NBA Picks Monday 3/21/2016 – MIL vs. DET

Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons​

Both teams are sure to give everything they have tonight as each battles for the last playoff spot in the east. With the Milwaukee Bucks and Detroit Pistons each sporting a 5-5 record over there last 10 games this is sure to be a fight until end. The Milwaukee Bucks (46-21) and Detroit Pistons (39-29) are two teams that have plenty offensive weapons giving them the ability to put up some serious points on any given night. Even though both squads are desperate for a W the Pistons come into the matchup and completely healthy why the Bucks come into the game a bit banged up. Milwaukee has listed on the injury list the likes of Michael Carter-Williams, O.J. Mayo, Steve Novak and Greivis Vasquez. These two teams are both pretty soft down low and with a lot of the Bucks guards out we should see a This head to head should featuring scoring from both inside the paint and beyond the arc setting the stage for a nice high scoring night for both teams. Boasting a 6-4 total over/under record in the last 10 game between the two rosters, the positive trends and current motivational factors have to really start perking our interest. This year Detroit sports a 20-12-1 over/under standing at home and this where we start to the value in this pick as the Pistons clearly like to take the offense up a notch or two when at home and we can only imagine with something so meaningful potentially on the line as a last playoff spot. The total has even gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home and that's a nice trend we would think would have no problem continuing tonight. Offensive and defensive stats over the past 10 games for these two teams equal up to a combined 204.5 and 207.6 so we are getting a favorably soft defensive side to this selection. The total over/under line for this NBA matchup started out at 20.5 and has stayed for the most part steady so it looks like we can be confident the money is not against us. Running this game through an NBA game predictor gave us a 207 combined expected point output so it seems the numbers are clearly on our side. The game itself should be close as well as the predicted point difference by the odds makers is -7 in favor of the Pistons so Detroit is really going to have to show up at home tonight which they normally due. In addition to all of the above this bet has had the highest consensus on the board all day and currently sits at a nice 65% lean towards the OVER. All signs point to an easy OVER as two high scoring teams meet in a highly important game so lets go with this game hitting the other side 205.5 .

Game Time:
Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons - Monday, March 21, 2016 7:35 PM

Spread:
607 Milwaukee Bucks +7
608 Detroit Pistons -7

Total:
607 Milwaukee Bucks Over 205½
608 Detroit Pistons Under 205½

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
Over 205.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt