Pick #1 – Washington Wizards at Atlanta Hawks
The NBA basketball playoffs are really starting to heat up and tonight we target the Washington Wizards (51-34) versus the Atlanta Hawks (44-41) in what becomes almost a must win for the home squad. This pick peaks our interest right from the start as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 211.5 and we are now seeing it move down all day to finally settle on a 211 over / under line giving us that great first insight into where the sharp money is siding and the UNDER is looking like that option. Investigating deeper into the numbers we see that total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Atlanta really solidifying the fact that these two teams simply show up on the defensive end when it comes time to battle. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 212.44 and 211.52 and it should be the recent trends that really get us to where we need to go in this one. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 86–82-3 and we have to like our side when more often then not we even out to the mean giving us one more sign that the UNDER has a lot of value here. When it comes to pace of play Washington is 11 and Atlanta is 10 and we can fully expect the Hawks to slow this one down to a crawl on their home court in order to get the win. We also note that the Wizard are 10 in possessions per game and the Hawks the number 11 team in the league and once again given the history of these two teams this season the UNDER leaves in such a nice spot to be in. The public consensus for this game is 58% in favor of the over so we get that nice public fade we like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 214.9 so a 211 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite the AI predictor brain being slightly off from our prediction.
Washington Wizards at Atlanta Hawks - Eastern Conference Playoffs First Round - Game 4 - Monday, April 24, 2017 8:00 PM
519 Washington Wizards +2½ -110 +125
520 Atlanta Hawks -2½ -110 -145
519 Washington Wizards Over 211 -110
520 Atlanta Hawks Under 211 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 211 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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