Pick #1 – Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks
its Wednesday and that means were on the middle of the week grind making it a perfect evening to kick back and relax to some NBA basketball and tonight we set our sights on the Miami Heat (22-30) versus the Toronto Raptors (22-28) which sets us up for struggling teams headed into battle. This wager looks enticing from the beginning as a 210 OVER/UNDER opening line has now dropped down to a 208 over / under revealing exactly where the sharp money is heading. Breaking down the contest even further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road so the are just no producing offensively on the road lately playing right into our favor. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 205.97 and 207.25 and we get that perfect scenario we love to see where both averages get us to our UNDER goal. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 56–46 so we should fully expect a draw back to the mean on the UNDER happening sooner then later and we will take every bit of that value tonight. When it comes to pace of play Miami is 22 and Milwaukee is 20 and we will gladly take this high UNDER from two teams in the bottom 3rd of total teams in the NBA when it comes offensive speed. We also note that the Heat are 22 in possessions per game and the Bucks are the number 20 team in the league so once again two teams this low on the charts simply do not deserve this high of a total. The public consensus for this game is 70% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this spot. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 212.8 so a 208 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI predictor brain.
Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks - Wednesday, February 08, 2017 8:05 PM
511 Miami Heat +4 -110 +155
512 Milwaukee Bucks -4 -110 -175
511 Miami Heat Over 208 -110
512 Milwaukee Bucks Under 208 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 208 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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