Pick #1 – Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz
Second round of the NBA basketball playoffs are winding doubt but the action is not and tonight we get the Golden State Warriors (74-15) facing off against the Utah Jazz (55-37) in what is a must win game for Jazz to avoid the embarrassment of a 4 game sweep which should be some extra incentive to perform at a higher level tonight. This pick has been moving up and down a half point over the day so far with most books OVER/UNDER line opening at 206.5 and shuffling back and forth to finally land on the same 206.5 over / under line so we will be forced to rely on some the finer details in this contest to predict the most probable outcome. Breaking open the key stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games at home so we should get a perfect storm tonight where both teams will turn up the offensive tenacity. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 216.2 and 201.07 and we are going to lean on the potent Warriors offense and the Jazz need to keep up at all costs to really carry this one home for us. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 82–99 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the OVER play yet another prime value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Golden State is 4 and Utah is 30 and the favored Warriors should be able to exert their offensive will and the Jazz will have no choice but to run and gun to keep up. We also note that the Warriors are 4 in possessions per game and the Jazz the number 30 team in the league (rising nicely) but once again we are going to trust the data and breakdown which is all pointing to plenty of scoring in this crucial playoff game. The public consensus for this game is 66% in favor of the over so it will be very interesting to see where this one finally falls. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 205.6 so a 206.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI predictor brain. Game Time: Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz - Western Conference Semifinals - Game 4 - Monday, May 08, 2017 9:00 PM Spread: 701 Golden State Warriors -8½ -110 -420 702 Utah Jazz +8½ -110 +335 Total: 701 Golden State Warriors Over 206½ -110 702 Utah Jazz Under 206½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 206.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets
Friday night and plenty of the NBA basketball playoffs second round and does it get much better then this as we set our sights on the San Antonio Spurs (66-24) versus the Houston Rockets (60-29) in what should be a grind it battle in slow versus fast. This bet is favorable from the outset as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 216.5 and we are now seeing it drop 3 full points to 213.5 over / under line giving us that great initial read as to where the smart money is leaning and the UNDER is looking like the side to take in this contest. Digging through the numbers even more we see that the total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing on the road against Houston so these two teams have a strong history of playing paced down basketball in Houston which should play highly into favor tonight. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 220.49 and 207.58 and we are really looking to the Spurs to make the necessary adjustments on the court to hold the score much closer to the defensive averages which is what they are known for while combined with a road trend to back it up. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 98–80-1 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the UNDER play yet another prime value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Houston is 3 and San Antonio is 27 and we can fully expect the Spurs to slow this one down to a crawl at home in order to get the win as well as get their confidence back in their style of basketball. We also note that the Rockets are 3 in possessions per game and the Spurs the number 27 team in the league (falling fast) and again we can fully expect the slow paced Spurs to really make a point in this crucial game and that should produce a low scoring affair. The public consensus for this game is 67% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 213.5 so a 219.3 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and despite being off from the computer generated score. Game Time: San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets - Western Conference Semifinals - Game 3 - Friday, May 05, 2017 9:30 PM Spread: 737 San Antonio Spurs +5 -110 +175 738 Houston Rockets -5 -110 -210 Total: 737 San Antonio Spurs Over 213½ -110 738 Houston Rockets Under 213½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 213.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs
The NBA basketball playoffs second round is in full swing with some shocking results so far and tonight we target the Houston Rockets (60-28) versus the San Antonio Spurs (65-24) in what should be a revenge game for one of the best defensive and overall teams in the league on their home court. This bet is enticing from the start as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 217 and we are now seeing it drop a full point to 215.5 over / under line giving us that great first impression as to where the smart money is leaning and the UNDER is looking like the side to take in this contest. Combing through the numbers even more we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing San Antonio so these two teams have a strong recent history of playing paced down basketball which should play highly into favor tonight. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 220.53 and 207.48 and we are really looking to the Spurs to make the necessary adjustments on the court to hold the score much closer to the defensive averages which is what they are known for and get their home court to prove it. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 96–80-1 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the UNDER play yet another prime value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Houston is 3 and San Antonio is 27 and we can fully expect the Spurs to slow this one down to a crawl at home in order to get the win as well as get their confidence back in their style of basketball. We also note that the Rockets are 3 in possessions per game and the Spurs the number 27 team in the league (dropping drastically) and again we can fully expect the slow paced Spurs to really make a point in this pivotal game and that should produce a low scoring affair. The public consensus for this game is 54% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 215.6 so a 215.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even get the AI predictor brain on our side in this contest. Game Time: Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs - Western Conference Semifinals - Game 2 - Wednesday, May 03, 2017 9:35 PM Spread: 733 Houston Rockets +5½ -110 +195 734 San Antonio Spurs -5½ -110 -235 Total: 733 Houston Rockets Over 215.5 -110 734 San Antonio Spurs Under 215.5 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 215.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers
The NBA basketball playoffs second round is finally here and tonight we target the Toronto Raptors (55-33) versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (55-31) in what should be an exciting duel between some of the best teams in the league. This pick peaks our interest out the gate as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 209.5 and we are now seeing it drop down all day to final resting place of a 208.5 over / under line giving us that great first lead into where the smart money is leaning and the UNDER is looking like the choice for this matchup. Investigating deeper into the numbers we see that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games on the road so we are counting on Toronto in this game to really drain the pace of the game. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 216.42 and 209.23 and it should be the recent trends that really get us to where we need to go in this one. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 96–75-3 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the UNDER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Toronto is 23 and Cleveland is 16 and we can fully expect the Raptors to slow this one down to a crawl on the road in order to get the win. We also note that the Raptors are 25 in possessions per game (dropping drastically) and the Cavaliers the number 16 team in the league and getting two teams in the lower half of the league in terms of offensive opportunity at this high of a total is always favorable. The public consensus for this game is 63% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 204.6 so a 208.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even get the AI predictor brain on our side for this one. Game Time: Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers - Eastern Conference Playoffs Second Round - Game 1 - Monday, May 1, 2017 7:00 PM Spread: 723 Toronto Raptors +6½ -110 724 Cleveland Cavaliers -6½ -110 Total: 723 Toronto Raptors Over 208.5 -110 724 Cleveland Cavaliers Under 208.5 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 208.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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