Pick #1 – Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers
A tale of two very different teams as the Miami Heat battle it out with the likes of the Celtics, Hornets and Hawks for better playoff position the Los Angeles Lakers position themselves for life after Kobe and figuring out how to rebuild for next year. The Heat are playing exceptional basketball right now performing at a 9-1 win rate over there last 10 while we continue to wonder if LA is playing basketball at all which there 2-8 last 10 game record indicates. The Miami Heat (43-40) need to continue their dominance while the Los Angeles Lakers (15-59) just need to make it to next year with their pride intact and bodies intact. Rumor also has it that there is discontent in the Lakers locker room so they are currently playing uninspired basketball to say the least. Laker injury issues really only cover Anthony Brown and Nick Young so it is a bit concerning to be playing this bad with most everyone healthy. Chris Bosh, Goran Dragic and Tyler Johnson will all be out on the Miami side so star injuries are a bit alarming on that side of the ball taking away some of the serious scoring threats. We should be really starting to get off on the right foot with this pick as the over/under spread is a promising 2-8 in our favor. The Lakers home season long O/U total record is 13-24 and the Heat come in with a 15-20 away over/under season average so this should be a perfect combination of slow play from both sides is trends and conditions hold true which they should. On top of this the last three mettings between these two franchises have gone under and there is no reason that should not continue tonight give both teams current situations and playing paces. Offensive and defensive results for the last 10 games for these two teams add up to 207.3 and 211.6 which does not really give us a stroong lean towards the under but we are really playing off matchup specifics here and some noticeable NBA trends. The total over/under spread for this NBA contest opened at 208 and the smart money has dropped us all the way down to 207 so far so we have to really like where that line movement is trending. Miamia has to win by a sizeable -11.5 points here so you can best believe they will be doing everything they need to on the defensive to take this one home against a struggling and discontent Lakers team. The consensus for this game has the uunder at 52% but the board does not have anything of note really standing out. In conclusion when we look at the last time these two teams faced off there was a similar -11 spread and the final score was a 88-101 Miami win so we have to think history will have a strange way of repeating itself tonight. The UNDER is the new NBA betting golden child so lets go with the UNDER 207 here and celebrate another pick victory.
Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers - Wednesday, March 30, 2016 10:35 PM
517 Miami Heat 11½
518 Los Angeles Lakers +11½
517 Miami Heat Over 207
518 Los Angeles Lakers Under 207
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
Under 207 (2 Units)
As Always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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