Pick #1 – Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers
The game were looking to get on tonight is the Minnesota Twins (54-91) versus the Detroit Tigers (77-67) which pits two teams very headed on different playoff planes. This bet gets us excited from the jump as the savvy money has already swayed the opening line enough to bring it down from a 9.5 over/under MLB total down a half point to a 9 giving us a great opening insight into this UNDER pick. Breaking down some of the more crucial betting stats for this game we note that the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games at home painting a clear picture of the Tigers recent stagnant bats and exceptional pitching. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit so not only do we get the low scoring trend but we get a nice situational set up as well between two rivals who been more defensive then offensive of late when pitted against one another. Both teams look to continue their lock down pitching and low run outputs and the public consensus seems to agree as general opinion is leaning towards 65% on the UNDER. The Minnesota Twins produce 4.61 runs this year and the Detroit Tigers output 4.53 runs on the year so no real concern here when it comes to potential lopsided scoring. The park factor for this game is a favorable -99 so that should go a long way towards keeping the score in this one down. The weather at Comerica Park is looking like 63°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 86% and Wind at N 7 mph so a very nice conditions for pitching to shine and bats to struggle. Another greats aspect of this bet is the fact that both teams have solid stable closing staffs right now which should do a good job of erasing late run threats here. Anibal Sanchez (R) has been absolutely crushing in September over two starts with a 2.70 ERA pretty much pitching the best he has all year. A final and important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher Tyler Duffey (R) has also been killing this month with his best stuff of the year holding a 3.60 ERA for September. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.7 so the UNDER 9 so get some nice value here and should be very pleased with how this bet shapes out.
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers - Wednesday, September 14, 2016 7:10 PM
919 Minnesota Twins +1½ -145 +154
920 Detroit Tigers -1½ +125 -164
919 Minnesota Twins Over 9 -110
920 Detroit Tigers Under 9 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 9 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
Help keep the FREE Picks coming. Sign up for an account at one of my recommended sports books.