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MLB Picks Friday 6/24/2016 – PHI vs. SFG

6/24/2016

 
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Pick #1 – Philadelphia Phillies At San Francisco Giants

Two teams that could not be going in more opposite directions the Philadelphia Phillies hope to at least pick up some motivation and inspiration as they head up to San Francisco to take on the Giants. While the Giants are currently playing next level baseball the Phillies are struggling just for a single win. Philadelphia is losing hope to say the least and a recent downswing has them sporting a 1-9 record over their last 10 games while the Giants on the other hand are crushing the Diamond and playing 9-1 baseball over their last 10 trips to the field. The game were selecting tonight to try and make our winning pick is the Philadelphia Phillies (31-43) at the San Francisco Giants (47-27) who have both been putting up a lot of runs lately on any given night. With this game our analysis gets to start off with a trifecta of betting conditions. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road and as mentioned Philly bats have been picking up lately. Then we see that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing San Francisco. Third we get the fact that total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia so as we can see we are off to an amazing start when it comes towards the odds leaning at the OVER. These two teams have not played each other this year so the bats should be fresh and ready to rip. These teams as noted are scoring runs at a high rate lately the public attentions seems to be peaking on this play as the MLB over/under choice for this contest is a whopping 80% on the OVER. The Phillies produce 3.28 runs this year and the Giants put up 4.61 runs for the year so just on bare averages alone we hit are mark almost every time. The weather at AT&T Park is 63°F, Mostly Sunny with Winds of WNW 11 mph so ideal conditions for the ball to flying off the lumber. The total over/under spread for this MLB game opened at 8 and has stayed steady all day so lets jump all over the OVER (pun intended) before it moves against us. A nice final point to this pick is the fact that starting pitchers J. Peavy (R) and A. Z. Eflin (R) combine for a 31.71 ERA this year (yes you read that right and its mostly Eflin) which shows plenty of potential for the OVER hitting without issue on this night of baseball in SF. The computer predicted total score for this match up is 9.2 so all meaningful signs are truly pointing to the OVER 8 here so lets take our chances and try to pick up some nice value here.

Game Time:
Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants - Friday, June 24, 2016 10:15 PM

Spread:
913 Philadelphia Phillies +1½ -115 +188
914 San Francisco Giants -1½ -105 -205

Total:
913 Philadelphia Phillies Over 8 -105
914 San Francisco Giants Under 8 -115

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 8 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt
Bet at 5dimes

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    My background is in business, specifically Behavioral Science  consulting, finance and entrepreneurship. My systems are based on financial analysis combined with a behavioral analysis approach. 

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