Pick #1 – Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks
Another big NBA wednesday slate with plenty to choose from and tonight we focus in on the Cleveland Cavaliers (14-5) at New York Knicks (12-9) which should be a grind it out battle between two very talented teams. The sharp money has shown its steam already dropping this opening NBA 216 over / under line down an entire 2 points to 214 giving us our first lead that this game should very well be headed to an UNDER. Removing the clouds from this selection with even more facts and stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 16 of New York's last 23 games at home and there is certainly something to bright lights of New York that causes visitors to under perform and that should continue here. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Cleveland and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland so were not only getting a global trend but also a matchup specific trend in our favor as well which we love to see. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 215.08 and 211.34 respectively so the averages should really be pulling the points down to a level that gets us to exactly where we need to be and in a prime position to win this bet. The total combined OVER/UNDER record for the year for both teams equals up to a mark 20-18-2 so while a coin flip on paper the circumstances really lean the value on the UNDER in this spot. When it comes to pace of play Cleveland is 11 in the league overall and New York is 17 overall so we get teams out of the top 10 on a bloated over/under whch is always nice. Even more promising is that the Cavaliers are 15 in posessions per game (trending down) and the Knicks rank 18 (dropping quickly) so the oppportunities should be limited enough in this one to bring home the win. The public consensus for this game is 60% in favor of the over so were fading the public here which has proved lucrative in the past. All signs point in the direction of a 214 UNDER giving us a great chance to bring home yet another victory at the books. Game Time: Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks - Wednesday, December 07, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 711 Cleveland Cavaliers -8½ -110 -380 712 New York Knicks +8½ -110 +315 Total: 711 Cleveland Cavaliers Over 214 -110 712 New York Knicks Under 214 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 214 (2 Units) Pick #1 – San Antonio Spurs at Milwaukee Bucks
Its time to get it rocking once again and from the 11 game pool were looking up at the San Antonio Spurs (16-4) against the Milwaukee Bucks (10-8) as we get two very compatent teams ready to do battle. Always putting a smile on our face we open by noting that this NBA 201 over / under starting line has now jumped up to a 203 giving us a clear starting path guiding us into a winner. Stepping deeper into the facts and stats we see that total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 11 games at home and that the total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games (5/6 on the road) and this is simply once again a clear case of odds makers slipping due to past reputations and miss information. On top of this the total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing San Antonio and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio so we get some nice historical trends in our favor here as well. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 206.62 and 199.98 and so all we need to do is pace the average offense here in what should be a pushed paced game by bucks at home which creates a nice high value spot to take for us in this specific case. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 23-15 so it just keeps getting better and better when it comes to picking up this win. When it comes to pace of play Milwaukee is 14 in the league but as a home dog will surely be looking for an uptempo contest here and will most likely get it. Just as promising the Bucks are 16 in posessions per game but this number has been skyrocketing up as of late which reallys leans towards the OVER hitting as there shall be plenty of shots needed by both teams. The public consensus for this game is 65% in favor of the OVER so every mrker is on our side in this one. The computer predicted outcome of this one is 205 so banking on the 203 OVER coming through seems like we should be happy to get behind. Game Time: San Antonio Spurs at Milwaukee Bucks - Monday, December 05, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 713 San Antonio Spurs -5½ -110 -230 714 Milwaukee Bucks +5½ -110 +190 Total: 713 San Antonio Spurs Over 203 -110 714 Milwaukee Bucks Under 203 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 203 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Detroit Pistons at Atlanta Hawks
Hear we are set for another big Friday in the NBA and today we lock in on the Detroit Pistons (10-10) against the Atlanta Hawks (10-9) and we get two squads looking to break through onto the positive side of .500. Something is surely going here as this opening NBA 194 over / under line has shot up to a 198 giving us a rare 4 point line move and very much highlighting that the OVER should be very much in play here. Digging deeper into the facts and stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games making it clear that the Pistons are moving at a much quicker pace what the lines are suggesting. On top of this the total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Atlanta so these two teams are also notorious for taking it to each other on offensive when facing off. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 201.24 and 197.45 and its yest again a rare spot where both totals here move us into a winning position. While both teams have seen more unders on the year Detroit plays faster on the road and same goes for Atlanta at home and that is part of what we are banking on here. When it comes to pace of play the Hawks are 6th in the league and this is prime opportunity to get a fast paced team ready to push the offense at home against a team that is more then game. Just as promising the Hawks are 11th in posessions per game and trending way up lately so scoring first is on the agenda right now. The public consensus for this game is 61% in favor of the under so were going with our own reads and instincts in this spot. The computer predicted outcome of this one is 204 so all systems are go when it comes to building confidence in this 198 OVER bringing it home for us. Game Time: Detroit Pistons at Atlanta Hawks - Friday, December 02, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 509 Detroit Pistons +2½ -110 +120 510 Atlanta Hawks -2½ -110 -140 Total: 509 Detroit Pistons Over 198 -110 510 Atlanta Hawks Under 198 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 198 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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