Pick #1 – Los Angeles Clippers at Orlando Magic
Its the middle of the week and that means its primetime to enjoy some NBA and for tonights pick we focus on the Los Angeles Clippers (18-7) versus the Orlando Magic (11-15) which should be very fast played game as a hot home team tries to keep up with one of the best in the NBA. Right out of the gate we notice that this NBA 206 opening over / under line has been creeping up all day to a final resting spot of a 208.5 total and this is exactly the type of movement we like see to start pointing us the right direction. Delving even further into the facts and stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games and that the total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games so it pretty clear LA has no problem putting plenty of offense up to get the job done and will have to tonight being favored by so much. On top of this the total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games at home and due to some injuries this game will most likely have to be played on the smaller more uptempo side. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 205.95 and 201.69 so this is a spot were really relying on a few other key insights to get the job done. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 26-24-1 so we get a glimpse into what the yearly mean might look like and we are happy to see it might slightly favor the over when it comes to these two squads. When it comes to pace of play Los Angeles is 17 and Orlando is 24 but these numbers are a bit dceiving given current conditions. Also the Clippers are 16 (trending way up) in posessions per game and the Magic are 25 (flying up) so once again this is a very case specific play that should see two teams really putting the ball in the hoop in quick fashion. The public consensus for this game is 65% in favor of the OVER so we the nice general consensus fade that we always like to have on our side. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 218 so a 208.5 OVER is looking like it has a bunch of value attached to it which we will take.
Los Angeles Clippers at Orlando Magic - Wednesday, December 14, 2016 7:05 PM
505 Los Angeles Clippers -8 -110 -380
506 Orlando Magic +8 -110 +315
505 Los Angeles Clippers Over 208½ -110
506 Orlando Magic Under 208½ -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 208.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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