Sports Picker | Expert Sports Handicapping Guaranteed
  • Welcome
  • FREE PICKS
  • Strategy
    • NFL Betting >
      • Spread Betting Explained
      • Prop Betting Strategy
      • Impact of Turnovers on Winning and Losing in the NFL
      • NFL Betting Strategy
      • Basic Strategy Teasers
      • NFL Preseason Betting Strategy
    • How to Bet on NFL: More Teaser Strategy
    • How to Bet on NFL: Covered Spread Betting with Push Charts
    • College Football Strategy: NCAA Early Season
    • How To Rate A Sports Handicapper
  • Sports Book Reviews
  • About Rob
  • 5Dimes

NBA Picks Monday 2/6/2017 – LAC vs. TOR

2/6/2017

 
Picture
Pick #1 – Los Angeles Clippers at Toronto Raptors

New Monday and that means a fresh start after a wild and spectacular Super Bowl its time to get back into the NBA basketball as we plan to laser in on the Los Angeles Clippers (31-20) versus the Toronto Raptors (31-21) which pits two very even teams dealing with some injuries and both coming off back to backs which should give us a much slower game then usual. This bet gets off on the right foot as a 216 OVER/UNDER opening line has now been whittled down to a 213.5 over / under exposing what side the savvy money is picking in this spot. Breaking down the contest even further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games which gives us a home team favorite that should control the pace of play which is a great sign for this UNDER bet. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 217.33 and 209.21 and we are going to bank on the defensive side and injuries to star players here to bring this UNDER home. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 58–44-1 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean on the UNDER happening frequently which sets up a nice over correction in our favor. When it comes to pace of play Los Angeles is 16 and Toronto is 21 and its always nice to get an UNDER play on a high total from two bottom of league teams in terms of pace of play. We also note that the Clippers are 18 in possessions per game and the Raptors are the number 21 team in the league (and dropping) so once again two teams this low on the charts simply do not deserve this high of a total. The public consensus for this game is 66% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 218 so a 213.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI predictor brain.

Game Time:
Los Angeles Clippers at Toronto Raptors - Monday, February 06, 2017 7:35 PM

Spread:
507 Los Angeles Clippers +5 -110 +175
508 Toronto Raptors -5 -110 -210

Total:
507 Los Angeles Clippers Over 213½ -110
508 Toronto Raptors Under 213½ -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 213.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt
Bet at 5dimes

Comments are closed.
    Help keep the FREE Picks coming. Sign up for an account at one of my recommended sports books. 
    Picture

    FREE Resources
    Strategy Articles
    Sports Book Reviews
    About Rob
    Learn To Handicap
    Daily Fantasy 
    Free Ebook
    Sports Blog
    Tweets by @robsportspicker

    Authors
    Rob Holiday - Founder

    My background is in business, specifically Behavioral Science  consulting, finance and entrepreneurship. My systems are based on financial analysis combined with a behavioral analysis approach. 

    I started Sports-Picker.com to share my love of sports and to share my picks and strategy with others.

    Archives

    June 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    March 2017
    February 2017
    January 2017
    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    August 2016
    July 2016
    June 2016
    May 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    February 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    January 2015
    November 2014
    October 2014
    September 2014
    August 2014
    July 2014
    June 2014
    May 2014
    April 2014
    March 2014
    February 2014
    January 2014
    December 2013
    November 2013
    October 2013
    September 2013
    August 2013
    June 2013
    May 2013
    April 2013
    March 2013

    Categories

    All
    Daily Picks
    Daily Picks
    Fantasy
    Free Pick Fridays
    FREE Picks
    Golf
    MLB
    NBA
    NCAAB
    NFL
    NHL
    Olympics
    Recaps
    Soccer
    Strategy
    World Cup

    RSS Feed

Resources
Strategy Articles

ProLine vs Online

Corporate
Contact

Careers
Legal
Privacy
Terms
Safe Betting Sites
5dimes.com
Bet365.com


Fantasy Sports Sites
​Fanduel
**Important** The information on this site is for entertainment purposes only. I am not liable for any losses that incurred as a result of the information on this website. Any use of this information in violation of any state, federal, or local laws is prohibited. This site assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no representation or endorsement of any of these games and/or activities if they are illegal in the jurisdiction of the reader or client of this site.

Copyright © Sports-Picker.com 2012-2015 All Rights Reserved.
  • Welcome
  • FREE PICKS
  • Strategy
    • NFL Betting >
      • Spread Betting Explained
      • Prop Betting Strategy
      • Impact of Turnovers on Winning and Losing in the NFL
      • NFL Betting Strategy
      • Basic Strategy Teasers
      • NFL Preseason Betting Strategy
    • How to Bet on NFL: More Teaser Strategy
    • How to Bet on NFL: Covered Spread Betting with Push Charts
    • College Football Strategy: NCAA Early Season
    • How To Rate A Sports Handicapper
  • Sports Book Reviews
  • About Rob
  • 5Dimes