Pick #1 – Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Angels
Want to know one of the best ways to liven up another boring old Wednesday? By watching some MLB baseball of course and tonight we break up the monotony by focusing on the Atlanta Braves (22-28) against the Los Angeles Angels (27-28) matching us with two teams barely making strides at .500. This pick starts off with all the signs of a plus EV pick as the opening line on the total of 8.5 has now swung a half point down to a 8 thanks to an early smart money lead which we will happily tail the steam on and grab some nice value on the UNDER play. The public consensus for this game is 82% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The Atlanta Braves put up 4.46 runs on average this year and the Los Angeles Angels put up 4.09 runs on average during the year so we will rely on these weak offenses to get us where we need to go with this pick. The weather at Angel Stadium is looking like 67°F and Cloudy with a Humidity of 87% and a Wind blowing South 2 at mph giving us a weather scenario where the hitting should really be slowed down given the conditions. Another really favorable part of this UNDER bet is the fact that the Braves have an elite closing staff which should go along ways towards the later inning runs being shut down. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Jaime Garcia (L) pitching who is heating up and pitching his best ball of the season sporting a 3.12 ERA in May. We also get starting pitcher Jesse Chavez (R) pitching who pitches his best baseball at home with a 4.75 ERA giving us two pitchers who should be able to keep the score low enough to the UNDER. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.2 so the UNDER 8 play gets all the right leans despite being a smidgen off from the AI predictor and at a price of -115 juice we should be super happy to grab a bunch value in this spot for all of the reasons above.
Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Angels - Wednesday, May 31, 2017 10:05 PM
977 Atlanta Braves +1½ -185 +119
978 Los Angeles Angels -1½ +160 -129
977 Atlanta Braves Over 8 -105
978 Los Angeles Angels Under 8 -115
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 8 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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