Pick #1 – San Antonio Spurs at Detroit Pistons
The weekend is upon us making time for some rest, relaxation and NBA basketball and tonight we focus in on the San Antonio Spurs (40-12) versus the Detroit Pistons (25-28) which pits the very good versus the very mediocre. This bet catches our attention from the start as a 210.5 OVER/UNDER opening line has now shrunk down to a 209 over / under revealing exactly what side the sharp dollars are pouring in on. Dissecting the match up even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games highlighting that they are focusing on that same slow style of play that they are known for. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 208.74 and 200.66 and we get that rare set up that reveals tons of value when both averages get us to our UNDER goal even at maximum efficiency. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 58–47 so we should fully expect reversal back to the mean on the UNDER happening sooner then later and this gives us yet another promising scenario where key factors are weighing in our favor. When it comes to pace of play San Antonio is 26 and Detroit is 24 and we will gladly take this high UNDER from two teams that are almost dead last in the league when it comes offensive speed. We also note that the Spurs are 27 in possessions per game (dropping drastically as of late) and the Pistons are the number 26 team in the league so once again two teams this low on the list simply do not justify this high of a total. The public consensus for this game is 53% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this spot also. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 206.5 so a 209 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we get the AI predictor brain siding with us as well which is always nice.
San Antonio Spurs at Detroit Pistons - Friday, February 10, 2017 7:35 PM
853 San Antonio Spurs -4½ -110 -175
854 Detroit Pistons +4½ -110 +155
853 San Antonio Spurs Over 209 -110
854 Detroit Pistons Under 209 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 209 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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