Pick #1 – Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers
The NBA is finally back from break and there could not be more excitement in the air as we start the second half of the betting season with our opening game that gives us the Memphis Grizzlies (34-24) versus the Indiana Pacers (29-28) which gives us two teams over .500 looking to keep the playoff push going. This pick begins with all terms we like to see in a favorable bet as a 207 OVER/UNDER opening line has now shrunk down to a 204.5 over / under revealing exactly where the sharp money is flowing and such a big move should be a clear indication on where this game is headed. Dissecting the match up even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 18 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indiana's last 16 games when playing at home against Memphis giving us both past and recent history of these two teams simply playing slower then normal and especially against one another. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 206.34 and 205.93 making this a very situation specific play that should easily shave off the two or three points we need from two teams that always slow the game when facing each other. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 59–55-1 and so we should fully expect a nice regression back to the middle .500 ground making the UNDER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Memphis is 28 and Indiana is 15 and we will gladly take this high UNDER as we get one of slowest and best teams in league in a spot where they should be able to easily control the game flow. We also note that the Grizzlies are 28 in possessions per game and the Indiana are the number 14 team in the league (falling down the leaderboard fast) so once again we get two teams that are not performing as optimally offensively as they once were setting us up for some real value. The public consensus for this game is 68% in favor of the OVER so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 210.3 so a 204.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite what the AI predictor brain is showing.
Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers - Friday, February 24, 2017 7:05 PM
841 Memphis Grizzlies -1 -110 -117 Over 203½ -110
842 Indiana Pacers +1 -110 -103 Under 203½ -110
841 Memphis Grizzlies Over 204½ -110
842 Indiana Pacers Under 204½ -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 204.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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