Pick #1 – Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs
The Western Conference Finals NBA basketball playoff series has been a bit disappointing so far due to injuries but we will still enjoy watching the State Warriors (78-15) take on the San Antonio Spurs (69-28) in what is a pivotal elimination game . This bet is intriguing from the start as most books OVER/UNDER line opening was at 216.5 and now its pushing up to a 217.5 over / under resting spot which is very revealing as the steam and smart money direct us to a particular side. Dissecting the key stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games on the road and the total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing San Antonio so we have every reasons to believe this is going to a fast paced Warriors controlled game with the Spurs playing catch up which has all the makings of an OVER. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 221.58 and 202.97 and with the Warriors style of basketball dominating this series we can expect the offensive numbers to bring us yet another OVER. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 97–93 and it will be interesting to see where this split finally lands. When it comes to pace of play Golden State is 4 and San Antonio is 27 and this should be an offensive shoot out just like the last 3 games have been. We also note that the Warriors are 4 in possessions per game (on the rise) and the Spurs the number 27 team in the league (skyrocketing right now) so once again we are going to trust the data and breakdown which is all pointing to plenty of scoring in this critical playoff game and the Spurs should have no choice once again to try an keep up with the high flying shooters on Golden State. The public consensus for this game is 65% in favor of the over so it will be very interesting to see where this one finally falls. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 219 so a 217.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go with a full boost of confidence from the AI predictor brain also.
Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs - Western Conference Finals - Game 4 - Monday, May 22, 2017 9:00 PM
725 Golden State Warriors -11 -110 -800
726 San Antonio Spurs +11 -110 +550
725 Golden State Warriors Over 217½ -110
726 San Antonio Spurs Under 217½ -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 217.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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