NBA Picks Monday 6/13/2016 – CLE vs. GSW

Pick #1 – Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors​

Well the Eastern Conference champion Clevland Cavaliers are in trouble to say the least as they face elimination on the road for the NBA championship. Despite being on the brink of losing it all there is one shining light in the fact that they get to take on a Draymond Greenless Warriors team. The most important game of the entire year for either team the 5-5 over there last 10 games Cavaliers and the 7-3 over there recent 10 games Golden State Warriors will both be giving it all they got for two very different reasons. One to stay alive and the other to win it all. The Cleveland Cavaliers (70-30) and the Golden State Warriors (88-15) are both playing some seriously focused basketball and it is currently Golden State getting the best of the battle. Both teams have no injury concerns of note with the Warriors reporting only Kevon Looney hurt for this game. The Warrior are however still playing shorthanded after losing star player and team anchor Draymond Green to suspension. Without one of there best players on the court should make things challenging for Golden State to say least and leaves a huge hole in the chemistry of the offensive attack. Not having Draymond on the floor will most likely cause Golden State to slow down and think about each and every possession a little more closely which highly favor an UNDER as an outcome. Lets start to look deeper into why this will be the case and let the numbers guide us to a correct decision. First off we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road. Continuing to add to this trend the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games at home. Finally the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland. What is very clear is that these two teams are playing slow it down basketball now that the stakes are the highest. Every possession will be vital to the outcome and we can expect both teams to slow down the pace of the game to assure the best decisions possible are made during every possession. The offensive and defensive combined stats over the last 10 games are 207.8 and 197.2 which have steadily been dropping all series making it a great sign that we should once again hit the UNDER in this one. The over/under for this NBA spread total opened at 206.5 and dropped a full two points to 204.5 and then swung back up to 207.5 showing just how swingy the smart money is being on this game. This is pretty much a must win for the Cavs and they will be doing everything in there power to slow down the Warriors which they should be able to accomplish at home. The public consensus for this game is 41% towards the UNDER so its a close decision on then general agreement front when it comes to this bet. The last time these two faced off three days ago the final score was a 106 – 97 win for the Warriors on the road so we can expect Cleveland to do everything in there power to play lock down basketball. We have to feel very confident about taking the UNDER 207.5 here given the way the averages and results have played out in the first 4 games so far. Lets take the UNDER 207.5 and start to wind up the end of the NBA year in winning style.

Game Time:
Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors - NBA Finals - Game 5 - Monday, June 13, 2016 9:00 PM

Spread:
509 Cleveland Cavaliers +6
510 Golden State Warriors -6

Total:
509 Cleveland Cavaliers Over 207½
510 Golden State Warriors Under 207½

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 207.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt