NBA Picks Wednesday 6/8/2016 – GSW vs. CLE

Pick #1 – Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers

Things are looking a bit desperate for the Eastern Conference champion Cleveland Cavaliers but tonight is there chance to grab a win at home and get the series close and back on track. This a critical game in the most important NBA series for the 6-4 over there last 10 games Cavs and the 7-3 over there recent 10 games Golden State Warriors are going to be no easy matchup. The Cleveland Cavaliers (69-29) and the Golden State Warriors (87-14) are both playing some intense basketball but the Cavs are faltering while the Warriors are thriving. Both teams have no reported injuries of note with the Warriors reporting only Kevon Looney out for this game. One big question mark is Kevin Love for the Cavaliers who suffered a concussion last game and now has his ability to play up in the air but he has been following NBA protocols. The good news is he was practicing at the shoot around today and does feel his chances to play are very good. After watching closely the first two games we can see a pattern forming that is highly favoring the UNDER in these big stages battles between these two specific rivals. Lets start to dig deeper into the overwhelming stats that are leading us towards this evaluation. Starting off we see that The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Golden State's last 12 games on the road. Continuing to add to this trend The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games overall indicating they have taken a much slower approach down this stretch of final games. Even more convincing the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games and gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing Golden State so this is truly a matchup specific spot that we just have to love. Every possession will matter in this one and we can expect both teams to slow down the tempo of the game and play as such especially with the point spread being so close as well. The offensive and defensive combined stats over the last 10 games are 210.4 and 200 so if we get the slower more defensive outcome that we expect then this one should side on the lower defensive side of the numbers in which we get there easily when it comes to hitting the UNDER. The over/under for this NBA spread total opened at 206 and has now dropped a full point to 205 so its pretty clear where the money is flowing in on this bet. This is pretty much a must win for the Cavs and they will be doing everything in there power to slow down the Warriors which they should be able to accomplish at home. The public consensus for this game is 51% towards the UNDER so its a split decision on general agreement front but we still have to really like are side. The last time these two faced off three days ago the final score was a 110 – 77 win for the Warriors at home so we can expect Cleveland to comeback fighting harder then ever. We have to feel very confident about taking the UNDER 205 with the way the averages and trends are calculating out. Lets take the UNDER 205 and start to wind up the end of the NBA year in winning style.

Game Time:
Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers - NBA Finals - Game 3 - Wednesday, June 08, 2016 9:00 PM

Spread:
505 Golden State Warriors +1
506 Cleveland Cavaliers -1

Total:
505 Golden State Warriors Over 205
506 Cleveland Cavaliers Under 205

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 205 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt