets +6 -110 +185 Total: 507 Milwaukee Bucks Over 218½ -110 508 Brooklyn Nets Under 218½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 219 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks
Its just another magic Monday and no better way to start off the week then with some NBA basketball and tonight we dial in on the Boston Celtics (35-19) versus the Dallas Mavericks (22-32) which gives a hot team against one that is struggling to get back on track. This wager starts of well as a 209 OVER/UNDER opening line has now shrunk down to a 208.5 over / under (been as low as 207.5) highlighting exactly what side the smart bettors are taking. Dissecting the match up even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games and the total has gone UNDER in 13 of Boston's last 18 games when playing on the road against Dallas so we get the better team not playing slow right now but also historically against this specific opponent as well. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 206.52 and 205.98 and we get that oh so valuable scenario where both averages take us to our UNDER goal even at maximum performance levels. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 54–53-1 and we are right in the midst of the stats reversing back to dead even on the UNDER picking up a nicely trending value spot for us. When it comes to pace of play Boston is 18 and Dallas is 29 and we will gladly take this high UNDER from two teams that are almost the bottom half of the league it comes offensive speed. We also note that the Celtics are 17 in posessions per game (dropping drastically as of late) and the Mavericks are the number 29 team in the league so once again two teams this low on the list simply do not justify this high of a total and we get a Dallas team controling the pace at home who is pretty much slowest in the entire league. The public consensus for this game is 73% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this spot also. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 210 so a 20.8 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slighty off from the AI predictor brain. Game Time: Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks - Monday, February 13, 2017 8:35 PM Spread: 513 Boston Celtics -2 -110 -130 514 Dallas Mavericks +2 -110 +110 Total: 513 Boston Celtics Over 208½ -110 514 Dallas Mavericks Under 208½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 208.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – San Antonio Spurs at Detroit Pistons
The weekend is upon us making time for some rest, relaxation and NBA basketball and tonight we focus in on the San Antonio Spurs (40-12) versus the Detroit Pistons (25-28) which pits the very good versus the very mediocre. This bet catches our attention from the start as a 210.5 OVER/UNDER opening line has now shrunk down to a 209 over / under revealing exactly what side the sharp dollars are pouring in on. Dissecting the match up even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games highlighting that they are focusing on that same slow style of play that they are known for. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 208.74 and 200.66 and we get that rare set up that reveals tons of value when both averages get us to our UNDER goal even at maximum efficiency. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 58–47 so we should fully expect reversal back to the mean on the UNDER happening sooner then later and this gives us yet another promising scenario where key factors are weighing in our favor. When it comes to pace of play San Antonio is 26 and Detroit is 24 and we will gladly take this high UNDER from two teams that are almost dead last in the league when it comes offensive speed. We also note that the Spurs are 27 in possessions per game (dropping drastically as of late) and the Pistons are the number 26 team in the league so once again two teams this low on the list simply do not justify this high of a total. The public consensus for this game is 53% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this spot also. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 206.5 so a 209 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we get the AI predictor brain siding with us as well which is always nice. Game Time: San Antonio Spurs at Detroit Pistons - Friday, February 10, 2017 7:35 PM Spread: 853 San Antonio Spurs -4½ -110 -175 854 Detroit Pistons +4½ -110 +155 Total: 853 San Antonio Spurs Over 209 -110 854 Detroit Pistons Under 209 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 209 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks
its Wednesday and that means were on the middle of the week grind making it a perfect evening to kick back and relax to some NBA basketball and tonight we set our sights on the Miami Heat (22-30) versus the Toronto Raptors (22-28) which sets us up for struggling teams headed into battle. This wager looks enticing from the beginning as a 210 OVER/UNDER opening line has now dropped down to a 208 over / under revealing exactly where the sharp money is heading. Breaking down the contest even further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road so the are just no producing offensively on the road lately playing right into our favor. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 205.97 and 207.25 and we get that perfect scenario we love to see where both averages get us to our UNDER goal. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 56–46 so we should fully expect a draw back to the mean on the UNDER happening sooner then later and we will take every bit of that value tonight. When it comes to pace of play Miami is 22 and Milwaukee is 20 and we will gladly take this high UNDER from two teams in the bottom 3rd of total teams in the NBA when it comes offensive speed. We also note that the Heat are 22 in possessions per game and the Bucks are the number 20 team in the league so once again two teams this low on the charts simply do not deserve this high of a total. The public consensus for this game is 70% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this spot. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 212.8 so a 208 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI predictor brain. Game Time: Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks - Wednesday, February 08, 2017 8:05 PM Spread: 511 Miami Heat +4 -110 +155 512 Milwaukee Bucks -4 -110 -175 Total: 511 Miami Heat Over 208 -110 512 Milwaukee Bucks Under 208 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 208 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Los Angeles Clippers at Toronto Raptors
New Monday and that means a fresh start after a wild and spectacular Super Bowl its time to get back into the NBA basketball as we plan to laser in on the Los Angeles Clippers (31-20) versus the Toronto Raptors (31-21) which pits two very even teams dealing with some injuries and both coming off back to backs which should give us a much slower game then usual. This bet gets off on the right foot as a 216 OVER/UNDER opening line has now been whittled down to a 213.5 over / under exposing what side the savvy money is picking in this spot. Breaking down the contest even further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games which gives us a home team favorite that should control the pace of play which is a great sign for this UNDER bet. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 217.33 and 209.21 and we are going to bank on the defensive side and injuries to star players here to bring this UNDER home. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 58–44-1 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean on the UNDER happening frequently which sets up a nice over correction in our favor. When it comes to pace of play Los Angeles is 16 and Toronto is 21 and its always nice to get an UNDER play on a high total from two bottom of league teams in terms of pace of play. We also note that the Clippers are 18 in possessions per game and the Raptors are the number 21 team in the league (and dropping) so once again two teams this low on the charts simply do not deserve this high of a total. The public consensus for this game is 66% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 218 so a 213.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI predictor brain. Game Time: Los Angeles Clippers at Toronto Raptors - Monday, February 06, 2017 7:35 PM Spread: 507 Los Angeles Clippers +5 -110 +175 508 Toronto Raptors -5 -110 -210 Total: 507 Los Angeles Clippers Over 213½ -110 508 Toronto Raptors Under 213½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 213.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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