Pick #1 – Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks
Time to get into another wild wednesday in the NBA as we find ourselves eyeing a bet on the Minnesota Timberwolves (8-19) versus the Atlanta Hawks (14-14) and its the tale of two teams very much going in opposite directions. We see from the jump that the smart money is pouncing on the OVER as this NBA 212 opening over / under line has nudged up to a 213 total and this type of movement is exactly what we want to lead us in the right direction. Breaking down the facts and stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games so we are getting a paced up team at home which alwys spells for lots of offense. On top of this the total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Minnesota so its clear historicaly that these two teams have no problem scoring against each other. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 206.97 and 211.29 so its the lack of defense we will need to rely on here to grab the win. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 26-29 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the OVER occuring and we will gladly pick up some of that value tonight. When it comes to pace of play Minnesota is 20 and Atlanta is 5 so we get a top 5 team in terms of speed getting a run at home against another uptempo team which should spell success for the OVER. Equally favorable the Timberwolves are 19 (soaring much higher of late) in posessions per game and the Hawks are 11 so once again these teams two teams should be playing at a rapid rate tonight given the matchup and recent trends. The public consensus for this game is 72% in favor of the under so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to see working for us as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 220 so a 213 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get the job done pretty easily tonight.
Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks - Wednesday, December 21, 2016 7:35 PM
705 Minnesota Timberwolves +5 -110 +170
706 Atlanta Hawks -5 -110 -200
705 Minnesota Timberwolves Over 213 -110
706 Atlanta Hawks Under 213 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 213 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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