NBA Picks Monday 12/19/2016 – WSH vs. IND
Pick #1 – Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers
Its the Monday of Christmas week and hopefully the gifts start to come early this year as we find ourselves in a prime spot to bet on the Washington Wizards (12-14) versus the Indiana Pacers (14-14) tonight which gives us two mediocre teams on offensive slides pitted against each other. We get a strong opening insight on this game as we have watched this NBA 212 opening over / under line dip all the way down to a 210 total and this swing is a positive sign right from the start. Breaking down the facts and stats we see that total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 10 games at home so its clear the Pacers are playing paced down basketball which plays heavily in our favor. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 15 games when playing on the road against Indiana so we get a nice historical trend siding with us as well. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 209.48 and 212.28 and we see that the offense is just not there to justify this high of a total. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 32-22 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER occuring and we will gladly pick up some of that value tonight. When it comes to pace of play Washington is 15 and Indiana is 11 so we get two teams out of the top 10 and on a downslide offensively which bodes extremely well for the UNDER. Equally favorable the Wizards are 14 (massively falling off) in posessions per game and the Pacers are 9 (undergoing a huge drop as well) so once again these teams two teams should be slowed down and shuttered tonight. The public consensus for this game is 61% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to see working for us as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 209 so a 210 UNDER play given all the above looks like a premium play from many angles.
Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers - Monday, December 19, 2016 7:05 PM
701 Washington Wizards +6 -110 +200
702 Indiana Pacers -6 -110 -240
701 Washington Wizards Over 210 -110
702 Indiana Pacers Under 210 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 210 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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