Pick #1 – Philadelphia 76ers at Phoenix Suns
Its two days before Christmas and what that means is we get a Friday full of NBA basketball and its Philadelphia 76ers (7-21) versus the Phoenix Suns (8-21) as a battle of two bad teams that like to chuck it up against each other which bodes well from the OVER. On the surface we love what we are seeing here as the sharp money is showing its colors moving this opening 210 OVER to a to 212.5 over / under line and this type of shift is exactly what we want when finding value in a pick. Breaking down the facts and stats further we see that the total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix's last 12 games and the total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games at home so if there is any team that just encourages scoring its the Suns. On top of this the total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Phoenix further proving these two teams really get offesnively when playing each other. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 204.59 and 219.31 highlighting that the defense is way too pourous given the situation. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 33-23-1 and it will be interesting to see if this trend continues. When it comes to pace of play Philadelphia is 14 and Phoenix is 2 so we get a top 5 team in terms of speed getting a run at home against another uptempo team which should spell success for the OVER. Equally favorable the 76ers are 13 in posessions per game and the Suns are the number 1 team in the league so there should be absolutely no shortage of offensice opportunities in this one for everyone. The public does not really even have this game on their radar so this is a nice and sneaky play that most are missing. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 214 so a 212.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should check off the winner box for tonight. Game Time: Philadelphia 76ers at Phoenix Suns - Friday, December 23, 2016 9:05 PM Spread: 719 Philadelphia 76ers +5 -110 +175 720 Phoenix Suns -5 -110 -210 Total: 719 Philadelphia 76ers Over 212.5 -110 720 Phoenix Suns Under 212.5 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 212.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Comments are closed.
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