Pick #1 – Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
We have to think this is NBA total over / under is low almost entirely for the fact that starting Grizzlies point guard Mike Conley will most likely sit out with a hurt heel. What I think is not being represented here is how good a backup point guard Mario Chalmers is. He could be a starter in the league, is as offensive minded as they came and does a great job of running the team so this betting line appears to be an over adjustment. Combine that with the fact that Matt Barnes is back from suspension and Zack Randolph and Marc Gasol are playing some of there best basketball of the year right now and you have to feel this has all the makings of a high scoring game. Sure Courtney Lee is also out but he is a non offensive factor on Memphis. On the other side Denver just announced Kenneth Farried will also be sitting out due to the birth of his. While this seems alarming he has been playing pretty atrocious lately and has not been a big factor. The Nuggets also have tons of talented big men to fill and pick up the scoring tonight. Guys like D Arthur, N Jokic and J Nurkic all are playing at levels and can fill in nicely. Danilo Gallinari is also finally back and back to his flying scoring ways to we should see plenty of uptempo points from the Nuggets side as usual. 7 out of the last 10 Nuggets games have gone over this total so we have to think this is a pretty promising pick. Both these teams give up a combined 202.3 points and score a combined 194.8 putting us well over this projected over / under. Since the open of this line we have lost a point and it feels exactly like the same set up as the last bet we lost but were going to stick to our reads and go with them. I have to think the Nuggets are going to push the pace of this game and Chalmers and company will oblige needing to win by 6 at home. Lets take the over here and get back to our winning ways.
Friday, January 08, 2016 8:05 PM
861 Denver Nuggets +6
862 Memphis Grizzlies -6
861 Over 190.5 -107
862 Under 190.5 -103
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
Over 190.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games but be responsible!
Picks By TexasMatt
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