Pick #1 – Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks
TGIG and hopefully we can pick up right where we left off on Wednesday and pick up another strong pick as this Friday night of NBA basketball we focus in on the Boston Celtics (24-15) versus the Atlanta Hawks (22-16) game and we get a matchup of two squads really doing well right now. This pick gives us indicators to where it is headed as the sharp money is already impacting this 213 opening OVER/UNDER line all the way down to a 210.5 over / under and this gives us every reason to believe the UNDER has nice value here. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics for these two teams give us averages of 209.71 and 207.35 and we get one of our absolute favorite positions and that where the averages just do not justify the line in any way. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 35–41-1 and it will be interesting to see if this lean towards the UNDER continues for these two rivals. When it comes to pace of play Boston is 18 and Atlanta is 9 and as the Celtics are the better team they should have control of a slower game here. We also note that the Celtics are 18 in possessions per game and the Hawks are the number 12 team in the league (dropping drastically) and we get two teams out of top 10 and the faster team on a slower stride as of late which always means good things for the UNDER. The public consensus for this game is 61% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this UNDER play as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 213 so a 210.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI analysis.
Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks - Friday, January 13, 2017 8:05 PM
705 Boston Celtics +2½ -110 +125
706 Atlanta Hawks -2½ -110 -145
705 Boston Celtics Over 210½ -110
706 Atlanta Hawks Under 210½ -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 210.5 (2 Units)
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