MLB Picks Friday 9/16/2016 – TOR vs. LAA

Pick #1 – Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels

The contest that is on the radar for tonight's bet is the Toronto Blue Jays (80-66) against the Los Angeles Angels (63-83) and is a battle of two teams clearly headed in opposite palyoff directions. This bet gets us intrigued from the start as the sharp money has already pushed the opening position enough to move it down from a 9.5 over/under MLB betting total down a half notch to a 9 giving us a valuable opening insight into this UNDER selection. Diving right into some of the more critical statistics for this game we note that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Angels's last 9 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Angels's last 13 games at home making it pretty clear that the Angeles are playing uninspired offensive baseball right now. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 15 of Toronto's last 23 games on the road so we get another nice trend here that should have no problem continuing given the game conditions and set up on tap for tonight's matchup. Both teams look to continue their lock down pitching and low run outputs but the public consensus does not have the same sentiment today as they rolling as a collective 70% towards the over. The Toronto Blue Jays produce 4.81 runs this year and the Los Angeles Angels output 4.38 runs on the year so were hovering right where we need to be even if all things were neutral. The park factor for this game is a ridiculous -84 in our favor so that should play a major role in keeping this one low scoring. The weather at The Big A is looking like 62°F, Mostly Cloudy , Humidity is 87% ,Wind is East 2 mph so a prime environment for pitching to shine and bats to remain sluggish. Another greats aspect of this bet is the fact that the Blue Jays have solid stable closing staff who is gearing up for the playoffs which should help put runs on an extra premium tonight. Also R.A. Dickey (R) has pitched lights out over the course of this MLB season and sports a 2.70 ERA and silencing Angeles bats. In even better news starting pitcher Jered Weaver (R) is a Blue Jays killer holding a 3.60 ERA for September. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.2 so the UNDER 9 is really looking appealing given all that we have factored above.

Game Time:
Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels - Friday, September 16, 2016 10:05 PM

Spread:
925 Toronto Blue Jays -1½ +115 -137
926 Los Angeles Angels +1½ -135 +127

Total:
925 Toronto Blue Jays Over 9 -110
926 Los Angeles Angels Under 9 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 9 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt