Pick #1 – Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics
The Eastern Conference Semifinals NBA basketball playoff series is firing on all cylinders and tonight we have the pleasure of viewing the Washington Wizards (55-37) facing off against the Boston Celtics (59-33) in what is probably the most critical game so far as these two teams are dead even with each other. This bet is favorable from the outset as most books OVER/UNDER line opening was at 215 and now its gravitated to a 216 over / under resting spot which is great news it comes to relying on the steam and smart money as an initial indicator. Breaking open the key stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road and the total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Boston and the total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston so needless to say this has OVER written all over it. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 217.18 and 212.69 and we are going to lean on the potent offenses on both sides of the ball to really carry this one home for us. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 99–81-6 and this specific playoff series is really leaning on the overwhelming missteps of the team totals odds makers. When it comes to pace of play Washington is 11 and Boston is 12 and this should be an offensive shoot out like no other with two of the best PG's in the game leading the way. We also note that the Wizards are 11 in possessions per game (on a huge upswing) and the Celtics the number 14 team in the league (rising nicely) so once again we are going to trust the data and breakdown which is all pointing to plenty of scoring in this crucial playoff game. The public consensus for this game is 66% in favor of the over so it will be very interesting to see where this one finally falls. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 225 so a 216 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go with a full boost of confidence from the AI predictor brain as well.
Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics - Eastern Conference Semifinals - Game 5 - Wednesday, May 10, 2017 8:00 PM
519 Washington Wizards +4½ -110 +160
520 Boston Celtics -4½ -110 -185
519 Washington Wizards Over 216 -110
520 Boston Celtics Under 216 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 216 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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