Pick #1 – Memphis Grizzlies at Minnesota Timberwolves
2017 has started off great and tonight we get another wild night of NBA basketball as we set our sights on the Memphis Grizzlies (24-16) versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (23-16) game and its a face off of two teams playing very solid basketball. This pick looks tempting right off the bat as the smart money is already impacting this 207 opening OVER/UNDER line all the way down to a 203 over / under and this big of a swing is a tell tale sign where the value is to be had on this bet. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics for these two teams give us averages of 206.20 and 203.6 and its the strong defensive play and slow pace of Memphis that should ultimately allow for this UNDER to come through tonight. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 36–41-2 and it will be interesting to see if this lean towards the UNDER continues for these two foes. When it comes to pace of play Memphis is 28 and Oklahoma is 7 and anytime we can get a bottom three team at an inflated total we will take almost everytime. We also note that the Grizzlies are 24 in posessions per game and the Thunder are the number 7 team in the league (dropping drastically) so its all a positive sign that the faster team is dropping significantly in touches. The public consensus for this game is 63% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this UNDER play as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 211 so a 203 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should play into our favore despite what the AI equation notes.
Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder - Wednesday, January 11, 2017 8:05 PM
705 Memphis Grizzlies +4½ -110 +165
706 Oklahoma City Thunder -4½ -110 -190
705 Memphis Grizzlies Over 203 -110
706 Oklahoma City Thunder Under 203 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 203 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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