Pick #1 – Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs
Things are getting exciting as we head into the MLB playoffs and boy do we have a gem of a game tonight with the near tied Seattle Mariners (82-73) against the Houston Astros (82-74) and its a win or go home heads up match of the first of three games where all the pitching stops are being pulled out. This bet intrigues us from the start as we get one the very rare times the sharp money moves the line down an entire point as we see this opening 8.5 over/under MLB betting line now dropped to a 7.5 giving us a very positive lead on how this UNDER pick just may go. Further digging through some of the more essential facts for this matchup and we see that the total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 13 games at home and the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 11 games so huge general current trends we get in our favor here. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle so its one of those rare instances and the general and matchup specific circumstances are moving in our direction. Both teams look to continue their focused pitching and fielding and low scoring outputs and the public consensus is back and forth with this one at 52% liking our UNDER play. The Seattle Mariners produce 4.71 runs this year and the Houston Astros output 4.51 runs on the year so its really the pitching and other points of data we are relying on here. The park factor for this game is a reasonable +105 but we get a nice strong wind blowing in so that should help a lot in terms of pushing the points to a minimal. The weather at Minute Maid Park (Minute Maid Park Roof Closes In Rainy Weather) is looking like 94°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 67% and a Wind of NNE 7 mph so nice environment for pitching to takeover and keep the bats off their game. The most amazing aspect of this pick is we get Collin McHugh (R) pitching against a Seattle Mariners team he has absolutely destroyed this year giving up a 1.08 ERA over an incredible 4 wins over 25 innings. In other good news starting pitcher Hisashi Iwakuma (R) pitches a respectable 4.01 ERA on the year against the Astros. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.6 so the UNDER 7.5 should have plenty of value based on all of the above.
Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros - Monday, September 26, 2016 8:10 PM
915 Seattle Mariners +1½ -200 +113
916 Houston Astros -1½ +170 -123
915 Seattle Mariners Over 7½ -115
916 Houston Astros Under 7½ -105
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 7.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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