Pick #1 – Cleveland Cavaliers at Brooklyn Nets

Some weekend relief is upon us and that means we get to bet on some NBA basketball and tonight we will lay some money on the Cleveland Cavaliers (26-8) versus the Brooklyn Nets (8-26) total which is a tail of the good against the bad. This pick looks juicy from the start as the smart money is already moving this 222 OVER/UNDER down to a 220 over / under giving us a nice hint where this bet shoud be leaning. Breaking down the matchup further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games really highlightingthe fact that the Nets are simply playing slower basketball then the stats are reading. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games so we get two teams going at it that are both playing paced down games right now. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 215.38 and 217.30 which almost assures us that the UNDER has the edge and the over would nothing short of a huge anomally. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 37–29-2 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon and this makes it yet another great spot to bet. When it comes to pace of play Cleveland is 17 and Brooklyn is 1 but with Cleveland as a huge favorite and Brooklyn coming off a back to back this should play right into the hands of a slower temp game. We also note that the Cavaliers are 17 in posessions per game (dropping huge) and the Nets are the number 1 team in the league (dropping drastically) so there should be absolutely no absence of a defensive minded pace in this one. The public consensus for this game is 58% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The Nets are dead last in the computer predicated power rankings so this should be complete domination by Cavs where Brooklyn has few offensive solutions leading to a lot of value on the UNDER 220 given all of the above.

Game Time:
Cleveland Cavaliers at Brooklyn Nets - Friday, January 06, 2017 7:35 PM

Spread:
505 Cleveland Cavaliers -13½ -110 -1250
506 Brooklyn Nets +13½ -110 +800

Total:
505 Cleveland Cavaliers Over 220 -110
506 Brooklyn Nets Under 220 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 220 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt

Pick #1 – Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors​

2017 is shaping up nicely so far and things should only get better as we get to bet the NBA basketball game between the Portland Trail Blazers (15-21) versus the Golden State Warriors (30-5) which will be a case of feast and famine as a great team takes on an injured and struggling squad. This pick looks appealing from the start as the sharp money is already moving this 225 OVER/UNDER down to a 223.5 over / under giving us a strong read on this UNDER pick from the get go. Breaking down game angles further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 11 of Golden State's last 14 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games at home so once again we get a home team that should control the game as we need which is on the slower side. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games so we get two teams playing paced down basketball facing off which should provide a ton of value. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 224.67 and 215.57 giving us a defensive upside towards the UNDER that is just too hard to ignore in this spot. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 37 - 24 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon and we will gladly ride that adjustment. When it comes to pace of play Portland is 11 and Golden State is 3 but these two teams are sliding in the slower direction as evidenced with all the other details. Facts such as the Trail Blazers are 10 in posessions per game (dropping huge) and the Warriors are the number 3 team in the league (dropping drastically) so there should be absolutely no absence of a slowed down game by the home team bringing home an easy win. The public consensus for this game is 68% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 211 so a 223.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like the winner we need to bring home our winning pick of 2017.

Game Time:
Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors - Wednesday, January 04, 2017 10:35 PM

Spread:
511 Portland Trail Blazers +16 -110 +1450
512 Golden State Warriors -16 -110 -2750

Total:
511 Portland Trail Blazers Over 223½ -110
512 Golden State Warriors Under 223½ -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 223.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt

Pick #1 – Utah Jazz at Brooklyn Nets​

2017 is finally upon as we look to start the New Year off with a win and look to bet the NBA basketball game between the Utah Jazz (21-13) versus the Brooklyn Nets (8-24) which pits the slow against the fast and good against the bad where the slow and good should win giving way to a nice UNDER play. This pick looks appealing from the start as the sharp money is already moving this 207.5 OVER/UNDER down to a 204 over / under giving us a strong read on this UNDER pick from the get go. Breaking down game semantics further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games on the road and it should be Utah taking the game pace into their hands here. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games and we are simply getting a Nets team that is not playing at the pace they once were. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 204.94 and 209.54 which shows the offense simply will not be enough to overcome the pace giving us some nice value on the UNDER. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 36-29-1 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon and we will gladly ride that steam. When it comes to pace of play Utah is deadlast in leage at 30 and Brooklyn is 1 and we get the slowest team in the league as a favorite so we can rest assured this will be a paced down game favoring the UNDER. Equally favorable the Jazz are 30 in posessions per game and the Nets are the number 2 team in the league (dropping drastically) so there should be absolutely no absence of a slowed down game by the visitors who should easily control the tempo. The public consensus for this game is 54% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 199 so a 204 UNDER play given all the above looks like the winner we need to bring home our winning pick of 2017.

Game Time:
Utah Jazz at Brooklyn Nets - Monday, January 02, 2017 7:35 PM

Spread:
505 Utah Jazz -6½ -110 -290
506 Brooklyn Nets +6½ -110 +245

Total:
505 Utah Jazz Over 204 -110
506 Brooklyn Nets Under 204 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 204 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt