MLB Picks Wednesday 9/28/2016 – MIL vs. TEX

Pick #1 – Milwaukee Brewers at Texas Rangers

The game we have on the radar for tonight is the Milwaukee Brewers (82-73) against the Texas Rangers (82-74) and its a tale of two teams on opposite sides of the playoff fence. This pick peaks our interest from the get go as we see this game opened at a 9.5 over/under MLB line and has now moved to 9 giving us a great indication of where this UNDER selection is headed. Further picking apart the more vital stats for this matchup we see that the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 9 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games at home so were getting a nicely set up situation that should encourage a low scoring game. In a game that does not have a lot of meaning each team will probably put up little effort and not have much motivation to perform and the public consensus could not agree more with this type of reasoning as 89% is on the UNDER play here as. The Milwaukee Brewers produce 4.15 runs this year and the Texas Rangers output 4.74 runs on the year so we get one of our favorite set ups here where the yearly averages fall short making our UNDER play even stronger. The park factor for this game is a bit high for our liking at +114 but the home scoring output of the Rangers just does not justify the worry. The weather at Globe Life Park is looking like 61°F, Cloudy, Humidity is 83% and the Wind is Northeast 14 mph so nice environment for pitching to shine and for the bats to be kept under wraps. The Rangers and Brewers both have solid relief staffs as well so late inning scoring antics should be kept to a minimal. A very optimal part of this pick is that we get an on fire Chase Anderson (R) who has a 1.08 ERA for the month of September. In other good news starting pitcher Cole Hamels (L) has a 3.03 ERA for the entire year so we know not to expect too many runs given up by him either in this spot. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.4 so the UNDER 9 should have tons of wiggle room and value to come through in our favor.

Game Time:
Milwaukee Brewers at Texas Rangers - Wednesday, September 28, 2016 8:05 PM

Spread:
929 Milwaukee Brewers +1½ -105 +195
930 Texas Rangers -1½ -115 -215

Total:
929 Milwaukee Brewers Over 9 -110
930 Texas Rangers Under 9 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 9 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt