NBA Picks Monday 3/28/2016 – DAL vs. DEN

Pick #1 – Dallas Mavericks at Nenver Nuggets

Two teams fighting for a chance at the last Western playoff conference spot one thing we can be sure of tonight and that is we will get two teams playing their heart out against one another. Both the Dallsa Mavericks and Denver Nuggets come into the game playing some sloppy basketball as each holds 2-8 and 5-5 records respectively over there last 10 games. Both hoping to pick up the pace with a win tonight we can expect The Dallas Mavericks (35-38) and the Denver Nuggets (31-43) to playing some playoff hopeful inspired basketball. Even though the game is extremely important tonight to both teams we get an added bonus that these two teams really like to play uptempo basketball when they play each other. While each team is dealing with some superstar injuries such as the Mavericks Deron Williams and Chandler Parsons (Jeremy Evans is out also) and the Nuggets Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari each team is stocked with depth new and old that are ready to step and have big games at anytime. Holding a 10 game stretch 6-4 over/under total record we are starting off on the right side of history. The total has gone OVER in 13 of Denver's last 19 games at home and The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games so we are getting a perfect storm of high powered offenses meeting in game were opponent specifics already lead to more out put. In addition Denver showcases an overall season 23-12-1 over/under home standing so we are getting some huge value this year anytime Denver takes the home court and this matchup specific contest makes it even better. Offensive and defensive stats for the last 10 games for these two teams add up to a blazing 213.4 and 222.2 which is highly favorable towards the number we are getting today of 212. The total over/under spread for this NBA contest opened at 212 and has been steady at that point all day so the money jury is still out on this one. This should be a close and gritty battle as the Nuggets are taking a -1.5 line at home and will try to squeak out a .highly crucial home win. The consensus for this game is at the highest rate out of all games and we are seeing a nice 63% lean here. Finally we have to love the recent history of these two teams who just met on March 6th producing a final score of 114-116 Denver home win. The trends and break down all point to an easy OVER at 212 so lets try to bank this.

Game Time:
Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets - Monday, March 28, 2016 9:05 PM

Spread:
743 Dallas Mavericks +1½
744 Denver Nuggets -1½

Total:
743 Dallas Mavericks Over 212
744 Denver Nuggets Under 212

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
Over 212 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt