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NBA Picks Wednesday 2/15/2017 – MIL vs. BKN

2/15/2017

 
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Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets​

Its the middle of the week and if you are looking for something to help get you to the weekend then why not sit back and relax to some NBA basketball and tonight gives us a great card as we focus in on the Milwaukee Bucks (24-30) versus the Brooklyn Nets (9-46) which gives us too struggling teams that are having trouble finding their identity and offenses lately. This play starts off with the exact characteristics we want to see as a 220 OVER/UNDER opening line has now been trimmed down to a 219 over / under revealing exactly what side the sharp bettors are taking. Dissecting the match up even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games and the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games at home so while being the fastest team in the league it is quit clear a recent adjustment has changed this playing style. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 210.35 and 218.99 and we get that oh so valuable scenario where both averages take us to our UNDER goal even at the peak levels of performance. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 63–45-1 and so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the OVER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Milwaukee is 21 and Brooklyn is 1 and we will gladly take this high UNDER as Milwaukee being the much better will control pace and bring this into the lower third of the NBA realm of offensive production. We also note that the Bucks are 20 in possessions per game (dropping drastically as of late) and the Nets are the number 1 team in the league (sinking currently at a serious pace) so once again we get two teams that are not performing as optimally offensively as they once were (Bucks just recently lost one of their best player to injury). The public consensus for this game is 61% in favor of the UNDER so we will see how this general agreement plays out. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 214.5 so a 219 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and even coincides well with AI predictor brain.

Game Time:
Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets - Wednesday, February 15, 2017 7:35 PM

Spread:
507 Milwaukee Bucks -6 -110 -225
508 Brooklyn Nets +6 -110 +185

Total:
507 Milwaukee Bucks Over 218½ -110
508 Brooklyn Nets Under 218½ -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 219 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt
Bet at 5dimes

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