NBA Picks Monday 3/7/2016 – LAC vs. DAL

Pick #1 – Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks​

Tonight we get twp playoff bound teams fighting for position advantage. While the dominant Los Clippers who take a 6-4 record over their last 10 game run look to move up from their 4th playoff position, the Dallas Mavericks who are 4-6 over there last 10 attempt to better their current 6th place playoff position. As both these teams gear up for their playoff push they are playing some focused uptempo basketball that has really put in an emphasis on scoring. The Los Angeles Clippers (40-21) and Dallas Mavericks (33-30) should give us a great inter conference rivalry game where scoring statements start to be made. Each team is without any new key making this a game where all the usual suspects will be out showcasing their skills. The Mavericks report zero injuries going into the contest and the Clippers have Blake Griffin and Luc Mbah a Moute are both out and have had significant sideline time this season. Currently Dallas is playing some of the best offense in the league and we have to think Los Angeles will be forced to match this pace and especially on the road. Here we find ourselves in another match up specific pick and looking at these two NBA teams over the last 10 heads up scenarios the over/under Total is 9-1 which is almost an unprecedented number in our favor. The stats really start to reveal themselves as we delve deeper into the one on one outcomes these two teams create. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games at home so we are already setting the stage for a high scoring affair. The total has also gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 11 games. Add to this offensive and defensive stats over the last 10 games for both teams and we see averages of 223.1 and 211.5 giving us a huge upside on the OVER at the point its at. The point spread for this NBA over/under begin at 211.5 and has moved 2.5 points down which given the matchup here does not set of any alarm bells. When these two teams met last the score was 108 – 118 for a Dallas home win given us great confidence going in to a near identical bet. Despite the over/under moving down a few points here we are still seeing an extremely healthy 68% consensus so the line movement may not be an indicator we can really lean on here. The Mavericks need to tune up there game against playoff caliber competition and at the level they are playing basketball right now this might be more a challenge for the Clippers then it will be for Dallas to pull away with a huge victory. Los Angeles needs to cover a spread of -5 so they will have to be moving at an even higher pace then the red hot Mavericks. Lets follow the matchup specific trends and put faith in the current playing flows and take the OVER 209.

Game Time:
Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks - Monday, March 07, 2016 8:35 PM

Spread:
511 Los Angeles Clippers 5
512 Dallas Mavericks +5

Total:
511 Los Angeles Clippers Over 209
512 Dallas Mavericks Under 209

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
Over 209 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt