MLB Picks Monday 5/29/2017 – TB vs. TEX

Pick #1 – Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers

First and foremost happy Memorial Day to everyone and lets count our blessings and say thank you to the fallen service men and women this extended holiday weekend as we get to enjoy baseball all day long and that includes soaking in the Tampa Bay Rays (26-26) against the Texas Rangers (25-26) in face off that pits two teams both trying to surge past the .500 mark. This pick starts off with all the makings of a favorable bet as the opening line on the total of 10 has now swung a half point down to a 9.5 thanks to an early sharp money push which we will happily follow. Were getting all the right indicators for this game and that is highlighted by stats such as the total has gone UNDER in 14 of Texas's last 20 games at home and that the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 13 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay giving us a very situation specific play as well as nice overall trends that should bring our wager to fruition given recent and historical circumstances. The public consensus for this game is 62% in favor Tampa Bay Rays defend at a rate of 4.06 runs on average this year and the Texas Rangers hold opponents to 4.45 runs on average during the year so the strong defenses of both teams should easily allow us to hit our UNDER target. The weather at Globe Life Park in Arlington is looking like 53°F
Cloudy with a Humidity of 88% and a Wind that is blowing East 11 mph giving us a weather scenario where the hitting should be stifled. Another really favorable part of this UNDER bet is the fact that the Rays and Rangers have an elite closing staff which should go along ways towards the later inning runs down. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Erasmo Ramirez (R) pitching who is heating up and pitching his best ball of the season sporting a 2.57 ERA over the last week. We also get starting pitcher Martin Perez (R) pitching who is pitching some of his best baseball in May with a stellar 3.16 ERA giving us two pitchers playing their best baseball of year facing lineups that are missing some big bats. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 9 so the UNDER 9.5 play gets all the right leans and even gets the AI predictor agree and at a -115 juice we should be super happy to grab a bunch value in this spot for all of the reasons above.

Game Time:
Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers - Monday, May 29, 2017 8:05 PM

Spread:
969 Tampa Bay Rays +1½ -160 +135
970 Texas Rangers -1½ +140 -145

Total:
969 Tampa Bay Rays Over 9½ -105
970 Texas Rangers Under 9½ -115

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 9.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt