Pick #1 – San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
The game were tackling tonight is the San Francisco Giants (74-65) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (51-81) and pits a team desperate for wins against one that probably has golf or Hawaii on the mind. This pick starts off very promising as the sharp money has already influenced the total enough to take it from a 9 over/under MLB (now moving back and forth depending on time and book) total down a half run to an 8.5 giving us a favorable feeling heading into this UNDER. Consuming some of the more essential stats for this game we see that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road making it clear SF is in a low scoring game cycle. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 16 of Arizona's last 23 games when playing San Francisco and the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing at home against San Francisco so were hitting this right from every angle for this wager when it comes to what is trending as well as situational. These two teams played to a 4-2 score the last time they met up a little over a week ago and its simply been a lot of UNDERS between these two this year. Both teams look to continue their stellar pitching and defense but the public consensus can not be referenced here do to the constant movement of this line back and forth from 8.5 and 8. The San Francisco Giants produce 4.40 runs this year and the Arizona Diamondbacks show up with 4.57 so hitting over 8.5 will be a stretch given recent performance . The park factor for this game is a questionable +108 but given the circumstances this not a big concern. The weather at Chase Field is looking like 82°F, Sunny , Humidity is 64% and Wind from the Southeast at 4 mph so a very nice environment for pitching to thrive. Speaking of pitching a final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher Rubby De La Rosa (R) plays incredible against the Giants this year posting a flawless 1.17 ERA for the season. He also just smokes past left handed hitting giving up a miniscule 1.95 ERA (6/9 LH hitters on the Giants). Also Madison Bumgarner (L) has been pitching on another level this year against Arizona so far with a 1.13 ERA. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.4 so the UNDER is looking amazing here at 8.5 which given the above should put us on the right side of the value here.
San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks - Friday, September 09, 2016 9:40 PM
961 San Francisco Giants -1½ -115 -190
962 Arizona Diamondbacks +1½ -105 +180
961 San Francisco Giants Over 8½ -120
962 Arizona Diamondbacks Under 8½ +100
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 8.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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